Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction

Ogre United
0-4
Finished
HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Ogre United Rest
6 days
BFC Daugavpils Rest
7 days

Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils: the result in context

BFC Daugavpils beat Ogre United 4-0 in the Virsliga on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.76
X
21%3.65
2
53%1.76
Double Chance
1X
47%1.91
X2
74%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.62
No
56%2.11
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.66
Over 3.5
19%2.70
Under 1.5
37%4.00
Under 2.5
61%2.08
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'R. SkrebelsFoul
17'A. TraoreAssist: D. Kivinda
45+4'K. CudarsUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'E. Evelons INV. Mashchenko out
54'D. KivindaAssist: A. Traore
58'A. TraoreFoul
62'M. Lormanis IND. Vejkrigers out
62'M. Kalnins INT. Marusiy out
74'J. Yakubu INZ. Ouled-Haj-M'hand out
74'D. Kivinda IND. Ayebadiepreye out
74'A. Marchuk INM. Ivulans out
77'A. TraoreAssist: Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
82'L. Estevez Fernandez INM. Pacepko out
84'E. PinaskinsAssist: A. Traore
87'E. Pinaskins INA. Saveljevs out

Team Comparison

Ogre UnitedOgre United
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1342Elo Rating 1526
0.93Attack 1.49
1.17Defense 2.64
14%Hit Rate 86%
10.0Shots per Game 11.4
3.4Shots on Target 5.3
4.3Corners per Game 5.0
1.4Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Ogre UnitedOgre United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Ogre UnitedOgre United0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils2Wins · 100%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Virsliga21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
Virsliga07/04/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
21

Recent Form

Ogre UnitedOgre United
4W1D5L
12/07/2026
Valmiera / BSSOgre United
2242
W
06/07/2026
Super NovaOgre United
12
W
30/06/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
40
L
26/06/2026
Ogre UnitedTukums
32
W
22/06/2026
Rīgas FSOgre United
60
L
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
W
13/06/2026
Ogre UnitedRiga
14
L
30/05/2026
AudaOgre United
20
L
25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
D
21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
L
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
4W4D2L
11/07/2026
Riga MarinersBFC Daugavpils
5363
W
04/07/2026
BFC DaugavpilsFK Liepaja
31
W
30/06/2026
Rīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
31
L
25/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRiga
00
D
20/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
10
W
16/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
00
D
12/06/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
31/05/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
26/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
01
L
21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
W

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

About the Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga table

The table shows a wide gap: BFC Daugavpils are 4th in the Virsliga, while Ogre United sit 10th, 33 points behind. League goal record so far: Ogre United 34-89, BFC Daugavpils 43-38. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.