Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew Prediction

Inter Miami
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Columbus Crew
Nu Stadium, Fort Lauderdale·T. Penso 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.58
SignalGOODModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.58
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+12.2%
Inter Miami Rest
7 days
Columbus Crew Rest
7 days

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew: the result in context

Inter Miami and Columbus Crew drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 2 Aug 2026. Inter Miami had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 3 for Columbus Crew.

Inter Miami have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.58
X
8%4.59
2
22%4.90
Double Chance
1X
78%1.17
X2
30%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
76%1.40
No
24%2.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.1 + 1.17 = 3.27
Over 1.5
89%1.08
Over 2.5
69%1.33
Over 3.5
48%1.84
Under 1.5
11%7.08
Under 2.5
31%3.27
Under 3.5
52%1.94
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.8 = 10.1
Over 8.5
60%1.53
Over 9.5
49%1.86
Over 10.5
37%2.42
Under 8.5
40%2.33
Under 9.5
51%1.84
Under 10.5
63%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.1 = 3.5
Over 3.5
51%1.63
Over 4.5
32%2.20
Under 3.5
49%2.17
Under 4.5
68%1.58

Match Events

16'L. SuarezAssist: Y. Bright
34'CasemiroOG
45+5'N. AllenAssist: L. Suarez
53'D. Pinter INL. Messi out
61'D. Chambost INS. Bangoura out
61'D. Gazdag INB. Mendez out
72'H. Picard INL. Giaccone out
74'S. Bangoura
75'F. Mura IND. Ruiz out
75'Y. Bright IND. Ayala out
82'Casemiro
84'B. Mendez
86'J. Thiare INB. Lennon out
86'M. Silvetti INP. Plambeck out
90+5'P. Schulte

Lineups

Inter Miami
Coach: Guillermo Hoyos Angel
Columbus Crew
Coach: Laurent Courtois

Inter Miami Starting XI

34Rocco Ríos Novo
4Facundo Mura75'replaced by D. Ruiz
15Fricio Caicedo
16Micael
32Noah Allen45+5'
42Yannick Bright75'replaced by D. Ayala
5Casemiro34'82'
7Rodrigo De Paul
56Daniel Pinter53'replaced by L. Messi
24Mateo Silvetti86'replaced by P. Plambeck
9Luis Suárez16'

Columbus Crew Starting XI

28Patrick Schulte90+5'
31Steven Moreira
4Rudy Camacho
25Sean Zawadzki
23Mohamed Farsi
7Dylan Chambost61'replaced by S. Bangoura
20André Gomes
30Hugo Picard72'replaced by L. Giaccone
16Taha Habroune
8Dániel Gazdag61'replaced by B. Mendez
19Jamal Thiaré86'replaced by B. Lennon

Inter Miami Substitutes

97Dayne St. Clair
76Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
70Daniel Sumalla
41David Ruíz75'for F. Mura
22David Ayala75'for Y. Bright
55Ian Urkidi
59Preston Plambeck86'for M. Silvetti
52Diego Rey
10Lionel Messi53'for D. Pinter

Columbus Crew Substitutes

1Nicholas Hagen
18Malte Amundsen
11Brooks Lennon86'for J. Thiare
12Cesar Ruvalcaba
26Lautaro Giaccone72'for H. Picard
10Brais Méndez61'for D. Gazdag84'
50Tarun Karumanchi
17Sekou Tidiany Bangoura61'for D. Chambost74'
46Chase Adams

Team Comparison

Inter MiamiInter Miami
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
1714Elo Rating 1699
1.78Attack 2.33
1.72Defense 2.61
58%Hit Rate 83%
12.5Shots per Game 9.8
4.6Shots on Target 3.9
2.3Corners per Game 3.1
2.3Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.27 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Inter MiamiInter Miami
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Inter MiamiInter Miami7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer01/06/2025
Inter MiamiColumbus Crew
51
Major League Soccer19/04/2025
Columbus CrewInter Miami
01
Major League Soccer03/10/2024
Columbus CrewInter Miami
23
Major League Soccer20/06/2024
Inter MiamiColumbus Crew
21
Major League Soccer05/07/2023
Inter MiamiColumbus Crew
22
Major League Soccer30/04/2023
Columbus CrewInter Miami
12
Major League Soccer14/09/2022
Inter MiamiColumbus Crew
21
Major League Soccer01/09/2022
Columbus CrewInter Miami
10
Major League Soccer17/10/2021
Columbus CrewInter Miami
40
Major League Soccer12/09/2021
Inter MiamiColumbus Crew
10

Recent Form

Inter MiamiInter Miami
8W1D1L
26/07/2026
CF MontrealInter Miami
01
W
23/07/2026
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
32
W
25/05/2026
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
64
W
18/05/2026
Inter MiamiPortland Timbers
20
W
14/05/2026
FC CincinnatiInter Miami
35
W
09/05/2026
Toronto FCInter Miami
24
W
03/05/2026
Inter MiamiOrlando City SC
34
L
26/04/2026
Inter MiamiNew England Revolution
11
D
23/04/2026
Real Salt LakeInter Miami
02
W
18/04/2026
Colorado RapidsInter Miami
23
W
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
4W2D4L
26/07/2026
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
21
W
23/07/2026
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
12
L
12/07/2026
Columbus CrewBurnley
11
D
24/05/2026
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC
20
W
21/05/2026
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
10
W
17/05/2026
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
11
D
14/05/2026
New York Red BullsColumbus Crew
32
L
10/05/2026
New York City FCColumbus Crew
30
L
03/05/2026
Columbus CrewMinnesota United FC
23
L
30/04/2026
Columbus CrewOne Knoxville
41
W

Referee Profile

T. Penso85 matches

3.93Cards per match
3.83Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
21.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

T. Penso3.93
Other referees4.20

3.93 cards a match, 0.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).

Cards come from 81 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
Promotion

About the Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Inter Miami and Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Inter Miami are 2nd and Columbus Crew 7th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Inter Miami 80-59, Columbus Crew 59-52. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Columbus Crew have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.