Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid Prediction

Sporting Gijon
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Valladolid
El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini, Gijon·Daniel Palencia Caballero 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.33
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Sporting Gijon Rest
7 days
Valladolid Rest
6 days

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid: the result in context

Valladolid beat Sporting Gijon 2-1 in the Segunda División on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 7 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5. Referee Daniel Palencia Caballero averages 5.78 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.52
X
28%3.14
2
31%2.81
Double Chance
1X
69%1.39
X2
59%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.77
No
44%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 1.34 = 3.06
Over 1.5
76%1.33
Over 2.5
52%2.10
Over 3.5
30%3.75
Under 1.5
24%3.15
Under 2.5
48%1.72
Under 3.5
70%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.58
Over 9.5
52%2.00
Over 10.5
40%2.52
Under 8.5
36%2.24
Under 9.5
48%1.75
Under 10.5
60%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.7 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
52%1.40
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
48%2.80

Match Events

4'Julien PonceauAssist: Iván Alejo
8'Hugo GuillamónFoul
18'Jorge SáenzFoul
32'Stanko JurićFoul
39'Tay AbedAssist: Víctor Fernández
43'David TorresFoul
45'Iván AlejoFoul
45'Hugo Guillamón INNacho Martín out
45'Enol Prendes Ortiz INDiego Matabuena Álvarez out
45+3'Gaspar CamposFoul
73'Miguel CondeFoul
73'Gaspar Campos INNikita Iosifov out
73'Miguel Conde INAndres Ferrari out
74'Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda INDaniel Pérez Guerrero out
74'Víctor Fernández INLuis Rodríguez Chacón out
82'Adrian Arnu INVictor Barbera out
82'Iván Alejo INÁlvaro Pérez Campo out
82'Andres Cuenca INMamadou Loum out
83'Guillermo RosasAssist: Nikita Iosifov
89'Tay Abed INPablo Tomeo Félez out
90+1'Juan OteroDissent
90+1'Juan Otero

Lineups

Sporting Gijon
4-4-2Coach: N. Larcamón
Valladolid
4-3-3Coach: Fran Escribá
Avg rating6.41
Avg rating6.88
Rubén Yáñez7.01R. Yáñez
Guille Rosas7.22G. Rosas
Pablo Vázquez6.515P. Vázquez
Jorge Sáenz5.823J. Sáenz
Andrés Cuenca6.644A. Cuenca
Hugo Guillamón5.722H. Guillamón
Álex Corredera7.014Á. Corredera
Enol Prendes6.027E. Prendes
Gaspar Campos6.47G. Campos
J. Otero5.919J. Otero
M. Conde6.228M. Conde
Álvaro Aceves6.51Á. Aceves
Iván Alejo7.514I. Alejo
Miguel Rubio7.012M. Rubio
David Torres6.94D. Torres
Clerc6.618Clerc
T. Ojeda6.78T. Ojeda
S. Jurić6.324S. Jurić
J. Ponceau7.821J. Ponceau
T. Abed8.223T. Abed
Adrian Arnuncio6.419A. Arnuncio
Víctor Fernández7.730V. Fernández

Sporting Gijon Substitutes

9A. Ferrari73'for Miguel Conde6.4
4E. Gularte
34Diego Matabuena Álvarez45'replaced by Enol Prendes Ortiz
36B. Rubio
5Diego Sánchez
26Iker Martínez
6Nacho Martín45'for Hugo Guillamón6.1
21M. Loum82'for Andres Cuenca6.1
13Arana
20N. Iosifov73'for Gaspar Campos7.2

Valladolid Substitutes

17Victor Barberá82'for Adrian Arnu6.5
11Yeray Cabanzón
27Iván Garriel
6M. Lachuer
20R. Duiven
15Pablo Tomeo89'for Tay Abed6.6
7Luis Chacón74'for Víctor Fernández6.8
28Dani Pérez74'for Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda6.4
2Trilli82'for Iván Alejo6.2
5Ramón Martínez
13Dani Martín
10R. Ito

Match Stats

Sporting GijonValladolid
63%Ball Possession37%
9Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
21Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal6
16Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots3
15Fouls11
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
548Total Passes334
465Passes Accurate265
10Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
ValladolidValladolid
1659Elo Rating 1569
1.70Attack 2.54
1.83Defense 1.30
81%Hit Rate 64%
13.5Shots per Game 16.4
4.6Shots on Target 7.9
3.5Corners per Game 7.2
1.7Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
ValladolidValladolid
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1Wins · 14%
Draws229%
ValladolidValladolid4Wins · 57%
3.3Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs08/08/2026
Sporting GijonValladolid
24
Segunda División22/02/2026
Sporting GijonValladolid
22
Segunda División19/10/2025
ValladolidSporting Gijon
23
Segunda División17/02/2024
Sporting GijonValladolid
11
Segunda División11/08/2023
ValladolidSporting Gijon
20
Segunda División28/01/2022
ValladolidSporting Gijon
10
Segunda División23/10/2021
Sporting GijonValladolid
12

Referee Profile

Daniel Palencia Caballero105 matches

5.78Cards per match
5.39Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
28.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniel Palencia Caballero5.78
Other referees5.26

5.78 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).

Cards come from 49 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria1392224:10+1429WDDWW
2CastellónCastellón1283123:5+1827DWWLD
3BurgosBurgos1373319:14+524WDWWL
4EibarEibar1272321:14+723DLDLW
5Granada CFGranada CF1272320:14+623WWWWW
6MallorcaMallorca1264215:7+822WDDWD
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1371514:15-122LWLWW
8GironaGirona1363422:12+1021LLWWD
9OviedoOviedo1363419:16+321WLDWW
10Las PalmasLas Palmas1362519:21-220WWWLL
11CordobaCordoba1361622:22019WDWWL
12ValladolidValladolid1353522:20+218WWLLW
13SabadellSabadell1346312:11+118DLDLW
14TenerifeTenerife1236315:17-215DDDDL
15EldenseEldense1342713:19-614LLLWW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1334619:25-613LDLDW
17Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1333715:22-712DWLLL
18LeganesLeganes1333711:23-1212LLDLL
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1232717:22-511DLLWD
20CadizCadiz1324716:18-210LLWLL
21AlbaceteAlbacete1331913:24-1110WWWLL
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC13121010:30-205LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1324:1029
2CastellónCastellón1223:527
3BurgosBurgos1319:1424
4EibarEibar1221:1423
5Granada CFGranada CF1220:1423
6MallorcaMallorca1215:722
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1314:1522
8GironaGirona1322:1221
9OviedoOviedo1319:1621
10Las PalmasLas Palmas1319:2120
11CordobaCordoba1322:2219
12ValladolidValladolid1322:2018
13SabadellSabadell1312:1118
14TenerifeTenerife1215:1715
15EldenseEldense1313:1914
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1319:2513
17Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1315:2212
18LeganesLeganes1311:2312
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1217:2211
20CadizCadiz1316:1810
21AlbaceteAlbacete1313:2410
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1310:305
PromotionRelegation

About the Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Sporting Gijon and Valladolid in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Sporting Gijon are 7th and Valladolid 12th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting Gijon 14-15, Valladolid 22-20. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Valladolid have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.