FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Prediction

TQL Stadium, Cincinnati·Rubiel Vazquez 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
FC Cincinnati Rest
4 days
New England Revolution Rest
4 days

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution: the result in context

New England Revolution beat FC Cincinnati 3-2 in the Major League Soccer on 15 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: New England Revolution had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for FC Cincinnati.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.84
X
22%4.20
2
26%3.58
Double Chance
1X
74%1.28
X2
48%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.33
No
32%3.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.19 = 2.97
Over 1.5
86%1.07
Over 2.5
68%1.33
Over 3.5
47%1.80
Under 1.5
14%7.73
Under 2.5
32%3.25
Under 3.5
53%1.95
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.8 = 10.6
Over 8.5
66%1.36
Over 9.5
59%1.57
Over 10.5
49%2.00
Under 8.5
34%2.97
Under 9.5
41%2.23
Under 10.5
51%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.72
Over 4.5
38%2.65
Under 3.5
42%2.05
Under 4.5
62%1.45

Match Events

4'Ilay FeingoldFoul
13'Tom BarlowAssist: Tyrell Malacia
21'Dor TurgemanAssist: Peyton Miller
31'Tyrell MalaciaFoul
43'Joshua WynderAssist: Carles Gil
44'Tom BarlowFoul
45'Obinna Nwobodo INPavel Bucha out
45'Tom Barlow INKenji Mboma Dem out
45'Julian Malatini INSamuel Mawuena Gidi out
51'Dor TurgemanAssist: Peyton Miller
51'Goal confirmedDor Turgeman
67'Kevin DenkeyAssist: Tyrell Malacia
68'Tyrell Malacia INEvander out
69'Dániel Gazdag INLuca Daniel·Langoni out
74'Ilay Feingold INJackson Yueill out
81'Kyle Smith INAyoub Jabbari out
83'M. MitrovicDissent
84'EvanderDissent
89'Peyton Miller INTanner·Beason out
89'Dor Turgeman INCody Baker out

Lineups

FC Cincinnati
3-5-2Coach: Pat Noonan
New England Revolution
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Mićović
Avg rating6.48
Avg rating6.86
E. Louro5.913E. Louro
K. Smith6.224K. Smith
J. Malatini6.26J. Malatini
T. Hadebe6.115T. Hadebe
E. Echenique6.066E. Echenique
B. Anunga6.727B. Anunga
G. Valenzuela6.622G. Valenzuela
O. Nwobodo5.95O. Nwobodo
T. Malacia8.03T. Malacia
T. Barlow7.316T. Barlow
K. Denkey7.89K. Denkey
M. Turner7.530M. Turner
I. Feingold6.312I. Feingold
E. Kohler6.622E. Kohler
J. Wynder7.966J. Wynder
W. Sands6.623W. Sands
M. Polster6.28M. Polster
B. Raines6.421B. Raines
P. Miller8.025P. Miller
Carles Gil7.710C. Gil
D. Gazdag6.116D. Gazdag
D. Turgeman9.299D. Turgeman

FC Cincinnati Substitutes

99A. Jabbari81'for Kyle Smith6.5
4N. Hagglund
11S. Gidi45'for Julian Malatini6.6
10Evander68'for Tyrell Malacia84'5.5
23D. Douděra
18R. Celentano
20P. Bucha45'for Obinna Nwobodo6.0
17K. Mboma Dem45'for Tom Barlow6.5
29Bryan Josías Ramírez León

New England Revolution Substitutes

14J. Yueill74'for Ilay Feingold6.1
15C. Baker89'for Dor Turgeman5.7
4T. Beason89'for Peyton Miller5.8
77D. Fagundez
27W. Harris
41L. Langoni69'for Dániel Gazdag6.9
33D. Parisian
65J. Siqueira
7G. Yow

Match Stats

FC CincinnatiNew England Revolution
58%Ball Possession42%
12Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots10
9Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box9
13Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots3
8Fouls7
2Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves7
544Total Passes378
484Passes Accurate320
7Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
1582Elo Rating 1615
1.49Attack 1.52
0.80Defense 1.18
19%Hit Rate 64%
20.2Shots per Game 11.2
6.5Shots on Target 5.1
6.0Corners per Game 5.9
2.1Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution4Wins · 40%
3.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer15/03/2026
New England RevolutionFC Cincinnati
61
Major League Soccer15/06/2025
New England RevolutionFC Cincinnati
01
Major League Soccer06/04/2025
FC CincinnatiNew England Revolution
10
Major League Soccer23/06/2024
FC CincinnatiNew England Revolution
12
Major League Soccer17/03/2024
New England RevolutionFC Cincinnati
12
Major League Soccer02/07/2023
FC CincinnatiNew England Revolution
22
Major League Soccer30/04/2023
New England RevolutionFC Cincinnati
11
Major League Soccer04/07/2022
New England RevolutionFC Cincinnati
22
Major League Soccer22/05/2022
FC CincinnatiNew England Revolution
23
US Open Cup12/05/2022
New England RevolutionFC Cincinnati
51

Referee Profile

Rubiel Vazquez137 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.83Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rubiel Vazquez4.02
Other referees4.33

4.02 cards a match, 0.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 128 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC30207364:23+4167DWWWW
2Inter MiamiInter Miami301510573:51+2255WWWLD
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution301641049:41+852WWLLW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire301461052:44+848LLWWW
5CharlotteCharlotte30138953:45+847DLWLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union301371061:48+1346DWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC301251358:70-1241WDWLL
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati301091162:71-939WLLWL
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls301061439:56-1736LLWLW
10Toronto FCToronto FC308121046:55-936WDWLL
11Columbus CrewColumbus Crew301051546:47-135WWLWW
12New York City FCNew York City FC308101243:41+234DLLDL
13DC UnitedDC United307121138:53-1533LLWLD
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC30861637:51-1430LWLDW
15CF MontrealCF Montreal30671736:60-2425DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3064:2367
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3073:5155
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3049:4152
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3052:4448
5CharlotteCharlotte3053:4547
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3061:4846
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3058:7041
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3062:7139
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3039:5636
10Toronto FCToronto FC3046:5536
11Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3046:4735
12New York City FCNew York City FC3043:4134
13DC UnitedDC United3038:5333
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3037:5130
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3036:6025
Promotion

About the FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, New England Revolution are 3rd and FC Cincinnati 8th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Cincinnati 62-71, New England Revolution 49-41. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

New England Revolution have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.