Santa Fe vs Millonarios Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 16
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.62
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseHighGap+8.9%
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.41
SignalSTRONGModel36%SurpriseHighGap+14.4%
Santa Fe Rest
4 days
Millonarios Rest
3 days
Santa Fe vs Millonarios: the result in context
Santa Fe beat Millonarios 3-2 in the Primera A on 3 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%3.50
X30%2.97
230%2.20
Double Chance
1X71%1.62
X260%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes33%2.04
No67%1.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 0.86 = 1.96
Over 1.559%1.47
Over 2.528%2.47
Over 3.511%4.83
Under 1.541%2.50
Under 2.572%1.49
Under 3.589%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.7 = 8.9
Over 8.546%1.73
Over 9.531%2.00
Over 10.520%2.72
Under 8.554%2.00
Under 9.569%1.73
Under 10.580%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5.1
Over 3.575%-
Over 4.558%-
Under 3.525%-
Under 4.542%-
Match Events
6'D. RuizAssist: L. Castro
18'Goal Disallowed - offsideH. Rodallega
27'S. Valencia
33'Leonai Souza INM. Garcia out
37'P. Repetto
45+2'J. Torres
46'S. Mosquera
50'F. Fagundez
52'J. Guerrero
57'S. Valencia INM. Samuel out
57'J. Guerrero INA. Estupinan out
57'S. Mosquera IND. Banguero out
60'M. Garcia
64'M. Lovera INE. Rodriguez out
71'E. RodriguezAssist: D. Torres
73'A. Estupinan
75'J. Obrian INL. Palacios out
75'F. Fagundez INN. Bustos out
75'F. Chaverra IND. Quintero out
76'I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
78'H. Palacios
86'H. Palacios
86'H. Palacios
89'J. Torres INK. D. Toscano Bassa out
90'H. Rodallega INM. Puerta out
90+4'M. Samuel
Match Stats
Santa FeMillonarios 
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots21
6Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots5
10Fouls13
2Offsides3
7Goalkeeper Saves3
313Total Passes364
238Passes Accurate294
12Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
Santa FeMillonarios1617Elo Rating 1648
0.61Attack 1.31
1.58Defense 2.27
31%Hit Rate 19%
13.7Shots per Game 19.2
4.7Shots on Target 6.3
4.6Corners per Game 5.2
2.7Cards per Game 3.4
AI Insights
🔥Derby Match
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Santa Fe- No tendency data available
Millonarios- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Santa Fe2Wins · 20%Draws330%
Millonarios5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
12/04/2026MillonariosSanta Fe11
26/10/2025Santa FeMillonarios01
07/09/2025MillonariosSanta Fe00
20/06/2025MillonariosSanta Fe12
01/06/2025Santa FeMillonarios01
27/03/2025MillonariosSanta Fe20
23/03/2025Santa FeMillonarios32
06/12/2024MillonariosSanta Fe11
27/11/2024Santa FeMillonarios01
27/10/2024Santa FeMillonarios01
Clásico capitalinoFull head-to-head record
Recent Form
Santa Fe5W4D1L
30/08/2026
JuniorSanta Fe
River PlateSanta FeSanta Fe
America de CaliSanta Fe
ChicoSanta Fe
Union MagdalenaSanta Fe
Once Caldas
Caracas FCSanta Fe
Águilas DoradasSanta FeSanta FeCaracas FC
JuniorSanta Fe11
D27/08/2026River PlateSanta Fe7181
W23/08/2026Santa FeAmerica de Cali00
D20/08/2026Santa FeRiver Plate
08/08/2026Santa FeRiver Plate00
DSanta FeChico20
W06/08/2026Santa FeUnion Magdalena20
W03/08/2026Santa FeOnce Caldas22
D31/07/2026Caracas FCSanta Fe03
W26/07/2026Águilas DoradasSanta Fe21
L24/07/2026Santa FeCaracas FC20
WMillonarios4W2D4L
31/08/2026Millonarios
Internacional de Bogota
LlanerosMillonariosÁguilas DoradasMillonariosMillonarios
Deportivo PastoJuniorMillonariosMillonarios
Bucaramanga
MillonariosInternacional de Bogota00
D28/08/2026LlanerosMillonarios02
W22/08/2026Águilas DoradasMillonarios11
D05/08/2026MillonariosDeportivo Pasto20
W02/08/2026JuniorMillonarios01
W26/07/2026MillonariosBucaramanga01
L19/07/2026Millonarios
Colo Colo
MillonariosColo Colo01
L11/07/2026
UniversitarioMillonarios
UniversitarioMillonarios20
L30/05/2026
Depor FCMillonarios
Depor FCMillonarios18
W27/05/2026Millonarios
O'Higgins
MillonariosO'Higgins12
LReferee Profile
5.42Cards per match
4.98Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.53).
Cards come from 293 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWDL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWDDL |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DLDWD |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DLWDW |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 36 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | +10 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 | DLWDW |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 | WLWDL |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 19 | DWWLW |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 19 | LLWLW |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 | LWWDL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 31:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 25:27 | 19 |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 15:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 13:29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Santa Fe vs Millonarios forecast
As a derby, this Primera A meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Santa Fe and Millonarios in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Santa Fe are 7th and Millonarios 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Santa Fe 29-22, Millonarios 31-23. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.