Dunkerque vs Metz Prediction

Dunkerque
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Metz
Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk·Mickael Leleu 23/10/2026
DunkerqueDunkerque
1-1
Finished
MetzMetz

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-6.1%
Dunkerque Rest
6 days
Metz Rest
6 days

Dunkerque vs Metz: result, form and history

Dunkerque and Metz drew 1-1 in the Ligue 2 on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Referee Mickael Leleu averages 3.42 cards a game, 0.56 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.80
X
27%3.60
2
38%2.28
Double Chance
1X
62%1.57
X2
65%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.50
No
40%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.22 = 2.51
Over 1.5
77%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.60
Over 3.5
35%2.55
Under 1.5
23%4.40
Under 2.5
44%2.25
Under 3.5
65%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.50
Over 9.5
48%1.87
Over 10.5
37%2.40
Under 8.5
40%2.37
Under 9.5
52%1.84
Under 10.5
63%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.8 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
56%-
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
44%-

Match Events

9'Pape Moussa Fall
15'Abdourahmane MbodjFoul
49'Jordan MorelFoul
60'Abdourahmane Mbodj INNathan Mbala out
61'Jordan Morel
65'Opa Sangante
65'Opa Sangante(Penalty missed)
66'Théna Massock INSteven​ N'Zonzi out
66'Souleymane Keita INKhalil Ayari out
73'Abner INVictor Mayela out
73'Gaëtan Robail INArthylio Nade out
81'Bouna Sarr INBryan Song out
81'Giorgi Abuashvili INAbdoulaye Agne Ba out
90'Cristian CastroDissent
90+1'Adrian Lebeau INFranck Leroy Atoen out
90+2'Arthylio NadeFoul

Lineups

Dunkerque
4-2-3-1Coach: Albert Sánchez
Metz
4-1-4-1Coach: Grégory Proment
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.75
Moha Airam8.373M. Airam
A. Linguet6.527A. Linguet
Opa Sanganté7.926O. Sanganté
O. Touré6.72O. Touré
Abner6.630Abner
J. Morel6.16J. Morel
Théna Massock6.618T. Massock
S. Keita6.519S. Keita
A. Lebeau6.810A. Lebeau
E. Prutsev5.911E. Prutsev
G. Robail6.49G. Robail
J. Fischer7.21J. Fischer
B. Sarr6.270B. Sarr
C. Devenish6.842C. Devenish
U. Mboula6.94U. Mboula
F. Miguel6.33F. Miguel
I. Mohamed6.398I. Mohamed
3333A. Mbodj
J. Deminguet6.78J. Deminguet
T. Savanier7.210T. Savanier
G. Abuashvili6.59G. Abuashvili
P. Fall8.111P. Fall

Dunkerque Substitutes

21L. Loussilaho
7K. Ayari66'for Souleymane Keita7.2
25Franck Atoen90+1'for Adrian Lebeau
42M. Makhloufi
22V. Mayela73'for Abner6.2
94E. Mayilla
23A. Nade73'for Gaëtan Robail90+2'6.3
15S. Nzonzi66'for Théna Massock6.3
16M. Prévot

Metz Substitutes

30Tahirys Dos Santos
2M. Colin
88A. Agne Ba81'for Giorgi Abuashvili7.0
22N. Mbala60'replaced by Abdourahmane Mbodj6.8
18B. Munongo
7Ibou Sané
39B. Song81'for Bouna Sarr6.5
61P. Sy
12A. Touré

Match Stats

DunkerqueMetz
57%Ball Possession43%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
15Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal9
7Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box13
6Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
11Fouls18
0Offsides2
8Goalkeeper Saves4
505Total Passes390
431Passes Accurate320
18Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

DunkerqueDunkerque
MetzMetz
1586Elo Rating 1605
1.24Attack 1.68
1.61Defense 1.02
37%Hit Rate 23%
9.7Shots per Game 12.4
2.9Shots on Target 4.7
3.9Corners per Game 3.6
2.9Cards per Game 1.7

Game State Tendencies

DunkerqueDunkerque
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
MetzMetz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

DunkerqueDunkerque0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
MetzMetz3Wins · 100%
2.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Ligue 217/05/2025
MetzDunkerque
10
Ligue 215/03/2025
DunkerqueMetz
23
Ligue 209/12/2024
MetzDunkerque
20

Recent Form

DunkerqueDunkerque
3W2D5L
17/10/2026
NantesDunkerque
23
W
09/10/2026
DunkerqueAnnecy
01
L
02/10/2026
DunkerqueRAAL La Louvière
04
L
18/09/2026
PAUDunkerque
20
L
12/09/2026
DunkerqueSaint Etienne
21
W
04/09/2026
DunkerqueClermont Foot
11
D
28/08/2026
NancyDunkerque
20
L
21/08/2026
DunkerqueMontpellier
01
L
14/08/2026
ReimsDunkerque
33
D
08/08/2026
DunkerqueGrenoble
42
W
MetzMetz
3W4D3L
17/10/2026
MetzSochaux
32
W
12/10/2026
DijonMetz
42
L
19/09/2026
MetzSaint Etienne
22
D
14/09/2026
RED Star FC 93Metz
10
L
05/09/2026
MetzRodez
41
W
29/08/2026
AnnecyMetz
11
D
22/08/2026
MetzLaval
11
D
14/08/2026
GrenobleMetz
00
D
08/08/2026
MetzGuingamp
21
W
01/08/2026
Metz1. FC Kaiserslautern
13
L

Referee Profile

Mickael Leleu122 matches

3.42Cards per match
3.27Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
28.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mickael Leleu3.42
Other referees3.98

3.42 cards a match, 0.56 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.98).

Cards come from 59 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
4ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13BoulogneBoulogne101727:7010DWDLD
14RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3NancyNancy1012:819
4ReimsReims1020:1218
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13BoulogneBoulogne107:710
14RodezRodez1016:2210
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Dunkerque vs Metz forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dunkerque and Metz in the Ligue 2 table

Metz and Dunkerque are close in the Ligue 2 table, 8th and 10th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Dunkerque 14-16, Metz 16-14. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.