Hull City vs Everton Prediction

Hull City
2-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Everton
MKM Stadium, Hull·Michael Salisbury 11/10/2026
Hull CityHull City
2-2
Finished
EvertonEverton

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.56
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+2.6%
Hull City Rest
21 days
Everton Rest
21 days

Hull City vs Everton: the result in context

Hull City and Everton drew 2-2 in the Premier League on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.70
X
28%3.33
2
45%2.10
Double Chance
1X
55%1.74
X2
73%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.44 = 2.73
Over 1.5
73%1.32
Over 2.5
48%2.05
Over 3.5
28%3.56
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
52%1.78
Under 3.5
72%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.6 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.45
Over 9.5
51%1.77
Over 10.5
35%2.25
Under 8.5
39%2.49
Under 9.5
49%1.98
Under 10.5
65%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.8 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.76
Over 4.5
34%2.52
Under 3.5
47%1.95
Under 4.5
66%1.51

Match Events

13'Matt CrooksFoul
21'Oliver McBurnieFoul
34'Goal cancelledBrennan Johnson
48'Joe GelhardtAssist: Sorba Thomas
55'Kiernan Dewsbury-HallAssist: Ainsley Maitland-Niles
64'Ryan Giles INElliot Stroud out
64'Joe Gelhardt INMohamed Belloumi out
65'Matt Crooks INTim Iroegbunam out
66'Brennan Johnson INTyrique George out
68'Thierno BarryAssist: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
74'Mohamed BelloumiAssist: Elliot Stroud
75'Regan Slater INHidemasa Morita out
78'Harrison Armstrong INHayden Hackney out
78'Ainsley Maitland-Niles INJake O'Brien out
86'Sorba Thomas INRobinio Vaz out
86'Jack Grealish INTyler Dibling out
86'Thierno Barry INCharly Alcaraz out

Lineups

Hull City
5-4-1Coach: S. Jakirović
Everton
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Moyes
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.76
K. Tzolakis6.719K. Tzolakis
L. Coyle6.62L. Coyle
S. Ajayi6.26S. Ajayi
J. Egan5.915J. Egan
N. Mendy6.132N. Mendy
R. Giles6.23R. Giles
J. Gelhardt8.011J. Gelhardt
M. Crooks6.325M. Crooks
R. Slater6.427R. Slater
S. Thomas7.77S. Thomas
O. McBurnie6.39O. McBurnie
J. Pickford6.11J. Pickford
A. Maitland-Niles6.92A. Maitland-Niles
J. Tarkowski7.16J. Tarkowski
M. Keane7.15M. Keane
J. Branthwaite6.64J. Branthwaite
J. Garner7.237J. Garner
H. Armstrong6.345H. Armstrong
B. Johnson6.322B. Johnson
K. Dewsbury-Hall9.08K. Dewsbury-Hall
J. Grealish6.810J. Grealish
T. Barry7.511T. Barry

Hull City Substitutes

47R. Vaz86'for Sorba Thomas6.5
42T. Iroegbunam65'for Matt Crooks6.0
21E. Stroud64'for Ryan Giles5.8
18B. Norton-Cuffy
5H. Morita75'for Regan Slater6.1
10M. Belloumi64'for Joe Gelhardt74'8.2
22L. Herrington
17P. McNair
12D. Phillips

Everton Substitutes

58B. Graham
19Tyrique George66'for Brennan Johnson6.4
30H. Hackney78'for Harrison Armstrong6.0
34M. Röhl
24C. Alcaraz86'for Thierno Barry6.2
23C. Nørgaard
20T. Dibling86'for Jack Grealish6.6
15J. O'Brien78'for Ainsley Maitland-Niles6.2
12M. Travers

Match Stats

Hull CityEverton
35%Ball Possession65%
7Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box11
0Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
15Fouls4
1Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves2
307Total Passes588
223Passes Accurate511
73%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Hull CityHull City
EvertonEverton
1697Elo Rating 1794
0.98Attack 0.70
1.41Defense 1.61
0%Hit Rate 31%
11.0Shots per Game 12.2
2.9Shots on Target 4.5
5.9Corners per Game 4.6
3.2Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Hull CityHull City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
EvertonEverton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Hull CityHull City0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
EvertonEverton0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

FA Cup08/01/2022
Hull CityEverton
2232

Referee Profile

Michael Salisbury151 matches

3.42Cards per match
3.28Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
22.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michael Salisbury3.42
Other referees3.78

3.42 cards a match, 0.36 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton851223:7+1616LWWWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
5ChelseaChelsea841317:15+213LWWLD
6BrentfordBrentford825114:9+511DLDWD
7NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
8Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
9LeedsLeeds72419:6+310DLDWD
10Hull CityHull City82429:8+110DLDLD
11EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
12IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
13BournemouthBournemouth823312:13-19WWLLD
14TottenhamTottenham82338:10-29WWDLD
15FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
16Manchester UnitedManchester United814310:13-37LDDDL
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace82159:19-107LLWDL
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
19CoventryCoventry82066:15-96LLWWL
20SunderlandSunderland71156:14-84LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton823:716
4LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
5ChelseaChelsea817:1513
6BrentfordBrentford814:911
7NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
8Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
9LeedsLeeds79:610
10Hull CityHull City89:810
11EvertonEverton88:910
12IpswichIpswich812:1610
13BournemouthBournemouth812:139
14TottenhamTottenham88:109
15FulhamFulham88:108
16Manchester UnitedManchester United810:137
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace89:197
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
19CoventryCoventry86:156
20SunderlandSunderland76:144
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Hull City vs Everton forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hull City and Everton in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Hull City (10th) and Everton (11th) are level on 10 points. League goal record so far: Hull City 9-8, Everton 8-9. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hull City and Everton have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.