Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol Prediction

Vasco DA Gama
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Mirassol
Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro·Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.65
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+12.3%
Vasco DA Gama Rest
3 days
Mirassol Rest
8 days

Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol: result, form and history

Vasco DA Gama and Mirassol drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 26 Jul 2026. Mirassol had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Vasco DA Gama.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.04
X
29%3.35
2
27%3.70
Double Chance
1X
73%1.26
X2
56%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.80
No
42%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.1 = 2.61
Over 1.5
75%1.33
Over 2.5
56%2.07
Over 3.5
32%3.60
Under 1.5
25%3.25
Under 2.5
44%1.78
Under 3.5
68%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.43
Over 9.5
44%1.71
Over 10.5
31%2.13
Under 8.5
42%2.63
Under 9.5
56%2.00
Under 10.5
69%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
60%1.40
Over 4.5
39%1.82
Under 3.5
40%2.60
Under 4.5
61%1.84

Match Events

30'Igor FormigaAssist: Reinaldo
36'Jose Aldo INLucas Oliveira out
46'Gustavo Silva INCarlos Eduardo out
60'Tche Tche INN. Moreira out
60'Adson INDavid out
66'Walter
69'Edson Carioca INFernandinho out
69'Japa INEduardo out
70'Ramon Rique INJair out
71'Cuiabano INLucas Piton out
74'Cauan Barros INJ. Rojas out
80'A. Gomez
82'Denilson INChico Kim out
83'N. Moreira

Lineups

Vasco DA Gama
4-2-3-1Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Mirassol
4-3-3Coach: Guanaes Rafael
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.95
Léo Jardim6.31L. Jardim
Puma RodríguezC6.92P. Rodríguez
Carlos Cuesta7.246C. Cuesta
Robert Renan7.230R. Renan
Cuiabano6.266Cuiabano
Cauan Barros6.388C. Barros
Tchê Tchê6.93T. Tchê
Adson7.028Adson
Ramon Rique6.283R. Rique
Andrés Gómez8.211A. Gómez
Claudio Spinelli6.277C. Spinelli
Walter8.222Walter
Igor Formiga7.932I. Formiga
João VictorC8.034J. Victor
Gabriel Knesowitsch6.944G. Knesowitsch
Reinaldo7.26Reinaldo
Denilson6.68Denilson
José Aldo6.621J. Aldo
Japa7.25Japa
Gustavo Silva6.219G. Silva
Bruno Santos6.030B. Santos
Edson Carioca7.095E. Carioca

Vasco DA Gama Substitutes

17Nuno Moreira60'for Tche Tche83'6.6
7David60'for Adson6.6
8Jair70'for Ramon Rique7.2
6Lucas Piton71'for Cuiabano7.0
10Johan Rojas74'for Cauan Barros6.6
13Daniel Fuzato
96Paulo Henrique
43Lucas Freitas
29Paulinho
60João Vitor Silva
18Marino Hinestroza
98JP

Mirassol Substitutes

2Lucas Oliveira36'for Jose Aldo6.6
96Carlos Eduardo46'replaced by Gustavo Silva6.6
33Eduardo69'for Japa6.6
17Fernandinho69'for Edson Carioca6.9
10Chico82'for Denilson6.7
90Thomazella
3Willian Machado
12Victor Luis
18Elias
7Shaylon
27Antonio Galeano
9André Luis

Match Stats

Vasco DA GamaMirassol
58%Ball Possession42%
9Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal4
16Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box3
10Blocked Shots3
12Fouls7
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
472Total Passes349
380Passes Accurate280
81%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
MirassolMirassol
1742Elo Rating 1661
1.64Attack 1.07
0.97Defense 1.94
44%Hit Rate 44%
12.0Shots per Game 13.2
3.0Shots on Target 3.3
3.1Corners per Game 4.3
1.3Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
MirassolMirassol3Wins · 100%
3.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A30/01/2026
MirassolVasco DA Gama
21
Serie A02/12/2025
Vasco DA GamaMirassol
02
Serie A02/08/2025
MirassolVasco DA Gama
32

Recent Form

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
3W2D5L
23/07/2026
Independiente MedellinVasco DA Gama
22
D
17/07/2026
VitoriaVasco DA Gama
10
L
31/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaAtletico-MG
01
L
28/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaBarracas Central
30
W
25/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaRB Bragantino
03
L
21/05/2026
OlimpiaVasco DA Gama
31
L
16/05/2026
InternacionalVasco DA Gama
41
L
14/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaPaysandu
22
D
11/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense
10
W
07/05/2026
A. ItalianoVasco DA Gama
12
W
MirassolMirassol
6W1D3L
18/07/2026
MirassolGremio
21
W
30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
10
L
27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
10
L
24/05/2026
MirassolFluminense
10
W
20/05/2026
Always ReadyMirassol
12
W
16/05/2026
Atletico-MGMirassol
31
L
14/05/2026
MirassolRB Bragantino
21
W
10/05/2026
MirassolChapecoense-sc
11
D
08/05/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
20
W
04/05/2026
MirassolCorinthians
21
W

Referee Profile

Rafael Rodrigo Klein205 matches

5.44Cards per match
5.11Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
28.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rafael Rodrigo Klein5.44
Other referees5.22

5.44 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 140 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
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About the Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Vasco DA Gama and Mirassol in the Serie A table

Vasco DA Gama and Mirassol are close in the Serie A table, 13th and 14th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Vasco DA Gama 43-50, Mirassol 39-48. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.