Athletic Club vs Alaves Prediction

Athletic Club
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Alaves
San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao·Victor Garcia Verdura 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.66
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Athletic Club Rest
6 days
Alaves Rest
3 days

Athletic Club vs Alaves: result, form and history

Athletic Club and Alaves drew 0-0 in the La Liga on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Athletic Club have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.7 goals a game. Referee Victor Garcia Verdura averages 4.02 cards a game, 0.87 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.65
X
26%4.00
2
28%5.45
Double Chance
1X
72%1.16
X2
54%2.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.84
No
52%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.13 = 2.29
Over 1.5
66%1.28
Over 2.5
43%1.90
Over 3.5
18%3.10
Under 1.5
34%3.56
Under 2.5
57%1.92
Under 3.5
82%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.39
Over 9.5
53%1.73
Over 10.5
40%2.17
Under 8.5
34%2.65
Under 9.5
47%2.02
Under 10.5
60%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.67
Over 4.5
33%2.21
Under 3.5
47%2.11
Under 4.5
67%1.62

Match Events

45'Johaneko Louis-Jean INJesus Areso out
62'Mikel Jauregizar INAlex Berenguer out
62'Iñaki Williams INMaroan Sannadi out
65'Mariano Díaz INToni Martínez out
66'Abderrahmane Rebbach INYoussef Enriquez out
70'Oihan Sancet(Penalty missed)
71'Iñigo Ruiz De GalarretaFoul
75'Carlos Protesoni INAntonio Blanco out
75'Lucas Boyé INAngel Pérez Hidalgo out
75'Robert Navarro Muñoz INPeio Canales out
85'Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras INCarles Aleñá out
86'Yuri Berchiche INNico Serrano out
90+3'Jesus AresoFoul

Lineups

Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Coach: E. Terzić
Alaves
5-3-2Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.57
Unai Simón6.61U. Simón
J. Louis-Jean6.931J. Louis-Jean
Aitor Paredes7.44A. Paredes
Aymeric Laporte7.214A. Laporte
Yuri7.517Yuri
Ruíz de Galarreta7.216R. de Galarreta
Mikel Jauregizar7.018M. Jauregizar
Robert Navarro6.523R. Navarro
Oihan Sancet6.48O. Sancet
Nico Williams7.110N. Williams
I. Williams6.49I. Williams
Sivera7.61Sivera
N. Tenaglia6.114N. Tenaglia
Jonny6.417Jonny
V. Koski6.716V. Koski
N. Valentini6.22N. Valentini
A. Rebbach6.321A. Rebbach
C. Benavídez6.623C. Benavídez
Guevara6.86Guevara
Pablo Ibáñez6.919P. Ibáñez
L. Boyé6.115L. Boyé
M. Díaz6.39M. Díaz

Athletic Club Substitutes

25Álvaro Djaló
28Peio Canales75'for Robert Navarro Muñoz6.7
7Álex Berenguer62'for Mikel Jauregizar6.9
12Jesús Areso45'for Johaneko Louis-Jean90+3'6.7
24Beñat Gerenabarrena
13Álex Padilla
6Beñat Prados
20Alejandro Rego
15Hugo Rincón
21Maroan Sannadi62'for Iñaki Williams6.5
22Nico Serrano86'for Yuri Berchiche6.1
5Yeray

Alaves Substitutes

8Antonio Blanco75'for Carlos Protesoni6.8
24Selu Diallo
3Yusi66'for Abderrahmane Rebbach6.9
29Izei Hernández
11Toni Martínez65'for Mariano Díaz6.4
12Hugo Novoa
27X. Olaiz
7Angel Pérez75'for Lucas Boyé6.5
13A. Giménez
22Miguel Rodríguez
4Denis Suárez
10Carles Aleñá85'for Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras6.5

