Athletic Club vs Criciuma Prediction

Athletic Club
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Criciuma
Estádio Joaquim Portugal, São João del Rei·Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.53
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
Athletic Club Rest
11 days
Criciuma Rest
13 days

Athletic Club vs Criciuma: the result in context

Athletic Club beat Criciuma 2-0 in the Serie B on 9 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Criciuma had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Athletic Club.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.00
X
32%2.88
2
44%2.53
Double Chance
1X
56%1.49
X2
76%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.10
No
48%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.14 = 2.37
Over 1.5
71%1.53
Over 2.5
46%2.62
Over 3.5
24%5.15
Under 1.5
29%2.40
Under 2.5
54%1.44
Under 3.5
76%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.5 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.46
Over 9.5
46%1.71
Over 10.5
36%2.11
Under 8.5
44%2.55
Under 9.5
54%2.02
Under 10.5
64%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.3 = 4.9
Over 3.5
66%1.39
Over 4.5
47%1.85
Under 3.5
34%2.69
Under 4.5
53%1.85

Match Events

5'Pedro Oliveira
45+1'ZecaFoul
46'Rodrigo INRomarinho out
46'EduardoFoul
53'Zeca INDiogo Batista out
54'Pedro Oliveira IND. Vera out
54'Carlinhos INW. Aponza out
55'W. AponzaAssist: D. Vera
60'Caue Santos INNicolas out
60'Eduardo INJhonata Robert out
64'Diogo BatistaFoul
66'RomarinhoFoul
69'Kauan Rodrigues INKauan Lindes out
70'Gui Lobo INRonald Lopes out
73'Felipe Negrucci INJota out
78'Fellipe Mateus INDiego Goncalves out

Lineups

Athletic Club
3-4-3Coach: Souza Alex
Criciuma
3-4-2-1Coach: Eduardo Alexandre Baptista
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.53
Luan Polli7.51L. Polli
Lucas Belezi7.04L. Belezi
Jhonathan7.03Jhonathan
Jhan Pool Torres7.019J. Pool Torres
ZecaC6.56Zeca
Felipe Negrucci6.95F. Negrucci
Joao Miguel6.716J. Miguel
Enzo6.223Enzo
Pedro Oliveira8.218P. Oliveira
Carlinhos6.79Carlinhos
Kauan Rodrigues7.217K. Rodrigues
Pedro5.670Pedro
César Martins6.337C. Martins
Rodrigo FagundesC6.33R. Fagundes
Luciano Castan5.94L. Castan
Willean Lepo7.097W. Lepo
Eduardo Biasi6.55E. Biasi
Guilherme Lobo6.98G. Lobo
Marcelo Hermes6.922M. Hermes
Waguininho6.913Waguininho
Fellipe Mateus6.97F. Mateus
Cauê6.988Cauê

Athletic Club Substitutes

22Diogo Batista de Souza53'for Zeca64'6.5
21Dixon Vera54'for Pedro Oliveira6.7
20Wilinton Aponzá54'for Carlinhos55'8.3
8Kauan Lindes69'for Kauan Rodrigues6.5
12Tony
14Marcelo Henrique
2Douglas Pele
13Felipe Vieira
10Gustavinho
7Bruninho
15Jota73'replaced by Felipe Negrucci7.2
11Yago Santos

Criciuma Substitutes

11Romarinho46'for Rodrigo66'6.7
10Jhonata Robert60'for Eduardo6.7
9Nicolas60'replaced by Caue Santos6.2
14Ronald70'for Gui Lobo6.6
1Alisson
32Airton
34Bruno Alves
41Jean Irmer
31Hiago Alves
77Diego Gonçalves78'for Fellipe Mateus6.2
21João Carlos

Match Stats

Athletic ClubCriciuma
35%Ball Possession65%
5Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal9
4Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots2
14Fouls9
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves0
264Total Passes493
201Passes Accurate410
76%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
CriciumaCriciuma
1570Elo Rating 1637
1.01Attack 1.13
1.89Defense 2.40
27%Hit Rate 63%
15.0Shots per Game 21.1
3.4Shots on Target 3.8
5.7Corners per Game 7.5
2.0Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Athletic ClubAthletic Club0Wins · 0%
Draws267%
CriciumaCriciuma1Wins · 33%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B02/04/2026
CriciumaAthletic Club
11
Serie B19/08/2025
Athletic ClubCriciuma
11
Serie B18/04/2025
CriciumaAthletic Club
40

Recent Form

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
3W5D2L
29/07/2026
Ponte PretaAthletic Club
11
D
24/07/2026
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
21
W
18/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseAthletic Club
00
D
14/07/2026
CearaAthletic Club
00
D
08/07/2026
Athletic ClubOperario-PR
01
L
28/06/2026
Athletic ClubAvai
10
W
20/06/2026
LondrinaAthletic Club
20
L
14/06/2026
Athletic ClubGoias
11
D
11/06/2026
Sport RecifeAthletic Club
11
D
30/05/2026
Athletic ClubFortaleza EC
10
W
CriciumaCriciuma
8W2D0L

Referee Profile

Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos35 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos4.58
Other referees4.86

4.58 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the Athletic Club vs Criciuma forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Athletic Club and Criciuma in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Criciuma are 4th and Athletic Club 13th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Athletic Club 46-46, Criciuma 38-31. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.