Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction

Fluminense
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Bahia
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro·Raphael Claus, Brazil 30/07/2026
FluminenseFluminense
0-0
Finished
BahiaBahia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+8.4%
Fluminense Rest
3 days
Bahia Rest
3 days

Fluminense vs Bahia: result, form and history

Fluminense and Bahia drew 0-0 in the Serie A on 30 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Raphael Claus averages 4.34 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.73
X
27%3.70
2
23%4.75
Double Chance
1X
77%1.18
X2
50%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.02 = 2.35
Over 1.5
72%1.26
Over 2.5
48%1.84
Over 3.5
26%3.10
Under 1.5
28%3.65
Under 2.5
52%1.98
Under 3.5
74%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 10
Over 8.5
60%1.37
Over 9.5
49%1.64
Over 10.5
37%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.72
Under 9.5
51%2.10
Under 10.5
63%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.7 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%1.26
Over 4.5
57%1.59
Under 3.5
26%3.10
Under 4.5
43%2.12

Match Events

11'IgnacioTripping
42'J. Freytes INThiago Silva out
49'Erick Pulga
62'L. Acosta INJ. Savarino out
62'Thiago Silva INIgor Rabello out
62'Martinelli INHercules out
65'Ademir INEverton Ribeiro out
65'Luciano Juba INMichel Araujo out
74'Jean Lucas INDavid Martins out
75'Erick Pulga INKaue Junior out
75'Hulk ING. Cano out
88'A. Veliz INWillian Jose out

Lineups

Fluminense
4-2-3-1Coach: Francisco Zubeldia Luis
Bahia
4-2-3-1Coach: Ceni Rogerio
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating7.01
Fábio6.61Fábio
Samuel XavierC7.72S. Xavier
Ignácio7.34Ignácio
Juan Pablo Freytes6.922J. Pablo Freytes
Renê6.96Renê
Nonato7.216Nonato
Martinelli7.38Martinelli
Agustín Canobbio7.517A. Canobbio
Luciano Acosta7.032L. Acosta
Yeferson Soteldo6.630Y. Soteldo
Hulk7.27Hulk
Ronaldo10.01Ronaldo
Román Gómez7.031R. Gómez
Marcos Victor8.244M. Victor
Santiago Ramos Mingo7.221S. Ramos Mingo
Luciano Juba7.346L. Juba
Nicolás AcevedoC7.25N. Acevedo
Rodrigo Nestor6.311R. Nestor
Ademir6.77Ademir
Jean Lucas6.66J. Lucas
Erick Pulga6.316E. Pulga
Alejo Véliz6.39A. Véliz

Fluminense Substitutes

3Thiago Silva42'for J. Freytes62'for Igor Rabello6.6
21Igor Rabello62'replaced by Thiago Silva7.0
35Hércules62'for Martinelli7.3
11Jefferson Savarino62'for L. Acosta7.0
14Germán Cano75'for Hulk6.9
27Marcelo Pitaluga
23Guga
25Alisson
94Otávio
28Riquelme Felipe
90Kevin Serna
10Ganso

Bahia Substitutes

15Michel Araújo65'for Luciano Juba6.3
10Everton Ribeiro65'for Ademir6.5
63David Martins74'for Jean Lucas6.9
57Kauê Furquim75'for Erick Pulga6.6
12Willian José88'for A. Veliz6.7
17Guido Herrera
43Luiz Gustavo
4Kanu
67Wendel Passos
77Ruan Pablo
23Mateo Sanabria
55Sidney Duarte

Match Stats

FluminenseBahia
58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots10
11Shots on Goal0
11Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box4
11Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots4
7Fouls9
0Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves10
528Total Passes387
463Passes Accurate327
88%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

FluminenseFluminense
BahiaBahia
1729Elo Rating 1713
1.27Attack 1.56
1.66Defense 1.04
46%Hit Rate 37%
11.6Shots per Game 13.1
3.7Shots on Target 3.2
5.8Corners per Game 6.6
1.4Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FluminenseFluminense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BahiaBahia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FluminenseFluminense5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
BahiaBahia3Wins · 30%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs12/07/2026
FluminenseBahia
20
Serie A05/02/2026
BahiaFluminense
11
Serie A07/12/2025
FluminenseBahia
20
Copa Do Brasil11/09/2025
FluminenseBahia
20
Copa Do Brasil29/08/2025
BahiaFluminense
10
Serie A10/08/2025
BahiaFluminense
33
Serie A04/08/2024
FluminenseBahia
10
Serie A17/04/2024
BahiaFluminense
21
Serie A31/10/2023
BahiaFluminense
10
Serie A24/06/2023
FluminenseBahia
21

Recent Form

FluminenseFluminense
5W4D1L
26/07/2026
GremioFluminense
11
D
18/07/2026
FluminenseRB Bragantino
11
D
12/07/2026
FluminenseBahia
20
W
01/06/2026
CruzeiroFluminense
11
D
28/05/2026
FluminenseDeportivo La Guaira
31
W
24/05/2026
MirassolFluminense
10
L
20/05/2026
FluminenseBolívar
21
W
17/05/2026
FluminenseSao Paulo
21
W
13/05/2026
FluminenseOperario-PR
21
W
09/05/2026
FluminenseVitoria
22
D
BahiaBahia
2W4D4L
26/07/2026
BahiaCorinthians
11
D
22/07/2026
Atletico-MGBahia
11
D
18/07/2026
BahiaChapecoense-sc
20
W
12/07/2026
FluminenseBahia
20
L
30/05/2026
BahiaBotafogo
21
W
26/05/2026
CoritibaBahia
32
L
17/05/2026
BahiaGremio
11
D
14/05/2026
RemoBahia
21
L
10/05/2026
BahiaCruzeiro
12
L
03/05/2026
Sao PauloBahia
22
D

Referee Profile

Raphael Claus297 matches

4.34Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Raphael Claus4.34
Other referees5.05

4.34 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.05).

Cards come from 289 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Fluminense vs Bahia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fluminense and Bahia in the Serie A table

Fluminense and Bahia are close in the Serie A table, 4th and 6th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Fluminense 55-42, Bahia 50-45. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.