Chico vs Once Caldas Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 9
Estadio La Independencia, Tunja 05/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+12.4%
Chico Rest
6 days
Once Caldas Rest
3 days
Chico vs Once Caldas: the result in context
Chico beat Once Caldas 2-0 in the Primera A on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Once Caldas have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
122%3.75
X24%3.30
254%1.95
Double Chance
1X46%1.79
X278%1.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes43%1.90
No57%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.91 + 1.11 = 2.02
Over 1.557%1.33
Over 2.534%2.08
Over 3.513%3.80
Under 1.543%3.00
Under 2.566%1.70
Under 3.587%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.6 = 9.2
Over 8.552%1.75
Over 9.543%2.23
Over 10.533%3.00
Under 8.548%1.98
Under 9.557%1.57
Under 10.567%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2 = 4.5
Over 3.565%-
Over 4.546%-
Under 3.535%-
Under 4.554%-
Match Events
2'S. MeraAssist: Sebastian Salazar
19'S. MeraFoul
34'Goal cancelledJefry Zapata
36'Jacobo PimentelFoul
45'Felipe Cifuentes
45'Felipe Gomez INMateo Zuleta García out
45'S. Mera INYesus Cabrera out
45+3'Goal confirmedFelipe Cifuentes
57'Card upgrade confirmedCristian Blanco
57'Cristian BlancoViolent conduct
58'Juan Patiño INAndres Correa out
58'Andrés Roa INJader Quinones out
60'Jacobo Pimentel INDaniel Polanco out
66'Card upgrade confirmedMateo Zuleta García
67'Mateo Zuleta GarcíaViolent conduct
69'Felipe Cifuentes INSebastián Viveros Lopez out
71'Jefry Zapata INHelieyker Guzman out
72'Michael Barrios INEdwin Torres out
75'Jader QuinonesFoul
76'Sebastian SalazarFoul
90'Andres CorreaFoul
90+2'Yesus Cabrera INA. Maya out
Lineups
ChicoOnce Caldas
4-3-3Coach: H. HerreraAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Agudelo
24C. Mosquera
4J. Mena
5J. Alomía
14C. Blanco
6J. Díaz
17E. Sarria
8S. Salazar
21J. Pimentel
16S. Mera
7F. Cifuentes
99J. Parra
22J. Cuesta
16J. Castaño
30D. Londoño
33J. Patiño
20A. Roa
23A. Colorado
9P. Gómez
14J. Zapata
17D. Moreno
7M. BarriosChico Substitutes
12B. Zapata
9I. Camargo
10Y. Cabrera45'for S. Mera90+2'for A. Maya
30Mateo Gomez
22Alejandro Maya90+2'replaced by Yesus Cabrera
19J. Pimentel Betancourt
2D. Polanco60'for Jacobo Pimentel
20Sebastián Viveros69'for Felipe Cifuentes
Once Caldas Substitutes
25J. Gallego
19T. García
21H. Guzman71'for Jefry Zapata
42J. Quiñónes58'for Andrés Roa75'
29E. Torres72'for Michael Barrios
28M. Zuleta45'for Felipe Gomez67'
3A. Correa58'for Juan Patiño90'
2J. Cardona
15J. Alvarado
Match Stats
ChicoOnce Caldas 28%Ball Possession72%
4Corner Kicks8
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards1
3Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal6
1Shots off Goal4
2Shots Inside Box9
1Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots3
17Fouls9
1Offsides4
6Goalkeeper Saves0
196Total Passes494
137Passes Accurate434
70%Pass Accuracy88%
Team Comparison
ChicoOnce Caldas1446Elo Rating 1634
0.56Attack 1.41
1.34Defense 2.64
19%Hit Rate 64%
12.9Shots per Game 20.7
3.4Shots on Target 7.6
5.3Corners per Game 7.0
3.0Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Chico- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Once Caldas- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Chico1Wins · 13%Draws225%
Once Caldas5Wins · 62%
5Wins · 62%3.1Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8
Previous meetings
28/02/2026Once CaldasChico30
27/09/2025Once CaldasChico52
13/04/2025ChicoOnce Caldas00
16/07/2024ChicoOnce Caldas01
20/01/2024Once CaldasChico21
09/10/2023ChicoOnce Caldas21
26/04/2023Once CaldasChico11
27/03/2021Once CaldasChico42
Recent Form
Chico2W4D4L
30/08/2026
Águilas DoradasChicoChico
Fortaleza FC
JaguaresChico
Santa FeChico
America de CaliChico
Águilas DoradasChico22
D26/08/2026ChicoFortaleza FC00
D21/08/2026JaguaresChico10
L08/08/2026Santa FeChico20
L03/08/2026America de CaliChico70
L27/05/2026Chico
Llaneros
ChicoLlaneros01
L23/05/2026
MillonariosChico
MillonariosChico22
D16/05/2026Chico
Depor FC
ChicoDepor FC40
W07/05/2026
PatriotasChico
PatriotasChico00
D02/05/2026ChicoLlaneros
ChicoLlaneros30
WOnce Caldas4W4D2L
02/09/2026Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas
JuniorOnce CaldasJaguaresOnce CaldasOnce CaldasAmerica de CaliSanta FeOnce CaldasOnce Caldas
Cucuta
Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas12
W24/08/2026JuniorOnce Caldas11
D10/08/2026JaguaresOnce Caldas11
D06/08/2026Once CaldasAmerica de Cali01
L03/08/2026Santa FeOnce Caldas22
D30/07/2026
EnvigadoOnce Caldas
27/07/2026EnvigadoOnce Caldas03
WOnce CaldasCucuta51
W22/07/2026Once CaldasEnvigado
Once CaldasEnvigado30
W14/05/2026JuniorOnce Caldas
JuniorOnce Caldas22
D11/05/2026Once CaldasJunior
Once CaldasJunior01
LLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWDL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWDDL |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DLDWD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DLWDW |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 36 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | +10 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 | DLWDW |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 | WLWDL |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 19 | DWWLW |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 19 | LLWLW |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 | LWWDL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 31:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 25:27 | 19 |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 15:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 13:29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta 01/09/26
- Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas 02/09/26
- Santa Fe vs Millonarios 03/09/26
- America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar 03/09/26
- Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC 06/09/26
- Junior vs Jaguares 06/09/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Águilas Doradas 06/09/26
- Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios 07/09/26
About the Chico vs Once Caldas forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Chico and Once Caldas in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Once Caldas are 5th and Chico 18th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Chico 15-32, Once Caldas 31-22. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.