Lahti vs Mariehamn Prediction

Lahti
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Mariehamn
Lahden Stadion, Lahti 08/09/2026
LahtiLahti
2-1
Finished
MariehamnMariehamn

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalGOODModel69%RiskMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalGOODModel67%RiskMediumGap+4.1%
Lahti Rest
7 days
Mariehamn Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.53
X
20%4.13
2
14%5.50
Double Chance
1X
86%1.13
X2
34%2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.75
No
45%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.95 + 0.94 = 2.89
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.68
Over 3.5
33%2.65
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
45%2.11
Under 3.5
67%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

38'Aaron LindholmAssist: Tofol Montiel
60'Jelle van der Heyden INLeo Andersson out
61'Viktor Widlund INAdam Stroud out
61'Arvid Bergvik INMarlo Hyvonen out
64'Martim Ferreira INJustus Ojanen out
64'Tofol Montiel INErik Andersson out
65'Adam Stroud
71'Noah NurmiFoul
75'Topias Inkinen INVaino Vehkonen out
80'Foster gyamfiFoul
81'Romaric YapiDissent
83'Aaron Lindholm INAmir Belabid out
83'Momodou Sarr INDaniel Heikkinen out
87'Justus OjanenAssist: Vaino Vehkonen
89'José MüllerTime wasting
90+2'Vaino VehkonenFoul

Lineups

Lahti
4-3-3Coach: Gonçalo Pereira
Mariehamn
4-4-2Coach: R. Björknesjö
O. Maukonen31O. MaukonenO. Maukonen
R. Yapi27R. YapiR. Yapi
Nícolas5NícolasNícolas
J. Muller4J. MullerJ. Muller
T. Inkinen25T. InkinenT. Inkinen
Tòfol Montiel8T. MontielTòfol Montiel
Y. Cassubie18Y. CassubieY. Cassubie
O. Koskinen10O. KoskinenO. Koskinen
M. Sarr77M. SarrM. Sarr
A. Lindholm9A. LindholmA. Lindholm
Martim Ferreira11M. FerreiraMartim Ferreira
K. Lund1K. LundK. Lund
T. Koivisto5T. KoivistoT. Koivisto
N. Nurmi2N. NurmiN. Nurmi
F. Gyamfi53F. GyamfiF. Gyamfi
Samson Ngulube31S. NgulubeSamson Ngulube
V. Widlund23V. WidlundV. Widlund
J. van der Heyden8J. van der HeydenJ. van der Heyden
E. Patut20E. PatutE. Patut
Arvid Bergvik14A. BergvikArvid Bergvik
J. Svedberg11J. SvedbergJ. Svedberg
T. Jakobsen19T. JakobsenT. Jakobsen

Lahti Substitutes

12A. HakalaG
6V. VehkonenD
7D. HeikkinenM
14E. AnderssonM
20J. OjanenF
28A. KabashiM
17A. BelabidF
41Aleksi PaalanenF
44L. JarvinenF

Mariehamn Substitutes

26M. JanssonM
18A. StroudD
16A. HuttunenM
3A. SoiniemiD
12O. HeinoG
43L. AnderssonF
64M. HyvönenM

Match Stats

LahtiMariehamn
56%Ball Possession44%
2Corner Kicks9
3Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
9Fouls14
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
570Total Passes286
483Passes Accurate202
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

LahtiLahti
MariehamnMariehamn
1629Elo Rating 1486
1.39Attack 1.83
1.51Defense 2.21
59%Hit Rate 77%
16.2Shots per Game 11.1
4.3Shots on Target 3.5
4.2Corners per Game 4.7
2.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+143 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend34% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

LahtiLahti
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MariehamnMariehamn
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Lahti 64%Draw 19%17% Mariehamn
2.24Avg Goals
34%BTTS Rate
31%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LahtiLahti
3W1D1L
31/08/2026
VPSLahti
01
W
21/08/2026
SJKLahti
12
W
16/08/2026
LahtiKuPS
12
L
09/08/2026
Inter TurkuLahti
00
D
01/08/2026
LahtiFF Jaro
20
W

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LLWDW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WDWDW
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WLWWL
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736DWWDL
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWLLW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LWLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WWLDW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531DDWDW
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325LLLWL
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819DLLDW
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615LLLLL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614WWWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314
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Lahti vs Mariehamn Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Veikkausliiga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Veikkausliiga

ScorePredicts covers Finland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Mariehamn have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lahti and Mariehamn have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.24 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.