Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 19
Operario-PR
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Ponte Preta
Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa·Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos, Brazil 23/07/2026
Operario-PROperario-PR
3-2
Finished
Ponte PretaPonte Preta

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalSTRONGModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Value Analysis
80%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Operario-PR Rest
4 days
Ponte Preta Rest
4 days

Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta: the result in context

Operario-PR beat Ponte Preta 3-2 in the Serie B on 22 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Operario-PR had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Ponte Preta.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game. Operario-PR tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.0 for Ponte Preta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
81%1.34
X
17%4.50
2
2%8.60
Double Chance
1X
98%1.06
X2
19%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.15
No
49%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.21 + 0.79 = 3.00
Over 1.5
81%1.25
Over 2.5
56%1.85
Over 3.5
33%3.15
Under 1.5
19%3.55
Under 2.5
44%1.92
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.8 = 8.6
Over 8.5
50%1.40
Over 9.5
43%1.59
Over 10.5
32%1.95
Under 8.5
50%2.77
Under 9.5
57%2.22
Under 10.5
68%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
44%1.53
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
56%2.29

Match Events

-5'David da HoraArgument
7'BrandãoAssist: Marcio Silva
31'Pablo
34'Marcio SilvaFoul
49'BrandãoAssist: Elvis
51'BrandãoFoul
53'Hildeberto PereiraAssist: Gabriel Feliciano
65'Aylon INMoraes Júnior out
65'Matheus Trindade INNeto Paraíba out
65'Kevyson INDaniel Baianinho out
72'ViniciusTime wasting
77'Vinicius DinizFoul
79'Hildeberto Pereira INVinicius Mingotti out
80'Red card cancelledJulio de Oliveira
83'BrandãoFoul
83'BrandãoFoul
85'Pablo INCaio Dantas out
85'Gabriel Feliciano INMaxwell out
88'Elvis INNicolas Silva out
88'Léo Gomes INJuan out
90'Caio Dantas
90+7'Daniel BaianinhoFoul

Lineups

Operario-PR
Coach: Lopes Luizinho
Ponte Preta
Coach: Zanardi Marcio

Operario-PR Starting XI

33Vágner6.3
26Maguinho6.2
44William Klaus6.2
16Miranda6.2
27Gabriel Feliciano85'replaced by Maxwell7.2
10Gabriel BoschiliaC6.9
39Matheus Trindade65'replaced by Neto Paraíba6.9
20Vinicius Diniz77'7.0
14Hildeberto Pereira53'79'replaced by Vinicius Mingotti7.6
92Pablo31'85'replaced by Caio Dantas8.3
11Aylon65'replaced by Moraes Júnior6.3
Avg rating6.81

Ponte Preta Starting XI

30Vinicius72'6.0
23Sergio Palacios5.9
3Lucas Cunha5.6
44Marcio Silva34'6.5
2Julio de Oliveira6.0
16Léo Gomes88'replaced by Juan6.3
14Danilo BarcelosC6.7
13Diego Porfirio6.9
10Elvis88'replaced by Nicolas Silva7.9
32Kevyson65'replaced by Daniel Baianinho6.3
21Brandão7'49'51'83'83'8.3
Avg rating6.58

Operario-PR Substitutes

6Moraes Júnior65'for Aylon6.9
88Neto Paraíba65'for Matheus Trindade6.9
9Vinicius Mingotti79'for Hildeberto Pereira6.5
77Maxwell85'for Gabriel Feliciano6.3
99Caio Dantas85'for Pablo90'7.3
1Elias Martello
32Charles
23João Gabriel Rodrigues Botão
18André Simplicio
5Índio
30Pedro Vilhena

Ponte Preta Substitutes

26Daniel Baianinho65'for Kevyson90+7'6.7
6Juan88'for Léo Gomes6.3
7Nicolas Silva88'for Elvis6.7
1Guilherme Viana
15Gustavo Almeida
17Miguel Morais
4Diego Leão
35Gustavo Telles
90Rodriguinho
18David da Hora-5'

Match Stats

Operario-PRPonte Preta
62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box4
10Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots3
17Fouls20
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
341Total Passes213
273Passes Accurate141
80%Pass Accuracy66%

Team Comparison

Operario-PROperario-PR
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
1581Elo Rating 1339
0.64Attack 0.82
1.65Defense 0.70
23%Hit Rate 0%
11.8Shots per Game 9.8
2.4Shots on Target 4.3
5.5Corners per Game 3.0
3.3Cards per Game 4.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+242 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Operario-PROperario-PR
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Operario-PROperario-PR2Wins · 34%
Draws233%
Ponte PretaPonte Preta2Wins · 33%
1.8Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie B24/08/2024
Ponte PretaOperario-PR
01
Serie B11/05/2024
Operario-PRPonte Preta
11
Serie B31/07/2022
Ponte PretaOperario-PR
30
Serie B16/04/2022
Operario-PRPonte Preta
20
Serie B23/09/2021
Operario-PRPonte Preta
12
Serie B23/06/2021
Ponte PretaOperario-PR
00

Recent Form

Operario-PROperario-PR
6W2D2L
18/07/2026
Sport RecifeOperario-PR
22
D12/07/2026
Operario-PRNovorizontino
21
W08/07/2026
Athletic ClubOperario-PR
01
W27/06/2026
Operario-PRAmerica Mineiro
10
W21/06/2026
GoiasOperario-PR
03
W15/06/2026
Botafogo SPOperario-PR
21
L
06/06/2026
Operario-PRJuventude
21
W
31/05/2026
CearaOperario-PR
12
W
25/05/2026
Operario-PRCriciuma
11
D
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
L
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
0W1D9L
18/07/2026
Ponte PretaGoias
12
L09/07/2026
Ponte PretaCriciuma
12
L03/07/2026
Fortaleza ECPonte Preta
20
L28/06/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
20
L23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
L14/06/2026
JuventudePonte Preta
30
L10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
24/05/2026
CRBPonte Preta
42
L
19/05/2026
Ponte PretaLondrina
14
L

Referee Profile

Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos94 matches

5.40Cards per match
5.15Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos5.40
Other referees5.22

5.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

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About the Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Operario-PR and Ponte Preta in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Operario-PR are 10th and Ponte Preta 20th, 39 points apart. League goal record so far: Operario-PR 49-50, Ponte Preta 21-79. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.