FF Jaro vs Mariehamn Prediction

FF Jaro
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Mariehamn
Project Liv Arena, Jakobstad·Mohammad Al-Emara 17/10/2026
FF JaroFF Jaro
1-1
Finished
MariehamnMariehamn

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
FF Jaro Rest
6 days
Mariehamn Rest
6 days

FF Jaro vs Mariehamn: the result in context

FF Jaro and Mariehamn drew 1-1 in the Veikkausliiga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.25
X
26%3.40
2
31%2.88
Double Chance
1X
69%1.38
X2
57%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.62
No
44%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.19 = 2.64
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.78
Over 3.5
31%2.80
Under 1.5
26%3.82
Under 2.5
48%2.01
Under 3.5
69%1.37
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'Tuomas KoivistoFoul
64'Ville VuorinenAssist: Fabian Ostigard Ness
69'Adam Larsson INJelle van der Heyden out
69'Viktor Widlund INSebastian Dahlström out
75'Kaius Hardén INAdam Vidjeskog out
79'Gergő KocsisOG
84'Ville Vuorinen INJoni Remesaho out
84'Jonathan Lawson INLinus Zetterstrom out
84'Jim Myrevik INValde Löfs out

Lineups

FF Jaro
4-4-2Coach: Jens Karlsson
Mariehamn
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Björknesjö
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.79
S. Vits6.21S. Vits
A. Bjonbäck6.65A. Bjonbäck
J. Brunell7.46J. Brunell
M. Ogungbaro6.94M. Ogungbaro
F. Østigård Ness7.919F. Østigård Ness
J. Myrevik7.021J. Myrevik
G. Kocsis6.025G. Kocsis
J. Skau6.47J. Skau
K. Hardén6.122K. Hardén
2323J. Lawson
V. Vuorinen8.091V. Vuorinen
K. Lund7.31K. Lund
L. Richtnér7.227L. Richtnér
N. Nurmi7.12N. Nurmi
T. Koivisto6.65T. Koivisto
Samson Ngulube7.031S. Ngulube
J. Svedberg7.211J. Svedberg
E. Patut7.120E. Patut
V. Widlund6.223V. Widlund
Arvid Bergvik6.714A. Bergvik
T. Jakobsen6.219T. Jakobsen
A. Larsson6.47A. Larsson

FF Jaro Substitutes

24V. Lofs84'for Jim Myrevik6.4
42J. Remesaho84'for Ville Vuorinen6.3
77A. Sabriye
12Joas Snellman
20T. Soderstrom
16A. Vidjeskog75'for Kaius Hardén6.5
27J. Vikstrom
9L. Zetterström84'replaced by Jonathan Lawson6.6
8Oliver Kass Kawo

Mariehamn Substitutes

3A. Soiniemi
9W. Nuñez
16A. Huttunen
8J. van der Heyden69'for Adam Larsson7.0
12O. Heino
10S. Dahlström69'for Viktor Widlund6.4
43L. Andersson
64M. Hyvönen

Match Stats

FF JaroMariehamn
48%Ball Possession52%
6Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal10
12Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots6
7Fouls13
1Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
246Total Passes605
186Passes Accurate549
13Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

FF JaroFF Jaro
MariehamnMariehamn
1472Elo Rating 1482
1.00Attack 1.00
2.19Defense 1.83
19%Hit Rate 17%
15.4Shots per Game 14.1
3.6Shots on Target 2.5
6.3Corners per Game 5.0
1.3Cards per Game 1.9

Game State Tendencies

FF JaroFF Jaro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
MariehamnMariehamn
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FF JaroFF Jaro2Wins · 40%
Draws120%
MariehamnMariehamn2Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga31/08/2026
MariehamnFF Jaro
20
Veikkausliiga23/05/2026
FF JaroMariehamn
30
Veikkausliiga28/09/2025
FF JaroMariehamn
23
Veikkausliiga06/07/2025
FF JaroMariehamn
11
Veikkausliiga05/04/2025
MariehamnFF Jaro
02

Referee Profile

Mohammad Al-Emara156 matches

3.66Cards per match
3.47Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
21.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mohammad Al-Emara3.66
Other referees4.08

3.66 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.08).

Cards come from 59 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543DWLLW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WLWDW
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWWD
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736LLLDD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WWLWL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLWLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the FF Jaro vs Mariehamn forecast

The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FF Jaro and Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga table

FF Jaro and Mariehamn are close in the Veikkausliiga table, 11th and 12th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: FF Jaro 18-44, Mariehamn 17-43. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.