Valencia vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Valencia
2-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Real Sociedad
Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia·Jose Luis Munuera Montero 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Valencia Rest
5 days
Real Sociedad Rest
3 days

Valencia vs Real Sociedad: result, form and history

Real Sociedad beat Valencia 3-2 in the La Liga on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.79
X
30%3.38
2
34%2.57
Double Chance
1X
66%1.50
X2
64%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.70
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.11 = 2.50
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
50%1.96
Over 3.5
25%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.45
Under 2.5
50%1.91
Under 3.5
75%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.1 = 8.8
Over 8.5
53%1.65
Over 9.5
40%2.10
Over 10.5
30%2.56
Under 8.5
47%2.15
Under 9.5
60%1.71
Under 10.5
70%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.45
Over 4.5
35%2.00
Under 3.5
45%2.66
Under 4.5
65%1.78

Match Events

11'Justin De HaasFoul
12'José GayàFoul
26'Luka SučićAssist: Job Ochieng
45'Filip Ugrinic INDavid Otorbi Ejededawe out
54'Luka SučićFoul
57'Aaron MayolAssist: Hugo Duro
61'Mikel Oyarzabal INOrri Steinn Óskarsson out
61'Job Ochieng INAnder Barrenetxea out
69'Jon Gorrotxategi INYangel Herrera out
69'Sergio Gómez INAihen Muñoz out
69'Guido Rodríguez INHarvey Elliott out
75'Carlos Soler(Penalty)
82'José Gayà INJesús Vázquez out
82'Hugo Duro INAimar Blázquez Labraca out
84'Luken Beitia AguirregomezcortaOG
87'Luka Sučić INArsen Zakharyan out
88'Arnaut Danjuma INLuis Rioja out
90+1'Ander BarrenetxeaAssist: Carlos Soler
90+6'Orri Steinn ÓskarssonDissent
90+6'Orri Steinn Óskarsson

Lineups

Valencia
4-4-2Coach: Óscar Sánchez
Real Sociedad
4-4-2Coach: P. Matarazzo
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.65
S. Dimitrievski5.71S. Dimitrievski
Pablo Maffeo6.524P. Maffeo
Pepelu6.718Pepelu
J. de Haas6.612J. de Haas
José Gayà6.114J. Gayà
F. Ugrinic5.823F. Ugrinic
Aaron Mayol7.833A. Mayol
G. Rodríguez6.52G. Rodríguez
A. Danjuma7.17A. Danjuma
Javi Guerra6.48J. Guerra
Hugo Duro6.69H. Duro
Álex Remiro6.31Á. Remiro
J. Aramburu6.62J. Aramburu
Luken Beitia6.134L. Beitia
Jon Martín6.56J. Martín
Sergio Gómez6.817S. Gómez
J. Ochieng6.912J. Ochieng
Jon Gorrotxategi6.74J. Gorrotxategi
Carlos Soler7.618C. Soler
Gonçalo Guedes6.511G. Guedes
L. Sučić8.224L. Sučić
Mikel Oyarzabal6.710M. Oyarzabal

Valencia Substitutes

36Iker Córdoba
15A. Dieng
10H. Elliott69'for Guido Rodríguez6.1
22Arnau Martínez
27David Otorbi45'for Filip Ugrinic7.2
29Alex Panach
19Dani Raba
11Luis Rioja88'for Arnaut Danjuma6.7
39R. Sato
21Jesús Vázquez82'for José Gayà6.0
25K. van Oevelen
37Aimar Blázquez82'for Hugo Duro6.2

Real Sociedad Substitutes

7Barrenetxea61'for Job Ochieng90+1'7.8
22Héctor Fort
21Y. Herrera69'for Jon Gorrotxategi6.1
14T. Kubo
29Alex Garcia
13Unai Marrero
3Aihen Muñoz69'for Sergio Gómez6.2
16Jon Pacheco
19M. Sarr
8Beñat Turrientes
23A. Zakharyan87'for Luka Sučić5.8
9O. Óskarsson61'for Mikel Oyarzabal90+6'90+6'5.6

Match Stats

ValenciaReal Sociedad
54%Ball Possession46%
7Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
22Total Shots21
5Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal8
13Shots Inside Box15
9Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots7
9Fouls12
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
425Total Passes370
358Passes Accurate303
11Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

ValenciaValencia
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
1730Elo Rating 1795
1.01Attack 2.80
1.82Defense 1.23
17%Hit Rate 63%
13.0Shots per Game 15.1
2.7Shots on Target 5.1
4.0Corners per Game 5.4
2.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ValenciaValencia
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ValenciaValencia3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Real SociedadReal Sociedad3Wins · 30%
1.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga17/05/2026
Real SociedadValencia
34
La Liga16/08/2025
ValenciaReal Sociedad
11
La Liga19/01/2025
ValenciaReal Sociedad
10
La Liga28/09/2024
Real SociedadValencia
30
La Liga16/05/2024
Real SociedadValencia
10
La Liga27/09/2023
ValenciaReal Sociedad
01
La Liga25/02/2023
ValenciaReal Sociedad
10
La Liga06/11/2022
Real SociedadValencia
11
La Liga06/02/2022
ValenciaReal Sociedad
00
La Liga21/11/2021
Real SociedadValencia
00

Referee Profile

Jose Luis Munuera Montero179 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Luis Munuera Montero4.58
Other referees4.88

4.58 cards a match, 0.30 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.88).

Cards come from 146 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona990039:9+3027WWWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid971119:8+1122WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid970223:9+1421WWLWW
4Real BetisReal Betis961216:14+219LWDWW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad951317:17016WWWLW
6SevillaSevilla942314:16-214LDLWW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Celta VigoCelta Vigo925210:7+311WDWDD
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna925213:12+111DLDLD
10OsasunaOsasuna932410:18-811WLDLL
11LevanteLevante924315:17-210WDDLL
12VillarrealVillarreal923413:1309DLWWL
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club82338:9-19DDDDW
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano823312:17-59DDWLW
15GetafeGetafe92345:11-69DLWLD
16EspanyolEspanyol922511:12-18LDLLW
17Racing SantanderRacing Santander922513:25-128LDLLW
18ElcheElche914411:17-67DDWLD
19ValenciaValencia91356:15-96DDLWL
20MalagaMalaga100557:19-125DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona939:927
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid919:822
3Real MadridReal Madrid923:921
4Real BetisReal Betis916:1419
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad917:1716
6SevillaSevilla914:1614
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Celta VigoCelta Vigo910:711
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna913:1211
10OsasunaOsasuna910:1811
11LevanteLevante915:1710
12VillarrealVillarreal913:139
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club88:99
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano812:179
15GetafeGetafe95:119
16EspanyolEspanyol911:128
17Racing SantanderRacing Santander913:258
18ElcheElche911:177
19ValenciaValencia96:156
20MalagaMalaga107:195
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Valencia vs Real Sociedad forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Valencia and Real Sociedad in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Real Sociedad are 5th and Valencia 19th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Valencia 6-15, Real Sociedad 17-17. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Real Sociedad have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.