Start vs Fredrikstad Prediction

Start
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Fredrikstad
Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand·Marius Lien, Norway 08/08/2026
StartStart
0-1
Finished
FredrikstadFredrikstad

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-0.3%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Start Rest
7 days
Fredrikstad Rest
7 days

Start vs Fredrikstad: result, form and history

Fredrikstad beat Start 1-0 in the Eliteserien on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them. Referee Marius Lien averages 2.65 cards a game, 0.77 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.25
X
25%3.42
2
36%2.98
Double Chance
1X
64%1.36
X2
61%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.60
No
44%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.41 = 2.89
Over 1.5
82%1.22
Over 2.5
58%1.75
Over 3.5
32%2.80
Under 1.5
18%3.95
Under 2.5
42%2.05
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.7 = 10.6
Over 8.5
75%1.37
Over 9.5
65%1.65
Over 10.5
54%2.05
Under 8.5
25%2.75
Under 9.5
35%2.11
Under 10.5
46%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.1 = 2.7
Over 3.5
17%-
Over 4.5
5%-
Under 3.5
83%-
Under 4.5
95%-

Match Events

29'Gabriel WessehAssist: Samuel Leach Holm
46'Ousmane Diallo Toure INDeni Dashaev out
52'Erlend Dahl Reitan INAltin Ujkani out
58'Gabriel Wesseh INBenjamin Faraas out
58'Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem INSimen Rafn out
63'James Ampofo INMikael Ugland out
64'Samuel Leach Holm INSalim Laghzaoui out
71'Isak Helstad Amundsen INSolomon Owusu out
82'Jesper Cornelius INSantino Samuyiwa out
82'Jens Berland Husebø INFredrik Palerud out

Lineups

Start
3-5-2Coach: Azar Karadas
Fredrikstad
5-4-1Coach: Andreas Hagen
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.93
Filip Manojlović6.345F. Manojlović
Erlend Dahl Reitan7.229E. Dahl Reitan
Jens Berland Husebø7.228J. Berland Husebø
John Olav Norheim7.36J. Olav Norheim
Ousmane Diallo Toure6.927O. Diallo Toure
Hakon Lorentzen6.520H. Lorentzen
Erlend Segberg6.923E. Segberg
Eirik SchulzeC7.711E. Schulze
Tom Strannegård6.616T. Strannegård
Jesper Cornelius6.317J. Cornelius
James Ampofo6.222J. Ampofo
Martin Borsheim7.377M. Borsheim
Daniel EidC6.616D. Eid
Isak Helstad Amundsen6.938I. Helstad Amundsen
Fredrik Holmé7.34F. Holmé
Ulrik Fredriksen7.212U. Fredriksen
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem6.919F. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Gabriel Wesseh7.729G. Wesseh
Samuel Leach Holm7.76S. Leach Holm
Max Nilsson6.914M. Nilsson
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger7.220O. Øhlenschlaeger
Henrik Langaas Skogvold5.923H. Langaas Skogvold

Start Substitutes

12Deni Dashaev46'for Ousmane Diallo Toure7.9
3Altin Ujkani52'for Erlend Dahl Reitan7.2
18Mikael Ugland63'for James Ampofo5.9
2Fredrik Palerud82'for Jens Berland Husebø6.9
35Santino Samuyiwa82'for Jesper Cornelius7.2
1Jacob Pryts
4Johan Meyer
14Markus Soomets
30Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal

Fredrikstad Substitutes

5Simen Rafn58'for Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem6.6
7Benjamin Faraas58'for Gabriel Wesseh6.3
9Salim Laghzaoui64'for Samuel Leach Holm6.2
28Solomon Owusu71'for Isak Helstad Amundsen7.2
1Oystein Ovretveit
18Jonathan Norbye
21Jakub Jezierski
24Leonard Owusu
10Johannes Núñez

Match Stats

StartFredrikstad
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks4
13Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots4
8Fouls5
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
471Total Passes515
366Passes Accurate408
78%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

StartStart
FredrikstadFredrikstad
1522Elo Rating 1620
1.72Attack 2.27
0.26Defense 0.42
44%Hit Rate 27%
13.2Shots per Game 14.2
2.6Shots on Target 3.9
5.1Corners per Game 5.8
1.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

StartStart
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

StartStart1Wins · 14%
Draws229%
FredrikstadFredrikstad4Wins · 57%
3.6Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

Eliteserien29/05/2026
FredrikstadStart
21
1. Division03/09/2023
StartFredrikstad
22
1. Division11/06/2023
FredrikstadStart
31
1. Division31/07/2022
StartFredrikstad
10
1. Division18/04/2022
FredrikstadStart
10
1. Division26/09/2021
StartFredrikstad
26
1. Division18/08/2021
FredrikstadStart
22

Recent Form

StartStart
2W1D7L
01/08/2026
StartViking
03
L
25/07/2026
Kristiansund BKStart
12
W
18/07/2026
StartRosenborg
03
L
12/07/2026
BrannStart
21
L
04/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtStart
40
L
29/05/2026
FredrikstadStart
21
L
25/05/2026
StartValerenga
20
W
20/05/2026
StartBodo/Glimt
14
L
16/05/2026
VikingStart
63
L
03/05/2026
StartTromso
11
D
FredrikstadFredrikstad
3W1D6L
01/08/2026
FredrikstadSandefjord
10
W
27/07/2026
RosenborgFredrikstad
40
L
17/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtFredrikstad
10
L
11/07/2026
FredrikstadLillestrom
02
L
04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
L
29/05/2026
FredrikstadStart
21
W
25/05/2026
SandefjordFredrikstad
11
D
16/05/2026
FredrikstadHam-Kam
21
W
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
L
02/05/2026
BrannFredrikstad
31
L

Referee Profile

Marius Lien117 matches

2.65Cards per match
2.50Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Lien2.65
Other referees3.42

2.65 cards a match, 0.77 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.42).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso25117743:38+540LLDDW
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2543:3840
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Start vs Fredrikstad forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Start and Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Fredrikstad are 11th and Start 16th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Start 26-55, Fredrikstad 29-44. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.