Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction

Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin·Mateusz Jenda 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Motor Lublin Rest
6 days
Zaglebie Lubin Rest
5 days

Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin: result, form and history

Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin drew 2-2 in the Ekstraklasa on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Motor Lublin have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game. Motor Lublin tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.0 for Zaglebie Lubin.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.94
X
26%3.51
2
28%3.55
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
54%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.61
No
41%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 1.25 = 3.10
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.71
Over 3.5
37%2.67
Under 1.5
21%3.90
Under 2.5
42%2.06
Under 3.5
63%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.51
Over 9.5
50%1.86
Over 10.5
39%2.37
Under 8.5
38%2.39
Under 9.5
50%1.84
Under 10.5
61%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%-
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%-

Match Events

25'Yacine BourhaneFoul
28'David ČolinaFoul
45'David Čolina INDamian Michalski out
45+1'Sebastian Kerk
48'Marcel RegulaAssist: Michał Nalepa
56'Yacine Bourhane INMateusz Legowski out
56'Makan Aiko INFabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao out
66'Mateusz Dziewiatowski INJakub·Sypek out
66'Sebastian Kerk INFilip Szymczak out
72'Christopher Simon INAlioune Oumar Tall out
72'Kamil Lukoszek INThomas Santos out
74'Mateusz Legowski
75'Marcel Regula INMateusz Grzybek out
76'Karol CzubakDissent
85'Filip Luberecki INMateusz Posmyk out
87'Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye
90+1'Mateusz GrzybekFoul
90+5'Josip Ćorluka INMihael Mlinarić out

Lineups

Motor Lublin
4-1-4-1Coach: M. Misiura
Zaglebie Lubin
4-5-1Coach: L. Ojrzynski
Avg rating6.43
Avg rating6.63
G. Tratnik6.333G. Tratnik
K. Lukoszek6.517K. Lukoszek
B. Bereszyński6.618B. Bereszyński
T. Plavotić6.44T. Plavotić
F. Luberecki6.324F. Luberecki
Y. Bourhane6.327Y. Bourhane
M. Ndiaye7.430M. Ndiaye
Rony Lopes7.09R. Lopes
C. Simon6.28C. Simon
M. Aïko5.970M. Aïko
K. Czubak6.110K. Czubak
Z. Alomerović7.533Z. Alomerović
A. Ławniczak6.35A. Ławniczak
M. Nalepa7.225M. Nalepa
R. Yakuba6.73R. Yakuba
J. Ćorluka6.316J. Ćorluka
F. Kocaba6.439F. Kocaba
M. Dziewiatowski6.220M. Dziewiatowski
D. Dąbrowski6.48D. Dąbrowski
D. Čolina6.36D. Čolina
S. Kerk7.737S. Kerk
M. Reguła7.844M. Reguła

Motor Lublin Substitutes

5A. Akatov
90Dominik Gregorski
23F. Haxha
2Paskal Konrad Meyer
71M. Popa
77Mateusz Posmyk85'replaced by Filip Luberecki
29T. Santos72'for Kamil Lukoszek6.4
47Alioune Tall72'for Christopher Simon6.0
22M. Zlomanczuk
11Fábio Ronaldo56'for Makan Aiko6.0
6M. Łęgowski56'for Yacine Bourhane74'7.0

Zaglebie Lubin Substitutes

13M. Grzybek75'for Marcel Regula90+1'5.9
30D. Hładun
26J. Kolan
19S. Łyczko
4D. Michalski45'for David Čolina6.1
31I. Orlikowski
99C. Popielec
7J. Sypek66'for Mateusz Dziewiatowski6.0
18F. Szymczak66'for Sebastian Kerk6.5
11A. Woźniak
88M. Mlinarić90+5'for Josip Ćorluka
94M. Urbanski

Match Stats

Motor LublinZaglebie Lubin
58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
25Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box8
14Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
8Fouls5
1Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves5
489Total Passes370
404Passes Accurate282
5Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
1512Elo Rating 1532
1.95Attack 1.39
1.33Defense 1.26
42%Hit Rate 37%
22.2Shots per Game 12.0
7.8Shots on Target 4.5
6.3Corners per Game 3.0
2.3Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Motor LublinMotor Lublin3Wins · 60%
Draws240%
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin0Wins · 0%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa20/03/2026
Motor LublinZaglebie Lubin
10
Ekstraklasa21/09/2025
Zaglebie LubinMotor Lublin
22
Ekstraklasa18/05/2025
Motor LublinZaglebie Lubin
10
Ekstraklasa22/11/2024
Zaglebie LubinMotor Lublin
12
Cup19/10/2022
Motor LublinZaglebie Lubin
1000

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1191129:10+1928WWWWL
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1283121:11+1027DDWDW
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1173119:9+1024WWWWW
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1265123:11+1223LDWWD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1263319:15+421WDLWW
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1262422:18+420WDWLW
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1254315:15019DWLLW
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1260622:17+518LLWWW
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1253414:18-418WLLWL
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1150614:17-315WLLLL
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1142510:16-614LWLWW
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1234517:21-413DWWDL
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1233614:19-512LDWLL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1218315:16-111DDLDD
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1223716:22-69WLLLL
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1222816:23-78LLLWD
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1222812:28-168LLLLL
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa12201016:28-126LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1129:1028
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1221:1127
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1119:924
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1223:1123
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1219:1521
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1222:1820
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1215:1519
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1222:1718
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1214:1818
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1114:1715
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1110:1614
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1217:2113
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1214:1912
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1215:1611
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1216:229
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1216:238
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1212:288
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1216:286
Relegation

About the Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Zaglebie Lubin are 7th and Motor Lublin 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Motor Lublin 17-21, Zaglebie Lubin 15-15. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.