Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Osasuna
-
19/09/2026
14:00
Rayo Vallecano
Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
OsasunaOsasuna
19/09/202614:00
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.62
SignalGOODModel64%RiskMediumGap+3.9%
Osasuna Rest
2 days
Rayo Vallecano Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.30
X
26%3.30
2
36%3.20
Double Chance
1X
64%1.34
X2
63%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.78
No
52%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.19 = 2.47
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
43%2.04
Over 3.5
18%3.49
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
57%1.80
Under 3.5
82%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.48
Over 9.5
52%1.83
Over 10.5
38%2.34
Under 8.5
39%2.42
Under 9.5
48%1.87
Under 10.5
62%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Team Comparison

OsasunaOsasuna
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1704Elo Rating 1783
0.98Attack 1.65
1.15Defense 0.04
36%Hit Rate 23%
10.2Shots per Game 12.4
4.3Shots on Target 5.9
3.2Corners per Game 6.2
2.2Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

OsasunaOsasuna
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona660028:6+2218WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid641114:6+813WWLWD
4SevillaSevilla64119:6+313WWDLW
5Real BetisReal Betis54017:6+112WWLWW
6AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna62319:7+29LDWWD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander621311:16-57WLWLD
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
13OsasunaOsasuna62135:12-77LLLWW
14LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
15GetafeGetafe51223:6-35DDLWL
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
17ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
18MalagaMalaga50322:8-63DDLDL
19VillarrealVillarreal50237:10-32LLLDD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona628:618
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid614:613
4SevillaSevilla69:613
5Real BetisReal Betis57:612
6AlavesAlaves611:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna69:79
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander611:167
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
13OsasunaOsasuna65:127
14LevanteLevante57:95
15GetafeGetafe53:65
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
17ValenciaValencia62:104
18MalagaMalaga52:83
19VillarrealVillarreal57:102
20ElcheElche68:162
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About La Liga

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Key Factors for This Match

Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.17 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.