Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction
Brazil · Round of 16DerbyCupKnockout
Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil 06/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.5 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Fluminense Rest
4 days
Vasco DA Gama Rest
4 days
Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama: result, form and history
Vasco DA Gama beat Fluminense 3-1 in the Copa Do Brasil on 6 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
156%2.16
X24%3.00
220%3.60
Double Chance
1X81%1.26
X244%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes30%2.10
No70%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.94 = 2.53
Over 1.570%1.50
Over 2.538%2.54
Over 3.519%5.00
Under 1.530%2.52
Under 2.562%1.50
Under 3.581%1.17
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
5'John Kennedy
21'Jair
34'BrennerAssist: Thiago Mendes
39'Guilherme Arana
46'J. Savarino INNonato out
52'BrennerAssist: A. Gomez
57'John Kennedy INHulk out
57'A. Canobbio ING. Cano out
57'L. Acosta INPH Ganso out
60'Leo Jardim
61'A. Gomez
67'Cuiabano
68'Brenner INDavid out
70'Tche Tche INRamon Rique out
74'David
75'PH Ganso
77'MartinelliAssist: Hulk
81'Jair INCauan Barros out
81'N. Moreira INAdson out
88'Guilherme Arana INY. Soteldo out
90'A. Gomez INJ. Rodriguez out
90+10'J. Rodriguez
Lineups
FluminenseVasco DA Gama
4-2-3-1Coach: Pedro EmanuelAvg ratingAvg rating
C1Fábio
23Guga
4Ignácio
21I. Rabello
13G. Arana
35Hércules
8Martinelli
17A. Canobbio
32L. Acosta
11J. Savarino
9J. Kennedy
1L. Jardim
96P. Henrique
46C. Cuesta
30R. Renan
66Cuiabano
8Jair
C23T. Mendes
11A. Gómez
3T. Tchê
17N. Moreira
20BrennerFluminense Substitutes
27Marcelo Pitaluga
2Samuel Xavier
44Jemmes
6Renê
10Ganso57'for L. Acosta75'
30Yeferson Soteldo88'for Guilherme Arana
16Nonato46'for J. Savarino
90Kevin Serna
94Otávio
7Hulk57'for John Kennedy
19Rodrigo Castillo
14Germán Cano57'for A. Canobbio
Vasco DA Gama Substitutes
13Daniel Fuzato
2Puma Rodríguez90'for A. Gomez90+10'
43Lucas Freitas
4Alan Saldivia
6Lucas Piton
18Marino Hinestroza
88Cauan Barros81'for Jair
83Ramon Rique70'for Tche Tche
10Johan Rojas
7David68'for Brenner74'
77Claudio Spinelli
28Adson81'for N. Moreira
Match Stats
FluminenseVasco DA Gama 61%Ball Possession39%
1Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards5
13Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots2
11Fouls25
1Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves3
520Total Passes326
450Passes Accurate270
87%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
FluminenseVasco DA Gama1729Elo Rating 1722
1.27Attack 1.29
1.66Defense 0.71
46%Hit Rate 37%
11.6Shots per Game 15.5
3.7Shots on Target 3.4
5.8Corners per Game 4.1
1.4Cards per Game 1.2
AI Insights
🔥Derby Match
Game State Tendencies
Fluminense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vasco DA Gama- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Fluminense4Wins · 40%Draws220%
Vasco DA Gama4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
01/08/2026Vasco DA GamaFluminense00
19/03/2026Vasco DA GamaFluminense32
01/03/2026FluminenseVasco DA Gama11
22/02/2026Vasco DA GamaFluminense01
15/12/2025FluminenseVasco DA Gama3140
12/12/2025Vasco DA GamaFluminense21
21/10/2025Vasco DA GamaFluminense20
24/05/2025FluminenseVasco DA Gama21
06/02/2025Vasco DA GamaFluminense12
11/08/2024Vasco DA GamaFluminense20
Recent Form
Fluminense4W5D1L
01/08/2026Vasco DA GamaFluminenseFluminense
Bahia
GremioFluminenseFluminense
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA GamaFluminense00
D30/07/2026FluminenseBahia00
D26/07/2026GremioFluminense11
D18/07/2026FluminenseRB Bragantino11
D12/07/2026FluminenseBahia
FluminenseBahia20
W01/06/2026
CruzeiroFluminense
CruzeiroFluminense11
D28/05/2026Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
FluminenseDeportivo La Guaira31
W24/05/2026
MirassolFluminense
MirassolFluminense10
L20/05/2026Fluminense
Bolívar
FluminenseBolívar21
W17/05/2026Fluminense
Sao Paulo
FluminenseSao Paulo21
WVasco DA Gama2W3D5L
01/08/2026Vasco DA GamaFluminenseVasco DA Gama
Independiente MedellinVasco DA GamaMirassolIndependiente MedellinVasco DA Gama
VitoriaVasco DA Gama
Vasco DA GamaFluminense00
D30/07/2026Vasco DA GamaIndependiente Medellin10
W26/07/2026Vasco DA GamaMirassol11
D23/07/2026Independiente MedellinVasco DA Gama22
D17/07/2026VitoriaVasco DA Gama10
L31/05/2026Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA GamaAtletico-MG01
L28/05/2026Vasco DA Gama
Barracas Central
Vasco DA GamaBarracas Central30
W25/05/2026Vasco DA GamaRB Bragantino
Vasco DA GamaRB Bragantino03
L21/05/2026
OlimpiaVasco DA Gama
OlimpiaVasco DA Gama31
L16/05/2026
InternacionalVasco DA Gama
InternacionalVasco DA Gama41
LReferee Profile
5.06Cards per match
4.84Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.06 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.05).
Cards come from 255 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 512
Round of 256
Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13
Botafogo
Chapecoense-scSao PauloGremio
CorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahia
RemoCruzeiro
Santos
CoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassol
FlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MG
Palmeiras
Atletico ParanaenseFluminense
Ponte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GAS
Fortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital Brasilia
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePalmeiras1Vasco DA Gama0Explore more predictions
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About the Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama forecast
As a derby, this Copa Do Brasil meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.