Match Stats

Athletic ClubAlaves
69%Ball Possession31%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards0
24Total Shots2
6Shots on Goal0
10Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box0
15Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots0
16Fouls13
0Offsides5
0Goalkeeper Saves6
653Total Passes303
590Passes Accurate228
12Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
AlavesAlaves
1782Elo Rating 1731
2.86Attack 0.73
2.00Defense 0.82
69%Hit Rate 0%
16.1Shots per Game 12.0
5.3Shots on Target 3.9
5.7Corners per Game 3.8
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
AlavesAlaves
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Athletic ClubAthletic Club6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
AlavesAlaves1Wins · 10%
1.7Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga02/05/2026
AlavesAthletic Club
24
La Liga13/09/2025
Athletic ClubAlaves
01
La Liga11/05/2025
Athletic ClubAlaves
10
La Liga15/12/2024
AlavesAthletic Club
11
La Liga16/03/2024
Athletic ClubAlaves
20
Copa del Rey16/01/2024
Athletic ClubAlaves
20
La Liga22/09/2023
AlavesAthletic Club
02
La Liga09/01/2022
AlavesAthletic Club
00
La Liga01/10/2021
Athletic ClubAlaves
10
La Liga10/04/2021
Athletic ClubAlaves
00

Recent Form

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4W1D5L
12/09/2026
Athletic ClubElche
11
D
05/09/2026
Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
30
W
30/08/2026
Celta VigoAthletic Club
02
W
27/08/2026
BarcelonaAthletic Club
20
L
22/08/2026
Athletic ClubSevilla
13
L
21/08/2026
ZaragozaAthletic Club
31
L
14/08/2026
AtalantaAthletic Club
10
L
09/08/2026
MarseilleAthletic Club
31
L
01/08/2026
BurgosAthletic Club
03
W
29/07/2026
Racing SantanderAthletic Club
03
W
AlavesAlaves
6W2D2L
15/09/2026
AlavesValencia
01
L
12/09/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
21
L
06/09/2026
AlavesOsasuna
52
W
28/08/2026
AlavesVillarreal
10
W
20/08/2026
Rayo VallecanoAlaves
11
D
15/08/2026
AlavesGetafe
30
W
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
6171
W
31/07/2026
AlavesCastellón
30
W
25/07/2026
GironaAlaves
01
W
18/07/2026
AlavesEibar
11
D

Referee Profile

Victor Garcia Verdura43 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.79Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Victor Garcia Verdura4.02
Other referees4.89

4.02 cards a match, 0.87 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.89).

Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona12110148:13+3533WWLWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid12100231:10+2130WWWWW
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1291223:10+1328LWWWW
4Real BetisReal Betis1282220:15+526WWDLW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1271421:20+122WLWWW
6SevillaSevilla1253417:19-218DLWLD
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1144315:11+416WWLDD
8VillarrealVillarreal1243517:15+215WLWDL
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1236315:14+115DWLDL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1242617:30-1314WLWLD
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1227310:10013DLDWD
12AlavesAlaves1234515:17-213DLDLL
13EspanyolEspanyol1233613:14-112DWLLD
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1133515:21-612WLDDD
15GetafeGetafe123368:18-1012LWLDL
16OsasunaOsasuna1233612:23-1112DLLWL
17LevanteLevante1225516:21-511DLLWD
18ElcheElche1224614:20-610LLWDD
19ValenciaValencia122378:20-129LWLDD
20MalagaMalaga120579:23-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1248:1333
2Real MadridReal Madrid1231:1030
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1223:1028
4Real BetisReal Betis1220:1526
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1221:2022
6SevillaSevilla1217:1918
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1115:1116
8VillarrealVillarreal1217:1515
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1215:1415
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1217:3014
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1210:1013
12AlavesAlaves1215:1713
13EspanyolEspanyol1213:1412
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1115:2112
15GetafeGetafe128:1812
16OsasunaOsasuna1212:2312
17LevanteLevante1216:2111
18ElcheElche1214:2010
19ValenciaValencia128:209
20MalagaMalaga129:235
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Athletic Club vs Alaves forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Athletic Club and Alaves in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Athletic Club are 7th and Alaves 12th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Athletic Club 15-11, Alaves 15-17. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Athletic Club have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.