Criciuma vs Goias Prediction

Criciuma
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Goias
Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma·Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil 15/08/2026
CriciumaCriciuma
1-0
Finished
GoiasGoias

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Criciuma Rest
6 days
Goias Rest
4 days

Criciuma vs Goias: the result in context

Criciuma beat Goias 1-0 in the Serie B on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Goias have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game. Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin averages 5.71 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.85
X
27%3.18
2
21%4.64
Double Chance
1X
79%1.17
X2
48%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.19
No
54%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 0.75 = 2.20
Over 1.5
68%1.50
Over 2.5
45%2.50
Over 3.5
24%5.00
Under 1.5
32%2.53
Under 2.5
55%1.50
Under 3.5
76%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
63%1.28
Over 9.5
51%1.53
Over 10.5
41%1.91
Under 8.5
37%3.16
Under 9.5
49%2.33
Under 10.5
59%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.6 = 4.9
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
48%1.41
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
52%2.63

Match Events

5'Luciano Castan
14'Rómulo OteroFoul
19'Filipe MachadoFoul
46'Guilherme LoboFoul
46'Juninho INAnselmo Ramon out
57'Rómulo Otero INJoão Carlos out
57'Guilherme Lobo INRonald out
61'Rodrigo Soares INMarcos Vinícius out
69'Lucas Lima INGegê out
69'Kadu INWellington Rato out
70'Marcos ViníciusFoul
76'Eduardo Biasi INJean Irmer out
77'Lourenço INEsli García out
80'Waguininho INCauê out
80'Fellipe Mateus INDiego Gonçalves out
86'Willean LepoFoul
90+4'AirtonTime wasting
90+6'Luciano CastanTime wasting

Lineups

Criciuma
3-4-3Coach: Eduardo Alexandre Baptista
Goias
4-4-2Coach: Mozart
Avg rating6.94
Avg rating6.89
Airton7.632Airton
César Martins7.537C. Martins
Rodrigo FagundesC7.33R. Fagundes
Luciano Castan7.24L. Castan
Willean Lepo7.397W. Lepo
Eduardo Biasi6.75E. Biasi
Guilherme Lobo6.68G. Lobo
Marcelo Hermes7.222M. Hermes
Rómulo Otero6.691R. Otero
Waguininho6.713Waguininho
Fellipe Mateus6.67F. Mateus
Thiago Rodrigues8.01T. Rodrigues
Rodrigo Soares6.22R. Soares
Luiz Felipe7.23L. Felipe
Ramon Menezes7.64R. Menezes
Nicolas6.96Nicolas
Lourenço7.297Lourenço
Filipe Machado6.95F. Machado
JuninhoC6.58Juninho
Lucas Lima6.910L. Lima
Cadu7.718Cadu
Kadu6.340Kadu

Criciuma Substitutes

14Ronald57'for Guilherme Lobo7.0
21João Carlos57'for Rómulo Otero6.9
41Jean Irmer76'for Eduardo Biasi6.6
77Diego Gonçalves80'for Fellipe Mateus6.7
88Cauê80'for Waguininho6.6
1Alisson
34Bruno Alves
11Romarinho
31Hiago Alves
9Nicolas
33Yuri
10Jhonata Robert

Goias Substitutes

9Anselmo Ramon46'for Juninho6.9
63Marcos Vinícius61'for Rodrigo Soares70'6.3
28Gegê69'for Lucas Lima6.6
27Wellington Rato69'for Kadu6.7
15Esli García77'for Lourenço6.3
23Tadeu
12Ezequiel Oliveira
14Lucas Ribeiro
25Luis Fellipe
66Danilo Cunha
21Jean Carlos
55Guilherme Baldória

Match Stats

CriciumaGoias
41%Ball Possession59%
9Corner Kicks2
5Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
23Fouls6
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
362Total Passes550
300Passes Accurate479
83%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

CriciumaCriciuma
GoiasGoias
1637Elo Rating 1653
1.13Attack 1.61
2.40Defense 2.59
63%Hit Rate 81%
21.1Shots per Game 16.8
3.8Shots on Target 5.6
7.5Corners per Game 6.3
3.1Cards per Game 2.1

Game State Tendencies

CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GoiasGoias
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CriciumaCriciuma0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
GoiasGoias3Wins · 75%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B07/04/2026
GoiasCriciuma
10
Serie B26/10/2025
CriciumaGoias
12
Serie B09/07/2025
GoiasCriciuma
11
Copa Do Brasil18/03/2022
GoiasCriciuma
10

Referee Profile

Lucas Paulo Torezin129 matches

5.71Cards per match
5.34Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Paulo Torezin5.71
Other referees5.21

5.71 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.21).

Cards come from 76 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Criciuma vs Goias forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Criciuma and Goias in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Criciuma are 4th and Goias 7th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Criciuma 38-31, Goias 39-41. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.