Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

Volksparkstadion, Hamburger·Tobias Stieler 27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Hamburger SV Rest
3 days
Eintracht Frankfurt Rest
3 days

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: the result in context

Eintracht Frankfurt beat Hamburger SV 3-1 in the DFB Pokal on 27 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Hamburger SV had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.15
X
26%3.69
2
46%2.06
Double Chance
1X
53%1.72
X2
72%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.40
No
38%2.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.76 = 3.17
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
63%1.42
Over 3.5
44%2.12
Under 1.5
15%5.75
Under 2.5
37%2.70
Under 3.5
56%1.67
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'Nnamdi CollinsFoul
33'Mario GötzeFoul
45'Sebastiaan Bornauw INJason Bissi-Mouelle out
50'Nnamdi Collins INKeita Kosugi out
56'Robin KochAssist: Jonathan Burkardt
69'Jeremiaha MaluzeFoul
71'Jonathan BurkardtAssist: Mario Götze
72'Jonathan Burkardt INYounes Ebnoutalib out
72'Mario Götze INNoel Aseko out
73'Albert Sambi Lokonga INKofi Jeremy Amoako out
73'Albert Grönbaek INOtto Emerson Stange out
74'Miro Muheim INPatson Daka out
75'Younes EbnoutalibAssist: Farès Chaïbi
79'Terem Moffi
82'Terem Moffi INAlexander Rossing Lelesiit out
84'Raphael Onyedika NwadikeFoul
90+1'Ritsu Doan INLove Arrhov out

Lineups

Hamburger SV
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Polzin
Eintracht Frankfurt
4-4-2Coach: A. Hütter
Avg rating6.26
Avg rating7.08
S. Tangvik5.612S. Tangvik
S. Nandja6.543S. Nandja
S. Bornauw5.533S. Bornauw
W. Omari6.417W. Omari
Z. El Ouahdi6.37Z. El Ouahdi
A. Sambi Lokonga6.66A. Sambi Lokonga
M. Muheim6.428M. Muheim
D. Møller Wolfe6.33D. Møller Wolfe
M. Adeline5.85M. Adeline
A. Grønbæk6.011A. Grønbæk
T. Moffi7.29T. Moffi
N. Atubolu7.61N. Atubolu
N. Collins6.034N. Collins
J. Maluze6.637J. Maluze
R. Koch8.34R. Koch
Elias Baum6.92E. Baum
R. Dōan6.820R. Dōan
R. Onyedika6.325R. Onyedika
M. Götze7.227M. Götze
F. Chaïbi7.68F. Chaïbi
J. Burkardt8.99J. Burkardt
C. Uzun6.442C. Uzun

Hamburger SV Substitutes

19Otto Emerson Stange73'for Albert Grönbaek6.2
38Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit82'for Terem Moffi6.6
22Kofi Jeremy Amoako73'for Albert Sambi Lokonga5.9
48J. Bissi Mouelle45'for Sebastiaan Bornauw6.3
27P. Daka74'for Miro Muheim6.6
1Daniel Heuer Fernandes
18B. Jatta
37L. Lemke
10I. Pherai

Eintracht Frankfurt Substitutes

31L. Arrhov90+1'for Ritsu Doan
15N. Aséko Nkili72'for Mario Götze6.4
11Y. Ebnoutalib72'for Jonathan Burkardt75'7.4
6O. Højlund
40Kauã Santos
7A. Knauff
26K. Kosugi50'for Nnamdi Collins6.7
5Otávio
35M. Pimpong

Match Stats

Hamburger SVEintracht Frankfurt
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls15
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
420Total Passes459
317Passes Accurate371
15Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
1697Elo Rating 1729
1.14Attack 0.98
1.47Defense 1.09
59%Hit Rate 37%
12.0Shots per Game 12.3
3.5Shots on Target 5.4
4.0Corners per Game 4.2
1.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.18 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Hamburger SVHamburger SV1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Bundesliga02/05/2026
Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV
12
Bundesliga20/12/2025
Hamburger SVEintracht Frankfurt
11

Referee Profile

Tobias Stieler223 matches

3.89Cards per match
3.73Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tobias Stieler3.85
Other referees4.30

3.85 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).

Cards come from 212 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 64
Round of 32
Waldhof Mannheim00
1. FC Kaiserslautern01
After extra time
Preußen Münster1
Karlsruher SC2
SC St. Tönis0
Eintracht Frankfurt11
SV Wehen0
Bayer Leverkusen4
Erzgebirge Aue0
1899 Hoffenheim4
MSV Duisburg1
SV Elversberg3
Hemelingen1
Hannover 969
Lüneburger SK Hansa0
Werder Bremen3
Eintracht Trier0
RB Leipzig6
TSV 1860 München0
Holstein Kiel2
SSV Jeddeloh5
1. FC Heidenheim2
Bahlinger SC0
1. FC Magdeburg4
Westfalia Rhynern0
Dynamo Dresden6
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1
SV Darmstadt 982
Krieschow0
FSV Mainz 059
Schott Mainz0
Borussia Mönchengladbach5
Phönix Lübeck2
SC Paderborn 074
Rot-Weiß Essen2
FC St. Pauli0
Altglienicke25
VfL Wolfsburg26
On penalties
Verl0
Hamburger SV3
Würzburger Kickers1
1. FC Köln2
HEBC0
Borussia Dortmund5
VfL Osnabrück1
Bayern München4

About the Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt forecast

As a knockout tie in the DFB Pokal, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About DFB Pokal

More DFB Pokal fixtures and forecasts are on the DFB Pokal Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.