Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.98
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Deportes Tolima Rest
6 days
Cucuta Rest
6 days
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta: the result in context
Deportes Tolima beat Cucuta 2-1 in the Primera A on 1 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
165%1.42
X21%4.33
214%7.34
Double Chance
1X86%1.08
X235%2.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.98
No44%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 0.85 = 2.70
Over 1.576%1.23
Over 2.559%1.80
Over 3.534%3.00
Under 1.524%3.75
Under 2.541%1.97
Under 3.566%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.3 = 9.5
Over 8.557%1.75
Over 9.546%2.23
Over 10.535%3.00
Under 8.543%1.98
Under 9.554%1.58
Under 10.565%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.2
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.555%1.41
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.545%2.57
Match Events
28'A. Angulo
32'L. Sanchez
45'V. Mejia
45+1'C. Arrieta
46'D. Calcaterra INL. Ochoa out
47'L. SanchezAssist: K. Florez
57'E. M. Duarte Barajas INK. Tamayo out
57'V. Mejia INJ. Ceballos out
66'L. Sanchez INE. Valencia out
66'H. E. Martinez Yepez INJ. Mosquera out
69'K. FlorezAssist: S. Guzman
72'Y. Abonia ING. Torres out
79'J. Agudelo INJ. Diaz out
79'K. Florez INJ. Hurtado out
81'J. Mosquera
83'G. Torres
86'J. Mosquera
86'J. Mosquera
90'G. TorresAssist: K. Tamayo
90+6'J. Hurtado INS. Aguayo out
Lineups
Deportes TolimaCucuta
5-4-1Coach: Nicolas ChiesaAvg ratingAvg rating
1N. Volpi
17C. Arrieta
3J. Ángulo
C2A. Angulo
20J. Hernández
32S. Guzmán
14H. Martinez
28E. López
10L. Sánchez
18K. Florez
24A. Parra
12F. Abadía
26Y. Joao Abonia Vasquez
30B. Montaño
4J. Quiñónes
10L. Berdugo
C27M. Duarte
3D. Calcaterra
5V. Mejia
77C. Rentería
21M. Carabali
32J. AgudeloDeportes Tolima Substitutes
33Jherson Mosquera66'for H. E. Martinez Yepez81'86'86'
8Ever Valencia66'for L. Sanchez
13Miguel Ortega
5Juan Mera
30Shean Barbosa
16Victor Reyes
19Santiago Joven
7Jorge Hurtado79'for K. Florez90+6'for S. Aguayo
15Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo90+6'replaced by J. Hurtado
Cucuta Substitutes
17Leison Ochoa46'for D. Calcaterra
14Kevin Tamayo57'for E. M. Duarte Barajas
8Juan Ceballos57'for V. Mejia
24Diego Munoz
29Lucas Ríos
11Gustavo Torres72'for Y. Abonia83'90'
31Jesus Diaz79'for J. Agudelo
Match Stats
Deportes TolimaCucuta 55%Ball Possession45%
6Corner Kicks2
5Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
14Total Shots5
5Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box2
7Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots1
11Fouls8
4Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves4
462Total Passes369
392Passes Accurate294
85%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
Deportes TolimaCucuta1566Elo Rating 1504
1.33Attack 0.77
1.61Defense 1.96
27%Hit Rate 58%
14.3Shots per Game 10.4
5.2Shots on Target 3.5
5.4Corners per Game 4.7
3.5Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Deportes Tolima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Cucuta- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Deportes Tolima0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Cucuta1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
23/02/2026CucutaDeportes Tolima32
Recent Form
Deportes Tolima4W2D4L
26/08/2026
Independiente del ValleDeportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
BucaramangaDeportes TolimaIndependiente del ValleDeportes Tolima
Internacional de BogotaDeportes Tolima
Independiente Medellin
Alianza ValleduparDeportes Tolima
QuindioDeportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
Junior
Independiente del ValleDeportes Tolima31
L22/08/2026Deportes TolimaBucaramanga00
D19/08/2026Deportes TolimaIndependiente del Valle01
L09/08/2026Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota21
W05/08/2026Deportes TolimaIndependiente Medellin23
L01/08/2026Alianza ValleduparDeportes Tolima12
W29/07/2026QuindioDeportes Tolima4221
L26/07/2026Deportes TolimaJunior21
W22/07/2026Deportes TolimaQuindio
Deportes TolimaQuindio21
W27/05/2026
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima00
DCucuta2W5D3L
26/08/2026CucutaAlianza ValleduparIndependiente MedellinCucutaCucutaInternacional de Bogota
Fortaleza FCCucutaBucaramangaCucuta
Once CaldasCucuta
CucutaAlianza Valledupar10
W23/08/2026Independiente MedellinCucuta01
W20/08/2026CucutaInternacional de Bogota11
D08/08/2026Fortaleza FCCucuta20
L04/08/2026BucaramangaCucuta11
D27/07/2026Once CaldasCucuta51
L02/06/2026Independiente MedellinCucuta
Independiente MedellinCucuta21
L29/05/2026CucutaFortaleza FC
CucutaFortaleza FC00
D16/05/2026Cucuta
Leones FC
CucutaLeones FC00
D10/05/2026
OrsomarsoCucuta
OrsomarsoCucuta11
DReferee Profile
5.29Cards per match
4.99Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 87% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WDWWL |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LLWWD |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWWDD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWLWD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDLDW |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | WLLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DLWDW |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30:18 | +12 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 | America de Cali | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 29:15 | +14 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Llaneros | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 24 | LDLDW |
| 12 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 | DLWDW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 | LWLWD |
| 14 | Junior | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 22 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 20 | WLLWL |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13:30 | -17 | 15 | LLWWD |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 19 | 30:18 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 18 | 29:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 19 | 21:24 | 24 |
| 12 | Cucuta | 18 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 25:25 | 23 |
| 14 | Junior | 19 | 26:27 | 22 |
| 15 | Chico | 19 | 15:29 | 20 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 13:30 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Águilas Doradas vs Chico 30/08/26
- Millonarios vs Internacional de Bogota 31/08/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga 31/08/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira 01/09/26
- Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas 02/09/26
- Santa Fe vs Millonarios 03/09/26
- America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar 03/09/26
- Chico vs Once Caldas 05/09/26
About the Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Deportes Tolima and Cucuta in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Deportes Tolima are 6th and Cucuta 19th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportes Tolima 27-17, Cucuta 22-35. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Deportes Tolima and Cucuta have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.