Mariehamn vs FF Jaro Prediction

Mariehamn
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
FF Jaro
Wiklof Holding Arena, Mariehamn·Peiman Simani, Finland 31/08/2026
MariehamnMariehamn
2-0
Finished
FF JaroFF Jaro

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Mariehamn Rest
8 days
FF Jaro Rest
9 days

Mariehamn vs FF Jaro: result, form and history

Mariehamn beat FF Jaro 2-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 31 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them. Referee Peiman Simani averages 3.48 cards a game, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.18
X
23%3.50
2
27%2.98
Double Chance
1X
73%1.35
X2
50%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.56
No
45%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.21 = 2.88
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.70
Over 3.5
33%2.65
Under 1.5
25%4.05
Under 2.5
46%2.10
Under 3.5
67%1.41
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

43'A. LarssonFoul
49'K. HardenFoul
52'J. SkauFoul
60'V. Vuorinen INJ. Remesaho out
62'A. Larsson
69'K. Harden INA. Bjonback out
73'A. Larsson INT. Jakobsen out
75'T. JakobsenAssist: J. Svedberg
76'A. Vidjeskog INJ. Vikstrom out
76'O. Kass Kawo INV. Lofs out
77'J. SvedbergUnsportsmanlike conduct
77'V. LofsUnsportsmanlike conduct
80'A. Bergvik INA. Stroud out
80'V. Widlund INM. Hyvonen out

Lineups

Mariehamn
4-2-3-1Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo
FF Jaro
4-2-3-1Coach: Jens Karlsson
Kevin Lund1K. Lund
Ludvig Richtnér26L. Richtnér
Tuomas Koivisto5T. Koivisto
Foster Gyamfi19F. Gyamfi
Samson Ngulube31S. Ngulube
Jelle van der Heyden8J. van der Heyden
Emmanuel Patut20E. Patut
Jonathan Svedberg11J. Svedberg
Arvid Bergvik14A. Bergvik
Viktor Widlund23V. Widlund
Adam Larsson7A. Larsson
Senne Vits1S. Vits
Jim Myrevik21J. Myrevik
Jesper Svenungsen Skau7J. Svenungsen Skau
Gergő Kocsis25G. Kocsis
Fabian Östigard Ness19F. Östigard Ness
Oliver Kass Kawo8O. Kass Kawo
Adam Vidjeskog16A. Vidjeskog
Ville Vuorinen91V. Vuorinen
Kaius Hardén22K. Hardén
Abdi Mohamed Sabriye77A. Mohamed Sabriye
Linus Zetterstrom9L. Zetterstrom

Mariehamn Substitutes

32Anton Gustafsson
3Aaro Soiniemi
22Amir Oujlouq
15Ola Melander
18Adam Stroud80'for A. Bergvik
19Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen
26Milton Jansson
64Marlo Hyvonen80'for V. Widlund
43Leo Andersson

FF Jaro Substitutes

42Joni Remesaho60'for V. Vuorinen
5Aron Bjonbäck69'for K. Harden
12Joas Snellman
2Felix Kass
6Johan Brunell
20Ted Soderstrom
24Valde Lofs76'for O. Kass Kawo77'
18Elliot Holmäng
27Joas Vikström76'for A. Vidjeskog

Team Comparison

MariehamnMariehamn
FF JaroFF Jaro
1482Elo Rating 1487
1.00Attack 1.00
1.83Defense 2.44
17%Hit Rate 44%
14.1Shots per Game 15.9
2.5Shots on Target 4.0
5.0Corners per Game 5.5
1.9Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MariehamnMariehamn
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FF JaroFF Jaro
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

MariehamnMariehamn1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
FF JaroFF Jaro2Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga23/05/2026
FF JaroMariehamn
30
Veikkausliiga28/09/2025
FF JaroMariehamn
23
Veikkausliiga06/07/2025
FF JaroMariehamn
11
Veikkausliiga05/04/2025
MariehamnFF Jaro
02

Referee Profile

Peiman Simani166 matches

3.48Cards per match
3.31Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
20.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Peiman Simani3.48
Other referees3.99

3.48 cards a match, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LLDDW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WWLWL
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWDW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736WLDLL
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWDWW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLDLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the Mariehamn vs FF Jaro forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mariehamn and FF Jaro in the Veikkausliiga table

FF Jaro and Mariehamn are close in the Veikkausliiga table, 11th and 12th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Mariehamn 17-43, FF Jaro 18-44. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.