Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction

Serie ABrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 21
Fluminense
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Bahia
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro· Raphael Claus, Brazil 30/07/2026
FluminenseFluminense
0-0
Finished
BahiaBahia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.72
SignalGOODModel50%RiskMediumGap+8.4%
Fluminense Rest
3 days
Bahia Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.73
X
27%3.70
2
23%4.75
Double Chance
1X
77%1.18
X2
50%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.02 = 2.35
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
48%1.85
Over 3.5
26%3.10
Under 1.5
28%3.70
Under 2.5
52%1.98
Under 3.5
74%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 10
Over 8.5
60%1.39
Over 9.5
49%1.66
Over 10.5
37%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.71
Under 9.5
51%2.10
Under 10.5
63%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.7 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%1.26
Over 4.5
57%1.60
Under 3.5
26%3.10
Under 4.5
43%2.20

Match Events

11'IgnacioTripping
42'J. Freytes INThiago Silva out
49'Erick Pulga
62'L. Acosta INJ. Savarino out
62'Thiago Silva INIgor Rabello out
62'Martinelli INHercules out
65'Ademir INEverton Ribeiro out
65'Luciano Juba INMichel Araujo out
74'Jean Lucas INDavid Martins out
75'Erick Pulga INKaue Junior out
75'Hulk ING. Cano out
88'A. Veliz INWillian Jose out

Lineups

Fluminense
4-2-3-1Coach: Francisco Zubeldia Luis
Bahia
4-2-3-1Coach: Ceni Rogerio
Fábio1FábioFábio
Samuel Xavier2S. XavierSamuel Xavier
Ignácio4IgnácioIgnácio
Juan Pablo Freytes22J. Pablo FreytesJuan Pablo Freytes
Renê6RenêRenê
Nonato16NonatoNonato
Martinelli8MartinelliMartinelli
Agustín Canobbio17A. CanobbioAgustín Canobbio
Luciano Acosta32L. AcostaLuciano Acosta
Yeferson Soteldo30Y. SoteldoYeferson Soteldo
Hulk7HulkHulk
Ronaldo1RonaldoRonaldo
Román Gómez31R. GómezRomán Gómez
Marcos Victor44M. VictorMarcos Victor
Santiago Ramos Mingo21S. Ramos MingoSantiago Ramos Mingo
Luciano Juba46L. JubaLuciano Juba
Nicolás Acevedo5N. AcevedoNicolás Acevedo
Rodrigo Nestor11R. NestorRodrigo Nestor
Ademir7AdemirAdemir
Jean Lucas6J. LucasJean Lucas
Erick Pulga16E. PulgaErick Pulga
Alejo Véliz9A. VélizAlejo Véliz

Fluminense Substitutes

3Thiago SilvaD
21Igor RabelloD
35HérculesM
11Jefferson SavarinoF
14Germán CanoF
27Marcelo PitalugaG
23GugaD
25AlissonM
94OtávioM
28Riquelme FelipeF
90Kevin SernaF
10GansoM

Bahia Substitutes

15Michel AraújoM
10Everton RibeiroM
63David MartinsM
57Kauê FurquimM
12Willian JoséF
17Guido HerreraG
43Luiz GustavoD
4KanuD
67Wendel PassosM
77Ruan PabloF
23Mateo SanabriaF
55Sidney DuarteM

Match Stats

FluminenseBahia
58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots10
11Shots on Goal0
11Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box4
11Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots4
7Fouls9
0Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves10
528Total Passes387
463Passes Accurate327
88%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

FluminenseFluminense
BahiaBahia
1738Elo Rating 1735
1.70Attack 2.56
1.55Defense 1.46
56%Hit Rate 86%
8.5Shots per Game 15.6
4.0Shots on Target 6.6
3.0Corners per Game 5.8
2.2Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend23% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FluminenseFluminense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BahiaBahia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Fluminense 63%Draw 23%14% Bahia
1.86Avg Goals
23%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

FluminenseFluminense
2W3D0L
26/07/2026
GremioFluminense
11
D18/07/2026
FluminenseRB Bragantino
11
D
12/07/2026
FluminenseBahia
20
W
01/06/2026
CruzeiroFluminense
11
D
28/05/2026
FluminenseDeportivo La Guaira
31
W
BahiaBahia
2W2D1L
26/07/2026
BahiaCorinthians
11
D22/07/2026
Atletico-MGBahia
11
D18/07/2026
BahiaChapecoense-sc
20
W
12/07/2026
FluminenseBahia
20
L
30/05/2026
BahiaBotafogo
21
W

Referee Profile

Raphael Claus, Brazil · 26 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.2Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 29% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
PromotionRelegation

Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Bahia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fluminense and Bahia have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.86 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.