Girona vs Almeria Prediction

Girona
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Almeria
Estadi Montilivi, Girona·Gorka Etayo Herrera 08/11/2026
GironaGirona
0-1
Finished
AlmeriaAlmeria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Girona Rest
8 days
Almeria Rest
8 days

Girona vs Almeria: result, form and history

Almeria beat Girona 1-0 in the Segunda División on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Gorka Etayo Herrera averages 4.81 cards a game, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.02
X
24%3.50
2
26%3.48
Double Chance
1X
74%1.28
X2
50%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.62
No
42%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.17 = 2.84
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.76
Over 3.5
32%2.88
Under 1.5
22%4.00
Under 2.5
47%2.02
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.57
Over 9.5
48%2.01
Over 10.5
37%2.57
Under 8.5
40%2.19
Under 9.5
52%1.71
Under 10.5
63%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%1.50
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%2.50

Match Events

30'Álex MorenoFoul
38'Fran BeltranFoul
38'Izan GonzálezArgument
38'Stefan DžodićArgument
54'Marcos LunaFoul
63'Abel Ruíz INYaser Asprilla out
67'Miguel De La Fuente
71'Mateu MoreyDissent
72'Fran Beltran INIván Morante out
72'Unai Hernández INChristian Stuani out
74'Javier Muñoz Jiménez INGui Guedes out
79'Brian Cipenga INLéo Baptistão out
79'Miguel De La Fuente INÁlex Sola out
83'Vladyslav Vanat INPortu out
84'Álex Moreno INOleksandr Pyshchur out
86'Marcos Luna INMikel Vesga out
86'Quim junyent INÁlex Muñoz out
89'Álex MuñozTime wasting
90+5'Oleksandr PyshchurDissent

Lineups

Girona
4-4-2Coach: Quique Álvarez
Almeria
4-2-3-1Coach: Xavier García Pimienta
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.96
P. Gazzaniga6.513P. Gazzaniga
Mateu Morey6.63M. Morey
Alejandro Francés7.016A. Francés
Holmes Zamorano7.438H. Zamorano
Álex Moreno6.811Á. Moreno
Carles Pérez6.423C. Pérez
I. Gonzalez6.624I. Gonzalez
Fran Beltrán6.78F. Beltrán
Unai Hernández6.830U. Hernández
V. Vanat6.019V. Vanat
Abel Ruiz6.29A. Ruiz
Andrés Fernández7.51A. Fernández
Marcos Luna6.52M. Luna
Jorge Pulido7.35J. Pulido
F. Bonini7.418F. Bonini
Leonardo Lelo7.315L. Lelo
S. Džodić7.229S. Džodić
Javi Muñoz6.414J. Muñoz
Sergio Arribas6.711S. Arribas
Quim Junyent7.233Q. Junyent
B. Cipenga6.317B. Cipenga
Miguel de la Fuente8.224M. de la Fuente

Girona Substitutes

22Y. Asprilla63'for Abel Ruíz6.6
29L. Kourouma
25V. Krapyvtsov
33M. Furtado
14Iván Morante72'for Fran Beltran6.3
2A. Mumin
10Portu83'for Vladyslav Vanat6.3
1Sergi Puig
15Oleksandr Pishchur84'for Álex Moreno90+5'5.9
7C. Stuani72'for Unai Hernández6.4
6D. van de Beek

Almeria Substitutes

21Chumi
12Léo Baptistão79'for Brian Cipenga6.6
23Adri Embarba
9Thalys
13Fernando Martínez
7Jon Morcillo
3Álex Muñoz86'for Quim junyent89'6.6
20Álex Sola79'for Miguel De La Fuente6.5
6Mikel Vesga86'for Marcos Luna6.9
31Á. Yaakobishvili
8Gui74'for Javier Muñoz Jiménez6.8

Match Stats

GironaAlmeria
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks2
5Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots3
16Fouls14
5Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
384Total Passes503
320Passes Accurate438
14Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

GironaGirona
AlmeriaAlmeria
1744Elo Rating 1724
1.90Attack 1.74
2.39Defense 2.01
59%Hit Rate 31%
12.7Shots per Game 11.1
4.7Shots on Target 4.1
3.1Corners per Game 4.0
2.1Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GironaGirona
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
AlmeriaAlmeria
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GironaGirona4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
AlmeriaAlmeria3Wins · 30%
2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga14/01/2024
AlmeriaGirona
00
La Liga22/10/2023
GironaAlmeria
52
La Liga17/02/2023
GironaAlmeria
62
La Liga20/10/2022
AlmeriaGirona
32
Segunda División27/03/2022
AlmeriaGirona
01
Segunda División04/10/2021
GironaAlmeria
12
Segunda División05/06/2021
AlmeriaGirona
00
Segunda División02/06/2021
GironaAlmeria
30
Segunda División07/03/2021
GironaAlmeria
01
Segunda División01/11/2020
AlmeriaGirona
00

Referee Profile

Gorka Etayo Herrera94 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.63Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gorka Etayo Herrera4.81
Other referees5.57

4.81 cards a match, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.57).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria1392224:10+1429WDDWW
2CastellónCastellón1283123:5+1827DWWLD
3BurgosBurgos1373319:14+524WDWWL
4EibarEibar1272321:14+723DLDLW
5Granada CFGranada CF1272320:14+623WWWWW
6MallorcaMallorca1264215:7+822WDDWD
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1371514:15-122LWLWW
8GironaGirona1363422:12+1021LLWWD
9OviedoOviedo1363419:16+321WLDWW
10Las PalmasLas Palmas1362519:21-220WWWLL
11CordobaCordoba1361622:22019WDWWL
12ValladolidValladolid1353522:20+218WWLLW
13SabadellSabadell1346312:11+118DLDLW
14TenerifeTenerife1236315:17-215DDDDL
15EldenseEldense1342713:19-614LLLWW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1334619:25-613LDLDW
17Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1333715:22-712DWLLL
18LeganesLeganes1333711:23-1212LLDLL
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1232717:22-511DLLWD
20CadizCadiz1324716:18-210LLWLL
21AlbaceteAlbacete1331913:24-1110WWWLL
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC13121010:30-205LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1324:1029
2CastellónCastellón1223:527
3BurgosBurgos1319:1424
4EibarEibar1221:1423
5Granada CFGranada CF1220:1423
6MallorcaMallorca1215:722
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1314:1522
8GironaGirona1322:1221
9OviedoOviedo1319:1621
10Las PalmasLas Palmas1319:2120
11CordobaCordoba1322:2219
12ValladolidValladolid1322:2018
13SabadellSabadell1312:1118
14TenerifeTenerife1215:1715
15EldenseEldense1313:1914
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1319:2513
17Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1315:2212
18LeganesLeganes1311:2312
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1217:2211
20CadizCadiz1316:1810
21AlbaceteAlbacete1313:2410
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1310:305
PromotionRelegation

About the Girona vs Almeria forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Girona and Almeria in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Almeria are 1st and Girona 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Girona 22-12, Almeria 24-10. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Girona have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Almeria have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.