PAU vs Grenoble Prediction

PAU
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Grenoble
Nouste Camp, Pau·Henry Gabriel 23/10/2026
PAUPAU
2-1
Finished
GrenobleGrenoble

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
PAU Rest
7 days
Grenoble Rest
7 days

PAU vs Grenoble: the result in context

PAU beat Grenoble 2-1 in the Ligue 2 on 23 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: PAU had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Grenoble.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.84
X
27%3.42
2
23%4.08
Double Chance
1X
77%1.20
X2
50%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.85
No
49%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.04 = 2.40
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.06
Over 3.5
24%3.75
Under 1.5
29%3.15
Under 2.5
54%1.75
Under 3.5
76%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.1 = 9.5
Over 8.5
60%1.57
Over 9.5
48%2.00
Over 10.5
36%2.53
Under 8.5
40%2.21
Under 9.5
52%1.73
Under 10.5
64%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.6 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
52%-
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
48%-

Match Events

18'Aurélien Pelon INFarouq Limouri out
31'Ugo BonnetAssist: Yvann Macon
34'Tom PouillyFoul
36'Yvann MaconDissent
45'Abdoulaye Mbaye INBabacar Leye out
45+3'Bilal BrahimiDissent
56'Cheikh Fall INJeremy Sebas out
56'Tom Pouilly INAbdel Hakim Abdallah out
59'Jessy BenetFoul
67'Bilal Brahimi INLorenzo Rajot out
69'Gaëtan PaquiezFoul
73'Leonardo Cerri INKyliann Fofana out
74'T. DebèsDissent
74'Farouq LimouriFoul
77'Hacene BenaliAssist: Jeremy Sebas
81'Ugo Bonnet INJean-Guy Akpa Akpro out
81'Samba Lele Diba INLucas Bernadou out
82'Yvann Macon INNesta Zahui out
85'Hacene BenaliFoul
86'Yohann MagninFoul
89'Lorenzo Rajot
90+2'Clement VidalFoul

Lineups

PAU
5-3-2Coach: Thierry Debes
Grenoble
5-3-2Coach: O. Frapolli
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.37
B. Maubleu6.61B. Maubleu
T. Pouilly6.22T. Pouilly
G. Paquiez6.229G. Paquiez
A. Briançon7.023A. Briançon
A. Bamba6.788A. Bamba
M. Tourraine6.739M. Tourraine
C. Fall6.16C. Fall
J. Benet6.321J. Benet
B. Brahimi6.510B. Brahimi
H. Benali8.27H. Benali
Abdoulaye Mbaye6.656A. Mbaye
A. Olliero6.120A. Olliero
Y. Maçon6.897Y. Maçon
A. Pelon6.543A. Pelon
C. Vidal6.05C. Vidal
Owen Kouassi6.421O. Kouassi
M. Xantippe5.727M. Xantippe
S. Diba6.330S. Diba
Y. Magnin5.96Y. Magnin
M. Corboz6.514M. Corboz
U. Bonnet7.812U. Bonnet
L. Cerri6.617L. Cerri

PAU Substitutes

18J. Sebas56'for Cheikh Fall7.1
27L. Gadegbeku
4A. Dodote
97A. Abdallah56'for Tom Pouilly6.8
11A. Lefebvre
9B. Leye45'for Abdoulaye Mbaye6.4
22R. Baheng
5L. Rajot67'for Bilal Brahimi89'7.8
30E. Salles

Grenoble Substitutes

16B. Allain
8L. Bernadou81'for Samba Lele Diba6.2
23D. Hoogewerf
2M. Djitté
47K. Fofana73'for Leonardo Cerri6.3
3F. Limouri18'for Aurélien Pelon74'6.1
10B. Mouazan
92J. Akpa Akpro81'for Ugo Bonnet6.2
19N. Zahui82'for Yvann Macon6.4

Match Stats

PAUGrenoble
68%Ball Possession32%
4Corner Kicks1
5Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots0
22Fouls20
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
590Total Passes277
504Passes Accurate200
20Free Kicks21

Team Comparison

PAUPAU
GrenobleGrenoble
1594Elo Rating 1549
1.91Attack 0.58
1.97Defense 1.45
86%Hit Rate 14%
14.2Shots per Game 9.5
5.5Shots on Target 1.9
3.5Corners per Game 3.7
3.2Cards per Game 3.2

Game State Tendencies

PAUPAU
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
GrenobleGrenoble
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PAUPAU3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
GrenobleGrenoble2Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 223/01/2026
PAUGrenoble
22
Ligue 217/10/2025
GrenoblePAU
11
Ligue 228/02/2025
PAUGrenoble
10
Ligue 230/08/2024
GrenoblePAU
11
Ligue 224/02/2024
GrenoblePAU
01
Ligue 228/10/2023
PAUGrenoble
32
Ligue 211/02/2023
GrenoblePAU
11
Ligue 210/01/2023
PAUGrenoble
00
Ligue 215/03/2022
PAUGrenoble
01
Ligue 202/10/2021
GrenoblePAU
20

Recent Form

PAUPAU
5W2D3L
16/10/2026
GuingampPAU
12
W
09/10/2026
PAULaval
32
W
03/10/2026
ToulousePAU
23
W
18/09/2026
PAUDunkerque
20
W
11/09/2026
MontpellierPAU
10
L
04/09/2026
PAUSochaux
11
D
28/08/2026
RodezPAU
22
D
21/08/2026
PAUNancy
01
L
14/08/2026
DijonPAU
01
W
08/08/2026
PAUAnnecy
01
L
GrenobleGrenoble
2W3D5L
16/10/2026
GrenobleBoulogne
02
L
09/10/2026
MontpellierGrenoble
20
L
02/10/2026
GrenobleStade Lausanne-Ouchy
00
D
18/09/2026
GrenobleClermont Foot
11
D
11/09/2026
RodezGrenoble
01
W
04/09/2026
GrenobleAnnecy
12
L
28/08/2026
LavalGrenoble
03
W
22/08/2026
Saint EtienneGrenoble
40
L
14/08/2026
GrenobleMetz
00
D
08/08/2026
DunkerqueGrenoble
42
L

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
4ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13BoulogneBoulogne101727:7010DWDLD
14RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3NancyNancy1012:819
4ReimsReims1020:1218
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13BoulogneBoulogne107:710
14RodezRodez1016:2210
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the PAU vs Grenoble forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PAU and Grenoble in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, PAU are 5th and Grenoble 16th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: PAU 13-10, Grenoble 9-17. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Grenoble have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.