Hull City vs Aston Villa Prediction

Hull City
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Aston Villa
MKM Stadium, Hull·M. Oliver 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Hull City Rest
7 days
Aston Villa Rest
4 days

Hull City vs Aston Villa: the result in context

Hull City and Aston Villa drew 0-0 in the Premier League on 5 Sep 2026. Hull City had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Aston Villa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%4.10
X
27%3.60
2
45%1.90
Double Chance
1X
55%1.91
X2
72%1.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.75
No
43%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.58 = 2.80
Over 1.5
76%1.28
Over 2.5
57%1.89
Over 3.5
32%3.24
Under 1.5
24%3.57
Under 2.5
43%1.91
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.7 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.67
Over 9.5
47%2.07
Over 10.5
31%2.59
Under 8.5
43%2.15
Under 9.5
53%1.70
Under 10.5
69%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.3 = 2.9
Over 3.5
33%1.81
Over 4.5
17%2.55
Under 3.5
67%1.93
Under 4.5
83%1.48

Match Events

39'Semi AjayiFoul
63'Elliot Stroud INSorba Thomas out
64'Lewie Coyle INBrooke Norton-Cuffy out
67'Lucas Gourna-DouathFoul
71'Nobel Mendy INLucas Herrington out
75'George Hemmings IN Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha out
75'Emiliano Buendía INAlejandro Garnacho out
75'Ian Maatsen INMatteo Ruggeri out
82'Lucas Gourna-Douath INJens Hjertø-Dahl out
82'Mohamed Belloumi INMohamed Ali Cho out
85'Nicolas Jackson INTammy Abraham out
85'Matty Cash INAaron Wan-Bissaka out

Lineups

Hull City
5-4-1Coach: S. Jakirović
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1Coach: Unai Emery
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.78
K. Tzolakis6.219K. Tzolakis
L. Coyle6.12L. Coyle
S. Ajayi6.46S. Ajayi
J. Egan6.715J. Egan
N. Mendy6.932N. Mendy
R. Giles7.13R. Giles
M. Belloumi6.710M. Belloumi
R. Slater7.027R. Slater
L. Gourna-Douath6.329L. Gourna-Douath
E. Stroud6.421E. Stroud
O. McBurnie6.39O. McBurnie
Z. Suzuki7.71Z. Suzuki
M. Cash6.72M. Cash
V. Lindelöf7.63V. Lindelöf
T. Mings7.15T. Mings
I. Maatsen7.022I. Maatsen
B. Kamara7.28B. Kamara
R. Barkley7.26R. Barkley
J.  McGinn6.27J. McGinn
E. Buendía6.210E. Buendía
George Hemmings6.453G. Hemmings
N. Jackson6.311N. Jackson

Hull City Substitutes

50M. Cho82'for Mohamed Belloumi6.5
47R. Vaz
36C. Mouzakitis
18B. Norton-Cuffy64'for Lewie Coyle6.5
7S. Thomas63'for Elliot Stroud6.6
14J. Hjertø-Dahl82'for Lucas Gourna-Douath6.2
23M. Targett
22L. Herrington71'for Nobel Mendy6.8
12D. Phillips

Aston Villa Substitutes

18T. Abraham85'for Nicolas Jackson6.5
47Alysson Edward75'for George Hemmings6.1
17A. Garnacho75'for Emiliano Buendía6.5
40M. Bizot
13M. Ruggeri75'for Ian Maatsen6.9
14Pau Torres
29A. Wan-Bissaka85'for Matty Cash6.8
19I. Mbaye
26L. Bogarde

Match Stats

Hull CityAston Villa
26%Ball Possession74%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box3
0Blocked Shots5
10Fouls5
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
229Total Passes694
167Passes Accurate624
4Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Hull CityHull City
Aston VillaAston Villa
1700Elo Rating 1906
1.24Attack 0.98
1.42Defense 1.07
0%Hit Rate 31%
10.7Shots per Game 13.7
2.7Shots on Target 3.7
5.3Corners per Game 5.9
2.2Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Hull CityHull City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Aston VillaAston Villa
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Recent Form

Hull CityHull City
7W2D1L
29/08/2026
CoventryHull City
01
W
25/08/2026
Stoke CityHull City
4151
W
22/08/2026
Hull CityManchester United
20
W
15/08/2026
Hull CityNice
00
D
08/08/2026
Eintracht FrankfurtHull City
20
L
01/08/2026
KasımpaşaHull City
11
D
28/07/2026
RizesporHull City
12
W
25/07/2026
KonyasporHull City
03
W
23/05/2026
Hull CityMiddlesbrough
10
W
11/05/2026
MillwallHull City
02
W
Aston VillaAston Villa
3W0D7L
31/08/2026
Aston VillaArsenal
01
L
23/08/2026
BrightonAston Villa
40
L
15/08/2026
Borussia MönchengladbachAston Villa
21
L
12/08/2026
Paris Saint GermainAston Villa
21
L
07/08/2026
Bayern MünchenAston Villa
21
L
04/08/2026
BG Pathum UnitedAston Villa
13
W
28/07/2026
Aston VillaReal Sociedad
24
L
25/07/2026
FC PortoAston Villa
21
L
21/07/2026
WalsallAston Villa
05
W
24/05/2026
Manchester CityAston Villa
12
W

Referee Profile

M. Oliver315 matches

3.93Cards per match
3.79Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Oliver3.94
Other referees3.94

3.94 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 308 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal1090115:5+1027WWWWW
2BrightonBrighton1071226:7+1922WWLWW
3Manchester CityManchester City1070321:13+821LLLWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool1053214:10+418WLWWL
5ChelseaChelsea1051419:16+316LWLWW
6EvertonEverton1044212:10+216WWLLD
7BournemouthBournemouth1043316:14+215WWWWL
8BrentfordBrentford1035216:11+514LWDLD
9LeedsLeeds1035210:8+214WLDDL
10Aston VillaAston Villa1034314:17-313DDWWD
11TottenhamTottenham1033410:11-112LWWWD
12NewcastleNewcastle1033413:16-312DLWLL
13Hull CityHull City1025311:11011LDDLD
14IpswichIpswich1032515:20-511LDDLW
15FulhamFulham1024410:12-210DDWWL
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest102359:13-49WLDLL
17CoventryCoventry1030710:19-99LWLLW
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1015414:19-58DLLDD
19SunderlandSunderland102268:17-98WLDLL
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1021710:24-147LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal1015:527
2BrightonBrighton1026:722
3Manchester CityManchester City1021:1321
4LiverpoolLiverpool1014:1018
5ChelseaChelsea1019:1616
6EvertonEverton1012:1016
7BournemouthBournemouth1016:1415
8BrentfordBrentford1016:1114
9LeedsLeeds1010:814
10Aston VillaAston Villa1014:1713
11TottenhamTottenham1010:1112
12NewcastleNewcastle1013:1612
13Hull CityHull City1011:1111
14IpswichIpswich1015:2011
15FulhamFulham1010:1210
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest109:139
17CoventryCoventry1010:199
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1014:198
19SunderlandSunderland108:178
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1010:247
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Hull City vs Aston Villa forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Hull City and Aston Villa in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Aston Villa are 10th and Hull City 13th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Hull City 11-11, Aston Villa 14-17. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aston Villa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Hull City and Aston Villa have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.