FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Prediction

MEWA Arena, Mainz

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
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FSV Mainz 05 Rest
7 days
Werder Bremen Rest
7 days

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen preview: form and head-to-head

On form this looks evenly balanced, with FSV Mainz 05 on 3 wins from their last five and Werder Bremen on 2. They meet in the Bundesliga on 24 Oct 2026.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.74
X
4.14
2
4.30
Double Chance
1X
1.22
X2
2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.53
No
2.38
Goals
Over 1.5
1.15
Over 2.5
1.56
Over 3.5
2.38
Under 1.5
4.95
Under 2.5
2.42
Under 3.5
1.62
Corners
Over 8.5
1.46
Over 9.5
1.80
Over 10.5
2.29
Under 8.5
2.52
Under 9.5
1.97
Under 10.5
1.56
Cards
Over 3.5
1.91
Over 4.5
2.90
Under 3.5
1.81
Under 4.5
1.38
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
1790Elo Rating 1731
2.61Attack 2.17
1.00Defense 1.31
61%Hit Rate 34%
16.7Shots per Game 15.3
6.3Shots on Target 7.8
3.3Corners per Game 3.5
2.6Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Werder BremenWerder Bremen5Wins · 50%
2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga15/03/2026
Werder BremenFSV Mainz 05
02
Bundesliga01/11/2025
FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
11
Bundesliga31/01/2025
Werder BremenFSV Mainz 05
10
Bundesliga15/09/2024
FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
12
Bundesliga03/02/2024
FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
01
Bundesliga02/09/2023
Werder BremenFSV Mainz 05
40
Bundesliga08/04/2023
FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
22
Bundesliga15/10/2022
Werder BremenFSV Mainz 05
02
Bundesliga21/04/2021
Werder BremenFSV Mainz 05
01
Bundesliga19/12/2020
FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
01

Recent Form

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
6W2D2L
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
5W4D1L
17/10/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
09/10/2026
Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen
22
D
19/09/2026
Werder BremenFC Augsburg
32
W
12/09/2026
1. FC KölnWerder Bremen
11
D
05/09/2026
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
31
W
30/08/2026
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
41
L
22/08/2026
Lüneburger SK HansaWerder Bremen
03
W
08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
01/08/2026
Energie CottbusWerder Bremen
24
W
25/07/2026
Werder BremenVfL Bochum
20
W

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München642022:5+1714WDWWD
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund642011:4+714DDWWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg641115:6+913LWDWW
4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen641116:9+713WWWDW
5FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05631214:10+410WLWLW
6SV ElversbergSV Elversberg631212:11+110WLDLW
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig630316:11+59LWLWL
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen623112:1209DDWDW
9Hamburger SVHamburger SV63036:15-99WWWLL
10FC AugsburgFC Augsburg622216:12+48LDLDW
11Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt622210:16-68WLDWL
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln62138:11-37LWLDL
13VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart62048:10-26LWLLW
141899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim620411:14-36WLLWL
15FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0461234:7-35LLDWD
16SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0761235:9-45DLWLL
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin61235:17-125DWLLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach60068:20-120LLLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen forecast

The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FSV Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, FSV Mainz 05 are 5th and Werder Bremen 8th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: FSV Mainz 05 14-10, Werder Bremen 12-12. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FSV Mainz 05 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.