Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction
Brazil · Round of 16CupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Vitoria Rest
2 days
Atletico Paranaense Rest
2 days
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense: the result in context
Vitoria beat Atletico Paranaense 4-0 in the Copa Do Brasil on 7 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Atletico Paranaense had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Vitoria.
Atletico Paranaense have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Referee Braulio Da Silva Machado averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%2.32
X23%3.10
230%3.25
Double Chance
1X70%1.32
X253%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%2.10
No53%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.1 = 2.45
Over 1.570%1.48
Over 2.538%2.54
Over 3.519%4.80
Under 1.530%2.55
Under 2.562%1.51
Under 3.581%1.16
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
11'Rene
25'Caique Goncalves
45+2'F. Aguirre
45+4'ErickAssist: E. Britez
46'Caique Goncalves INZe Vitor out
46'Leo Derik INJoao Cruz out
46'Leozinho INK. A. Calderon Vargas out
60'Rene
66'Gilberto INDudu Kogitzki out
66'Luiz Gustavo INB. Zapelli out
71'Erick IND. Tarzia out
73'Arthur Dias
74'D. TarziaMisses next match
74'S. Mendoza
79'Rene
81'Renato Kayzer INFabricio out
82'Matheuzinho INMarinho out
82'Jadson INRenan Peixoto out
89'Rene INWalace out
89'
90+3'MarinhoAssist: Fabricio
90+4'
Lineups
VitoriaAtletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Coach: Joao CorreiaAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Arcanjo
2E. Brítez
25Cacá
36L. Cândido
33Erick
C44G. Baralhas
95C. Gonçalves
10Matheuzinho
13Ramon
91R. Sousa
79R. Kayzer
C23Santos
29G. Benavídez
33J. Felipe Aguirre
4A. Dias
12Gilberto
16Jádson
14L. Gustavo
6L. Derik
21Leozinho
7S. Mendoza
9K. ViverosVitoria Substitutes
88Zé Vitor46'for Caique Goncalves
71Yuri Sena
70Fabiano Souza
98Mateusinho
26Edenilson
83Jamerson
15Walace89'for Rene
11Osvaldo
20Lucas Silva
12Diego Tarzia71'for Erick74'
7Marinho82'for Matheuzinho90+3'
23Fabrício Santos81'for Renato Kayzer
Atletico Paranaense Substitutes
8João Cruz
18Kerwin Calderón Vargas46'for Leozinho
53Dudu66'for Gilberto
10Bruno Zapelli66'for Luiz Gustavo
1Mycael
25Dantas
2Gilberto Junior
3Léo
5Felipinho
63Diogo Riquelme
19Jorge Rivaldo
70Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno82'for Jadson
Match Stats
VitoriaAtletico Paranaense 50%Ball Possession50%
7Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots14
9Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box11
8Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots6
13Fouls18
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
379Total Passes364
317Passes Accurate297
84%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
VitoriaAtletico Paranaense1604Elo Rating 1673
1.15Attack 1.03
1.71Defense 1.07
14%Hit Rate 14%
10.2Shots per Game 15.2
3.6Shots on Target 4.1
3.0Corners per Game 8.3
1.9Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Vitoria- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Atletico Paranaense- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Vitoria1Wins · 25%Draws00%
Atletico Paranaense3Wins · 75%
3Wins · 75%2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4
Previous meetings
04/08/2026Atletico ParanaenseVitoria20
26/04/2026Atletico ParanaenseVitoria31
02/11/2024Atletico ParanaenseVitoria12
30/06/2024VitoriaAtletico Paranaense01
Recent Form
Vitoria5W1D4L
04/08/2026Atletico ParanaenseVitoriaVitoria
Palmeiras
RemoVitoria
BotafogoVitoriaVitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico ParanaenseVitoria20
L30/07/2026VitoriaPalmeiras04
L27/07/2026RemoVitoria20
L24/07/2026BotafogoVitoria00
D17/07/2026VitoriaVasco DA Gama10
W06/06/2026Vitoria
Fortaleza EC
VitoriaFortaleza EC21
W03/06/2026Fortaleza ECVitoria
Fortaleza ECVitoria12
W31/05/2026
SantosVitoria
SantosVitoria31
L28/05/2026
ABCVitoria
ABCVitoria34
W23/05/2026Vitoria
Internacional
VitoriaInternacional20
WAtletico Paranaense5W2D3L
04/08/2026Atletico ParanaenseVitoria
CorinthiansAtletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaenseInternacional
Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense
Atletico ParanaenseVitoria20
W31/07/2026CorinthiansAtletico Paranaense00
D25/07/2026Atletico ParanaenseInternacional20
W23/07/2026Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense12
W11/07/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense21
L09/07/2026
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense10
L30/05/2026Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol10
W18/05/2026Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico ParanaenseFlamengo11
D15/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Paranaense
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Paranaense1040
W11/05/2026Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense
Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense10
LReferee Profile
6.06Cards per match
5.77Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.06 cards a match, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).
Cards come from 161 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 512
Round of 256
Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13Botafogo
Chapecoense-scSao Paulo
GremioCorinthiansVasco DA Gama
BahiaRemo
CruzeiroSantos
CoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoria
Atletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Ponte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GASFortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital BrasiliaAtletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nacional AMABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseExplore more predictions
This match
More Copa Do Brasil matches
About the Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.