Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction

Viking
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lyse Arena, Stavanger·Tore Hansen, Norway 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.40
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
Viking Rest
6 days
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
5 days

Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: result, form and history

Viking beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1 in the Eliteserien on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Sarpsborg 08 FF tend to win more corners, 11.8 a game to 4.9 for Viking.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.36
X
19%5.25
2
10%6.83
Double Chance
1X
90%1.10
X2
29%2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.50
No
46%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.11 + 0.88 = 2.99
Over 1.5
83%1.08
Over 2.5
60%1.32
Over 3.5
34%1.85
Under 1.5
17%6.65
Under 2.5
40%3.20
Under 3.5
66%1.92
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 3.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
62%1.26
Over 9.5
50%1.44
Over 10.5
39%1.76
Under 8.5
38%3.42
Under 9.5
50%2.52
Under 10.5
61%1.95
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 3.2 = 4.9
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
53%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
47%-

Match Events

25'O. Skarsem
33'B. Utvik
40'H. Heggheim
40'A. Sher
50'Z. Tripic
61'O. Skarsem INN. Williams out
61'A. Nibe INV. E. Halvorsen out
65'S. Kvia-Egeskog INO. Visted out
65'R. Alte INJ. Hansen out
65'S. Bjorshol INH. J. Haugen out
68'Z. Tripic(Penalty missed)
70'C. Niyukuri INE. Wichne out
81'S. Sorli
85'A. Sher INCamil Mmaee out
87'V. Auklend INR. Postema out
88'E. Austbo INN. Fuglestad out
90+5'Z. Tripic(Penalty)
90+10'A. Ostbo

Lineups

Viking
4-3-3Coach: Bjarte Aarsheim
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-2-3-1Coach: Even Sel
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.80
Arild Østbø7.31A. Østbø
Sondre Flem Bjørshol7.018S. Flem Bjørshol
Henrik Heggheim8.05H. Heggheim
Gianni Stensness7.36G. Stensness
Vetle Auklend7.224V. Auklend
Ruben Alte6.916R. Alte
Kristoffer Askildsen7.97K. Askildsen
Simen Kvia-Egeskog6.726S. Kvia-Egeskog
Zlatko TripićC8.710Z. Tripić
Peter Christiansen7.320P. Christiansen
Edvin Austbø6.917E. Austbø
Leander Øy8.687L. Øy
Claus Niyukuri5.612C. Niyukuri
Bjorn UtvikC7.24B. Utvik
Marius Lode6.92M. Lode
Anders Hiim6.921A. Hiim
Sander Christiansen6.78S. Christiansen
Aimar Sher7.26A. Sher
Sondre Sörli6.910S. Sörli
Andreas Hansen6.933A. Hansen
Olaus Skarsem6.077O. Skarsem
Daniel Karlsbakk7.311D. Karlsbakk

Viking Substitutes

2Herman Johan Haugen65'for S. Bjorshol6.3
15Ola Visted65'for S. Kvia-Egeskog6.3
33Jakob Segadal Hansen65'for R. Alte6.5
11Romano Postema87'for V. Auklend6.5
23Niklas Kemp Fuglestad88'for E. Austbo6.5
30Ľubomír Belko
3Viljar Vevatne
27Jesper Daland
19Amin Cosic

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

22Victor Emanuel Halvorsen61'for A. Nibe6.3
17Noa Williams61'for O. Skarsem6.7
32Eirik Wichne70'for C. Niyukuri6.6
7Camil Mmaee85'for A. Sher6.2
13Carljohan Eriksson
20Peter Reinhardsen
50Magnus Mevik Eidal
15Michael Opoku
18Bop Guèye

Match Stats

VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
50%Ball Possession50%
11Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots25
8Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal15
14Shots Inside Box19
4Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots7
8Fouls11
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
410Total Passes421
341Passes Accurate347
83%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

VikingViking
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
1872Elo Rating 1612
2.34Attack 2.21
0.62Defense 1.32
39%Hit Rate 81%
11.7Shots per Game 22.9
4.4Shots on Target 6.2
4.9Corners per Game 11.8
2.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+260 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

VikingViking
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

VikingViking5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3Wins · 30%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien12/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
Eliteserien27/09/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
33
NM Cupen09/07/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
Eliteserien04/05/2025
VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
00
Eliteserien27/10/2024
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
12
Eliteserien01/04/2024
VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
10
Eliteserien12/11/2023
VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
21
Eliteserien11/06/2023
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
13
Eliteserien16/10/2022
VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
01
Eliteserien03/04/2022
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
01

Recent Form

VikingViking
7W2D1L
01/08/2026
StartViking
03
W
26/07/2026
AalesundViking
11
D
22/07/2026
LillestromViking
12
W
18/07/2026
VikingSandefjord
21
W
12/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
L
03/07/2026
SonderjyskeViking
11
D
24/05/2026
Kristiansund BKViking
12
W
16/05/2026
VikingStart
63
W
10/05/2026
KFUM OsloViking
02
W
01/05/2026
VikingRosenborg
30
W
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
5W2D3L
02/08/2026
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
33
D
26/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
10
W
18/07/2026
Kristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
00
D
12/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
W
29/05/2026
BrannSarpsborg 08 FF
12
W
25/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
21
W
16/05/2026
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
32
L
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
W
03/05/2026
LillestromSarpsborg 08 FF
40
L
26/04/2026
KFUM OsloSarpsborg 08 FF
10
L

Referee Profile

Tore Hansen125 matches

3.49Cards per match
3.35Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
20.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tore Hansen3.49
Other referees3.28

3.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.28).

Cards come from 113 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2443:3440
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Viking and Sarpsborg 08 FF in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Viking are 1st and Sarpsborg 08 FF 8th, 28 points apart. League goal record so far: Viking 64-26, Sarpsborg 08 FF 32-39. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sarpsborg 08 FF have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.