Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

Major League SoccerUSA USA · Regular Season - 24
Philadelphia Union
5-0
Finished
HT 2-0
FC Cincinnati
Subaru Park, Chester· Joseph Dickerson, USA 10/09/2026
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
5-0
Finished
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel49%RiskMediumGap+2.4%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.78
SignalHIGHModel63%RiskMediumGap+9.5%
Philadelphia Union Rest
4 days
FC Cincinnati Rest
10 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.67
X
27%4.40
2
26%4.25
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
53%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
83%1.36
No
17%2.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.47 = 3.10
Over 1.5
90%1.08
Over 2.5
76%1.33
Over 3.5
52%1.84
Under 1.5
10%7.45
Under 2.5
24%3.25
Under 3.5
48%1.95
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.2 = 10.2
Over 8.5
68%1.31
Over 9.5
54%1.55
Over 10.5
42%1.91
Under 8.5
32%3.04
Under 9.5
46%2.26
Under 10.5
58%1.79
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.43
Over 4.5
42%1.87
Under 3.5
38%2.62
Under 4.5
58%1.83

Match Events

14'Card upgrade confirmedObinna Nwobodo
16'Obinna NwobodoSerious foul
40'EvanderFoul
43'Quinn Sullivan(Penalty)
45+1'Bruno DamianiAssist: Cavan Sullivan
45'Evander INAlvas Powell out
45'Kevin Denkey INTom Barlow out
45'Ender Jesús Echenique Peña INNick Hagglund out
49'Bruno DamianiAssist: Quinn Sullivan
61'Bruno DamianiAssist: Cavan Sullivan
62'Gerardo Valenzuela INTah Anunga out
65'Jovan Lukic INJesus Bueno out
66'Ezekiel Kwame Alladoh INMilan Iloski out
66'Quinn Sullivan INIndiana Vassilev out
72'Goal cancelledBruno Damiani
75'Bruno Damiani INMalik Jakupovic out
75'Ayoub Jabbari INSamuel Mawuena Gidi out
75'Cavan Sullivan INAlejandro Bedoya out
82'Goal cancelledPavel Bucha
87'Tah AnungaFoul
89'Milan Iloski(Penalty)

Lineups

Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Coach: Ryan Richter
FC Cincinnati
3-4-1-2Coach: Pat Noonan
A. Blake18A. BlakeA. Blake
F. Westfield39F. WestfieldF. Westfield
Neil Pierre44N. PierreNeil Pierre
N. Harriel26N. HarrielN. Harriel
K. Wagner27K. WagnerK. Wagner
Cavan Sullivan6C. SullivanCavan Sullivan
D. Jean-Jacques21D. Jean-JacquesD. Jean-Jacques
J. Lukić4J. LukićJ. Lukić
Q. Sullivan33Q. SullivanQ. Sullivan
E. Alladoh23E. AlladohE. Alladoh
B. Damiani9B. DamianiB. Damiani
R. Celentano18R. CelentanoR. Celentano
K. Smith24K. SmithK. Smith
M. Robinson12M. RobinsonM. Robinson
A. Chirila88A. ChirilaA. Chirila
P. Bucha20P. BuchaP. Bucha
G. Valenzuela22G. ValenzuelaG. Valenzuela
O. Nwobodo5O. NwobodoO. Nwobodo
E. Echenique66E. EcheniqueE. Echenique
Evander10EvanderEvander
A. Jabbari99A. JabbariA. Jabbari
K. Denkey9K. DenkeyK. Denkey

Philadelphia Union Substitutes

28A. AnelloF
8J. BuenoM
19I. VassilevM
10M. IloskiF
51M. JakupovicF
76A. RickG
5J. Sery LarsenD
16B. BenderM
11A. BedoyaM

FC Cincinnati Substitutes

16T. BarlowF
11S. GidiM
4N. HagglundD
15T. HadebeD
13E. LouroG
17K. Mboma DemF
2A. PowellD
27B. AnungaM
29Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónD

Match Stats

Philadelphia UnionFC Cincinnati
67%Ball Possession33%
7Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots1
6Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal1
17Shots Inside Box1
3Shots Outside Box0
6Blocked Shots0
16Fouls6
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
601Total Passes302
527Passes Accurate215
88%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
1698Elo Rating 1636
3.52Attack 1.26
2.69Defense 0.00
86%Hit Rate 14%
18.1Shots per Game 15.8
5.6Shots on Target 6.6
5.9Corners per Game 6.0
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend59% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1 in first half)
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Philadelphia Union 50%Draw 0%50% FC Cincinnati
3.3Avg Goals
59%BTTS Rate
59%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
3W2D0L
06/09/2026
Philadelphia UnionCF Montreal
20
W30/08/2026
New York Red BullsPhiladelphia Union
13
W23/08/2026
AustinPhiladelphia Union
11
D20/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami
22
D17/08/2026
New York City FCPhiladelphia Union
23
W
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
1W2D2L
30/08/2026
Nashville SCFC Cincinnati
40
L23/08/2026
FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders
11
D20/08/2026
FC CincinnatiNew York City FC
21
W
16/08/2026
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati
11
D
12/08/2026
FC CincinnatiAtlas
12
L

Referee Profile

Joseph Dickerson, USA · 6 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
25.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 58% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Philadelphia Union have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.3 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.