Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets Prediction

Lokomotiv Sofia
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Ludogorets
Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Lokomotiv Sofia Rest
6 days
Ludogorets Rest
7 days

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets: the result in context

Ludogorets beat Lokomotiv Sofia 2-1 in the First League on 6 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ludogorets had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Lokomotiv Sofia.

Ludogorets have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%5.75
X
27%4.05
2
58%1.50
Double Chance
1X
42%2.38
X2
85%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.87
No
50%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.95 + 1.49 = 2.44
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
47%1.81
Over 3.5
26%2.92
Under 1.5
26%3.60
Under 2.5
53%1.95
Under 3.5
74%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Ivajlo ČočevAssist: aleksandar marinov
8'petar stanic(Penalty missed)
19'aleksandar marinov
29'caruzo caueAssist: Erol Dost
33'Erol Dost
46'petar stanic INAguibou Camara out
53'aleksandar marinov INCaio Vidal Rocha out
54'Spas Delev
55'Krasimir Stanoev
56'Angel Lyaskov
62'Georgi Minchev
62'Bernard Tekpetey INErick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo out
70'Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
76'Ivajlo Čočev
80'Ivajlo Čočev INFilip Kaloc out
80'Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz INKwadwo Duah out
80'Erol Dost INKrasimir Miloshev out
80'Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho INReyan Daskalov out
80'caruzo caue INNicholas Penev out
81'Spas Delev INMark Emilio Papazov out
81'Georgi Minchev INAnte Aralica out
84'Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo
88'Hossam Abdelmaguid

Lineups

Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Penev
Ludogorets
4-1-4-1Coach: T. Reis
A. Lyubenov24A. Lyubenov
A. Lyaskov14A. Lyaskov
B. Katsarov44B. Katsarov
K. Kostov3K. Kostov
Eirô6Eirô
K. Stanoev31K. Stanoev
E. Dost5E. Dost
S. Delev7S. Delev
D. Kostadinov20D. Kostadinov
Caue Caruzo77C. Caruzo
G. Minchev9G. Minchev
H. Bonmann39H. Bonmann
Son17Son
Hossam Abdelmaguid4H. Abdelmaguid
A. Nedyalkov3A. Nedyalkov
S. Shishkov42S. Shishkov
Deroy Duarte23D. Duarte
B. Tekpetey37B. Tekpetey
I. Chochev18I. Chochev
P. Stanić14P. Stanić
A. Marinov40A. Marinov
Rwan Cruz12R. Cruz

Lokomotiv Sofia Substitutes

29A. Aralica81'for Georgi Minchev
21K. Chachev
22R. Daskalov80'for Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho
16M. Medfai
26K. Miloshev80'for Erol Dost
19M. Mitkov
42N. Neychev
17M. Papazov81'for Spas Delev
71N. Penev80'for caruzo caue
99M. Velichkov

Ludogorets Substitutes

2J. Andersson
11Caio Vidal53'for aleksandar marinov
20A. Camara46'for petar stanic
9K. Duah80'for Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
77Erick Marcus62'for Bernard Tekpetey
13I. Grbić
26F. Kaloč80'for Ivajlo Čočev
15E. Kurtulus
22M. Polendakov
7Alberto Salido
82I. Yordanov

Match Stats

Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
4Yellow Cards3

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
LudogoretsLudogorets
1422Elo Rating 1682
1.13Attack 2.50
1.08Defense 2.40
17%Hit Rate 77%
8.8Shots per Game 14.0
3.7Shots on Target 5.2
6.5Corners per Game 6.3
3.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
LudogoretsLudogorets
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
LudogoretsLudogorets8Wins · 80%
3.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

First League07/02/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
13
First League17/08/2025
LudogoretsLokomotiv Sofia
00
First League09/03/2025
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
12
First League21/09/2024
LudogoretsLokomotiv Sofia
20
First League16/03/2024
LudogoretsLokomotiv Sofia
60
First League24/09/2023
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
13
First League21/04/2023
LudogoretsLokomotiv Sofia
10
First League01/10/2022
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
10
First League05/12/2021
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
24
First League21/08/2021
LudogoretsLokomotiv Sofia
50

Recent Form

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
1W5D4L
31/08/2026
Dunav RuseLokomotiv Sofia
22
D
17/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Sofia
31
L
08/08/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
13
L
31/07/2026
Slavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
25/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
12
L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
11/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaTeuta Durrës
00
D
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaDukagjini
33
D
22/05/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
30
L
18/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaSlavia Sofia
20
W
LudogoretsLudogorets
6W3D1L
30/08/2026
Spartak VarnaLudogorets
11
D
22/08/2026
LudogoretsSlavia Sofia
11
D
15/08/2026
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
20
W
09/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaLudogorets
23
W
02/08/2026
LudogoretsBotev Vratsa
21
W
30/07/2026
LudogoretsHapoel Tel Aviv
22
D
27/07/2026
Dunav RuseLudogorets
02
W
23/07/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivLudogorets
20
L
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
W
10/07/2026
LudogoretsTeuta Durrës
10
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia14104032:9+2334WDWWD
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia13102125:8+1732LWDWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1393126:11+1530DWLWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481492333:16+1729DWWLW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1472523:21+223DWLWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1463520:22-221LWDLD
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1444615:25-1016WLLWL
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia142849:9014DDDLL
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1434714:22-813DWWLD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1433816:23-712DLWWD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv143388:18-1012WLDDD
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1432912:25-1311WLLLL
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1424811:24-1310LLDLD
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1416715:26-119LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1432:934
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1325:832
3LudogoretsLudogorets1326:1130
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481433:1629
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1423:2123
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1420:2221
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1415:2516
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia149:914
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1414:2213
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1416:2312
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv148:1812
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1412:2511
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1411:2410
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1415:269
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv Sofia and Ludogorets in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: Ludogorets are 3rd in the First League, while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th, 21 points behind. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv Sofia 15-26, Ludogorets 26-11. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ludogorets have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.