Mariehamn vs Ilves Prediction
Finland · Relegation Group - 26
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Mariehamn vs Ilves: the result in context
Mariehamn and Ilves drew 1-1 in the Veikkausliiga on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Mariehamn tend to win more corners, 5.0 a game to 2.0 for Ilves.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Mariehamn
Avg ratingAvg rating
1K. Lund
27L. Richtnér
2N. Nurmi
5T. Koivisto
31S. Ngulube
23V. Widlund
20E. Patut
16A. Huttunen
14A. Bergvik
18A. Stroud
7A. Larsson
12F. Krkalić
22O. Multala
5S. Väisänen
24V. Kumpu
3M. Rale
13K. Wallius
19G. Bamba
14A. Popovitch
28J. Kilo
45E. Tamminen
9T. HytönenMariehamn Substitutes
Ilves Substitutes
Match Stats
MariehamnIlves Team Comparison
MariehamnIlvesAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Mariehamn- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ilves- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Mariehamn2Wins · 20%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
09/08/2026IlvesMariehamn18/04/2026MariehamnIlves31/08/2025IlvesMariehamn27/04/2025MariehamnIlves11/08/2024IlvesMariehamn28/04/2024MariehamnIlves27/09/2023IlvesMariehamn15/07/2023IlvesMariehamn05/04/2023MariehamnIlves02/10/2022IlvesMariehamnRecent Form
Mariehamn
SJKMariehamnMariehamn
Turku PS
LahtiMariehamnMariehamn
FF Jaro
KuPSMariehamnMariehamnSJKIlvesMariehamnTurku PSMariehamnMariehamn
AC OuluMariehamnLahtiIlvesTurku PSIlvesIlvesLahtiIlvesFF JaroIlves
HJK HelsinkiIlves
VPS
GnistanIlvesIlves
HNK RijekaIlvesMariehamnHNK RijekaIlvesAC OuluIlvesReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.90 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.53).
Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Veikkausliiga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | +15 | 43 | DWLLW |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | +13 | 42 | WLWDW |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | +9 | 37 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | +7 | 36 | LLLDD |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | +7 | 33 | LLWLL |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | +7 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 8 | Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | +5 | 31 | LLLLD |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 10 | SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 | LWWDD |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 | DWDDL |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 | DDLWL |
Relegration Group
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About the Mariehamn vs Ilves forecast
The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Mariehamn and Ilves in the Veikkausliiga table
In the Veikkausliiga table, Ilves are 9th and Mariehamn 12th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Mariehamn 17-43, Ilves 34-37. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Ilves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.