Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander Prediction

Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo·Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+9.0%
Celta Vigo Rest
2 days
Racing Santander Rest
2 days

Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander: result, form and history

Celta Vigo beat Racing Santander 5-0 in the La Liga on 19 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Racing Santander had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Celta Vigo.

Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea averages 4.29 cards a game, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.81
X
26%3.85
2
22%4.40
Double Chance
1X
78%1.22
X2
48%1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.65
No
52%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1 = 2.39
Over 1.5
64%1.21
Over 2.5
44%1.70
Over 3.5
20%2.65
Under 1.5
36%4.20
Under 2.5
56%2.18
Under 3.5
80%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.2 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.50
Over 9.5
52%1.88
Over 10.5
38%2.38
Under 8.5
39%2.42
Under 9.5
48%1.90
Under 10.5
62%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.46
Over 4.5
40%1.91
Under 3.5
41%2.60
Under 4.5
60%1.81

Match Events

28'Penalty confirmedFerran Jutglà
32'Hugo González(Penalty)
43'Ilaix MoribaAssist: Miguel Roman
45'Hugo González INPablo Durán Fernández out
45'Javier Rueda García INSergio Carreira Vilarino out
45+3'Javier Rueda GarcíaFoul
57'Yassir ZabiriArgument
63'André Almeida INSergio Canales out
63'Alvaro Mantilla INAarón Martin Caricol out
63'Pablo García INAsier Villalibre out
63'Ferran Jutglà INBorja Iglesias out
64'Williot Swedberg INJavi Galán out
64'Jeanuël BelocianFoul
69'Miguel Roman
73'Yoel LagoFoul
75'Pablo Ramon ParraFoul
75'Yassir Zabiri INGiorgi Guliashvili out
78'Pablo Durán FernándezAssist: Hugo Alvarez Antunez
84'Miguel Roman INHugo Burcio out
84'Iván Martín INÍñigo Sáinz-Maza out
90'Sergio CanalesFoul
90+2'Pablo Durán FernándezAssist: Hugo Alvarez Antunez
90+3'Iñigo VicenteFoul

Lineups

Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1Coach: José Alberto López
Avg rating7.45
Avg rating6.05
I. Radu8.113I. Radu
Álvaro Núñez7.515Á. Núñez
Yoel Lago7.218Y. Lago
S. Cáceres7.621S. Cáceres
Javi Rueda6.317J. Rueda
I. Moriba8.26I. Moriba
Miguel Román9.08M. Román
Hugo Álvarez8.623H. Álvarez
Hugo González7.616H. González
Ferran Jutglà6.29F. Jutglà
W. Swedberg6.319W. Swedberg
Julen Agirrezabala6.613J. Agirrezabala
Álvaro Mantilla5.62Á. Mantilla
Pablo Ramón5.95P. Ramón
J. Belocian5.624J. Belocian
Jorge Salinas6.117J. Salinas
André Almeida6.78A. Almeida
Pablo García5.715P. García
Iván Martín6.223I. Martín
Iñigo Vicente6.410I. Vicente
Iker Luque6.219I. Luque
M. Zabiri6.021M. Zabiri

Celta Vigo Substitutes

1A. Bayındır
2C. Starfelt
20Javi Rodríguez
7Borja Iglesias63'for Ferran Jutglà6.7
22Javi Galán64'for Williot Swedberg7.3
14Aleix Febas
4A. Faye
11Pablo Durán45'for Hugo González78'90+2'8.4
24C. Driouech
5Sergio Carreira45'for Javier Rueda García7.3
30H. Burcio84'for Miguel Roman7.0
3Marcos Alonso

Racing Santander Substitutes

14M. Gueye
16Facundo González
31Laro Gómez
20Sergio Canales63'for André Almeida90'5.5
9Juan Carlos Arana
7G. Guliashvili75'for Yassir Zabiri6.1
4Manu Hernando
3Aarón Martín63'for Alvaro Mantilla5.8
22Pedro Felipe
18M. Prati
6Íñigo Sainz-Maza84'for Iván Martín5.8
12Asier Villalibre63'for Pablo García6.4

Match Stats

Celta VigoRacing Santander
41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards5
13Total Shots11
9Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls11
3Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
431Total Passes605
372Passes Accurate538
9Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
1734Elo Rating 1679
0.88Attack 1.13
1.47Defense 1.38
31%Hit Rate 42%
13.1Shots per Game 14.9
2.9Shots on Target 4.8
5.2Corners per Game 6.0
1.0Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Celta VigoCelta Vigo1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Racing SantanderRacing Santander0Wins · 0%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Copa del Rey05/01/2025
Racing SantanderCelta Vigo
23

Recent Form

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
3W1D6L
16/09/2026
BarcelonaRacing Santander
72
L
12/09/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
21
W
05/09/2026
Rayo VallecanoRacing Santander
32
L
28/08/2026
Racing SantanderElche
32
W
23/08/2026
GetafeRacing Santander
10
L
16/08/2026
Racing SantanderVillarreal
22
D
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
6171
L
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
41
W
01/08/2026
WolvesRacing Santander
30
L
29/07/2026
Racing SantanderAthletic Club
03
L

Referee Profile

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea191 matches

4.29Cards per match
4.08Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea4.29
Other referees4.87

4.29 cards a match, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.87).

Cards come from 177 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona12110148:13+3533WWLWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid12100231:10+2130WWWWW
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1291223:10+1328LWWWW
4Real BetisReal Betis1282220:15+526WWDLW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1271421:20+122WLWWW
6SevillaSevilla1253417:19-218DLWLD
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1144315:11+416WWLDD
8VillarrealVillarreal1243517:15+215WLWDL
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1236315:14+115DWLDL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1242617:30-1314WLWLD
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1227310:10013DLDWD
12AlavesAlaves1234515:17-213DLDLL
13EspanyolEspanyol1233613:14-112DWLLD
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1133515:21-612WLDDD
15GetafeGetafe123368:18-1012LWLDL
16OsasunaOsasuna1233612:23-1112DLLWL
17LevanteLevante1225516:21-511DLLWD
18ElcheElche1224614:20-610LLWDD
19ValenciaValencia122378:20-129LWLDD
20MalagaMalaga120579:23-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1248:1333
2Real MadridReal Madrid1231:1030
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1223:1028
4Real BetisReal Betis1220:1526
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1221:2022
6SevillaSevilla1217:1918
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1115:1116
8VillarrealVillarreal1217:1515
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1215:1415
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1217:3014
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1210:1013
12AlavesAlaves1215:1713
13EspanyolEspanyol1213:1412
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1115:2112
15GetafeGetafe128:1812
16OsasunaOsasuna1212:2312
17LevanteLevante1216:2111
18ElcheElche1214:2010
19ValenciaValencia128:209
20MalagaMalaga129:235
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celta Vigo and Racing Santander in the La Liga table

Racing Santander and Celta Vigo are close in the La Liga table, 10th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Celta Vigo 10-10, Racing Santander 17-30. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Celta Vigo and Racing Santander have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.