Botafogo SP vs Criciuma Prediction

Botafogo SP
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Criciuma
Estádio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto·Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel32%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Botafogo SP Rest
5 days
Criciuma Rest
4 days

Botafogo SP vs Criciuma: the result in context

Botafogo SP and Criciuma drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 20 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima averages 5.65 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.70
X
29%2.88
2
36%2.81
Double Chance
1X
64%1.40
X2
65%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.08
No
54%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 1 = 2.07
Over 1.5
68%1.50
Over 2.5
41%2.60
Over 3.5
17%5.00
Under 1.5
32%2.45
Under 2.5
59%1.47
Under 3.5
83%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5 = 9.9
Over 8.5
61%1.18
Over 9.5
51%1.35
Over 10.5
41%1.64
Under 8.5
39%3.94
Under 9.5
49%2.81
Under 10.5
59%2.12
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
48%1.45
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
52%2.50

Match Events

24'Bruno AlvesFoul
33'Jhonata RobertUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+1'WaguininhoDiving
60'Nicolas INCaue Santos out
60'Jhonata Robert INDiego Goncalves out
70'WaguininhoAssist: Marcelo Hermes
75'Hygor INArthur Caike out
75'Matheus Sales INKelvin out
75'Wesley Santos INJefferson Nem out
82'Ronald Lopes INJean Irmer out
89'Rafael Gava INLeandro Maciel out
89'Ze Hugo INMarco Antonio out
90+1'Eduardo INThiaguinho out
90+1'Waguininho INRuan Carvalho out
90+6'VilarAssist: Kelvin

Lineups

Botafogo SP
4-2-3-1Coach: Tencati Claudio
Criciuma
3-4-2-1Coach: Eduardo Alexandre Baptista
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.95
Victor Souza6.91V. Souza
Gabriel Inocêncio7.222G. Inocêncio
Ericson da Silva6.93E. da Silva
Vilar7.94Vilar
Patrick BreyC6.36P. Brey
Matheus Sales6.616M. Sales
Everton Morelli6.78E. Morelli
Zé Hugo6.330Z. Hugo
Rafael Gava6.610R. Gava
Wesley Pinheiro6.923W. Pinheiro
Hygor6.09Hygor
Airton7.032Airton
César Martins7.237C. Martins
Rodrigo FagundesC7.33R. Fagundes
Bruno Alves7.034B. Alves
Waguininho8.213Waguininho
Eduardo Biasi6.65E. Biasi
Ronald7.214Ronald
Marcelo Hermes7.522M. Hermes
Jhonata Robert6.310J. Robert
Fellipe Mateus6.67F. Mateus
Nicolas6.59Nicolas

Botafogo SP Substitutes

11Jefferson Nem75'for Wesley Santos6.6
18Arthur Caíke75'for Hygor6.3
7Kelvin75'for Matheus Sales7.2
28Marco Antonio Batistussi89'for Ze Hugo6.3
5Leandro Maciel89'for Rafael Gava6.3
12Jordan
26Felipe Vieira
34Hebert Willian Badaró Oliveira
15Guilherme Mariano
2Jonathan
20Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
29Thiago Moraes

Criciuma Substitutes

77Diego Gonçalves60'for Jhonata Robert6.9
88Cauê6.7
41Jean Irmer82'for Ronald Lopes6.3
43Ruan Rodrigues Carvalho90+1'for Waguininho
50Thiaguinho90+1'for Eduardo
1Alisson
73Kauã Moroso
11Romarinho
31Hiago Alves
33Yuri
21João Carlos

Match Stats

Botafogo SPCriciuma
58%Ball Possession42%
11Corner Kicks8
0Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
6Fouls13
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
491Total Passes365
396Passes Accurate277
81%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
CriciumaCriciuma
1599Elo Rating 1637
2.00Attack 1.13
2.77Defense 2.40
77%Hit Rate 63%
13.2Shots per Game 21.1
3.9Shots on Target 3.8
6.2Corners per Game 7.5
1.8Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend14% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2Wins · 29%
Draws114%
CriciumaCriciuma4Wins · 57%
1.9Avg Goals
14%Both teams scored1 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B11/04/2026
CriciumaBotafogo SP
10
Serie B16/11/2025
CriciumaBotafogo SP
20
Serie B25/07/2025
Botafogo SPCriciuma
02
Serie B18/11/2023
CriciumaBotafogo SP
30
Serie B18/07/2023
Botafogo SPCriciuma
10
Serie C12/09/2021
CriciumaBotafogo SP
00
Serie C13/07/2021
Botafogo SPCriciuma
31

Referee Profile

Felipe Fernandes de Lima185 matches

5.65Cards per match
5.38Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
31.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felipe Fernandes de Lima5.65
Other referees5.13

5.65 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Botafogo SP vs Criciuma forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Botafogo SP and Criciuma in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Criciuma are 4th and Botafogo SP 12th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Botafogo SP 45-39, Criciuma 38-31. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.