Sunderland vs Hull City Prediction

League CupEngland England · Round of 32
CupKnockout
Sunderland
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Hull City
Stadium of Light, Sunderland 08/09/2026
SunderlandSunderland
1-0
Finished
Hull CityHull City

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.30
SignalNEUTRALModel44%RiskHighGap+5.4%
Sunderland Rest
3 days
Hull City Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.67
X
23%3.77
2
31%5.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.17
X2
54%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.85
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.22 = 2.64
Over 1.5
85%1.30
Over 2.5
53%1.93
Over 3.5
35%3.25
Under 1.5
15%3.50
Under 2.5
47%1.87
Under 3.5
65%1.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Nobel Mendy INJohn Egan out
54'Lucas Gourna-DouathHandball
59'Matt Crooks INJoe Gelhardt out
60'Lucas Gourna-Douath INRegan Slater out
60'Robinio Vaz INChristos Mouzakitis out
62'Luke O'NienFoul
65'Dayann Methalie INThomas Meunier out
71'Chemsdine TalbiAssist: Thomas Meunier
72'John EganFoul
76'Matt Targett INElliot Stroud out
79'Malick Fofana INAlan Browne out
79'Wilson Isidor INTimur Tutierov out
86'Chemsdine Talbi INTom Proctor out
90+4'Elliot StroudFoul

Lineups

Sunderland
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Le Bris
Hull City
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Jakirović
M. Ellborg31M. EllborgM. Ellborg
T. Hume32T. HumeT. Hume
L. O'Nien13L. O'NienL. O'Nien
O. Alderete15O. AldereteO. Alderete
D. Methalie6D. MethalieD. Methalie
C. Rigg11C. RiggC. Rigg
Jules Ahoka29J. AhokaJules Ahoka
J. T. Bi37J. T. BiJ. T. Bi
C. Talbi7C. TalbiC. Talbi
M. Fofana39M. FofanaM. Fofana
W. Isidor18W. IsidorW. Isidor
D. Phillips12D. PhillipsD. Phillips
L. Coyle2L. CoyleL. Coyle
L. Herrington22L. HerringtonL. Herrington
N. Mendy32N. MendyN. Mendy
M. Targett23M. TargettM. Targett
M. Crooks25M. CrooksM. Crooks
L. Gourna-Douath29L. Gourna-DouathL. Gourna-Douath
M. Cho50M. ChoM. Cho
J. Hjertø-Dahl14J. Hjertø-DahlJ. Hjertø-Dahl
S. Thomas7S. ThomasS. Thomas
R. Vaz47R. VazR. Vaz

Sunderland Substitutes

40J. WhittakerM
57T. TuterovM
5D. BallardD
8A. BrowneM
12T. MeunierD
21S. MooreG
77T. ProctorM
27N. SadikiM
48Jenson JonesD

Hull City Substitutes

11J. GelhardtF
3R. GilesD
55Archie HowardG
36C. MouzakitisM
27R. SlaterM
21E. StroudM
15J. EganD
26K. DowellM
20Óscar Steven Zambrano PreciadoM

Match Stats

SunderlandHull City
55%Ball Possession45%
7Corner Kicks12
1Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots3
8Fouls17
5Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
422Total Passes399
368Passes Accurate328
16Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

SunderlandSunderland
Hull CityHull City
1773Elo Rating 1713
0.73Attack 0.85
1.98Defense 2.09
39%Hit Rate 17%
12.9Shots per Game 10.6
3.9Shots on Target 3.5
4.5Corners per Game 5.3
2.4Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SunderlandSunderland
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Hull CityHull City
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Sunderland 39%Draw 14%46% Hull City
1.99Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
14%Over 2.5

Recent Form

SunderlandSunderland
3W1D1L
05/09/2026
BrentfordSunderland
11
D30/08/2026
SunderlandFulham
10
W22/08/2026
IpswichSunderland
21
L
15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
21
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
W
Hull CityHull City
3W2D0L
05/09/2026
Hull CityAston Villa
00
D29/08/2026
CoventryHull City
01
W25/08/2026
Stoke CityHull City
4151
W22/08/2026
Hull CityManchester United
20
W
15/08/2026
Hull CityNice
00
D

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Bristol City0
Walsall1
Wolves3
Port Vale0
Wycombe1
Stevenage2
Middlesbrough1
Wrexham0
Cambridge United2
Barnet1
QPR10
Millwall12
On penalties
AFC Wimbledon15
Newport County14
On penalties
Barnsley16
Wigan15
On penalties
Bristol Rovers0
Peterborough1
Bromley14
Reading15
On penalties
Burnley14
Notts County13
On penalties
Burton Albion1
Blackburn2
Cardiff3
Swindon Town2
Crewe2
Accrington ST1
Derby1
Lincoln2
Fleetwood Town1
Chesterfield0
Gillingham0
Luton3
Norwich4
Milton Keynes Dons1
Grimsby1
Blackpool3
Leicester1
Northampton0
Leyton Orient2
Oxford United0
Preston14
Huddersfield13
On penalties
Salford City13
Shrewsbury14
On penalties
Sheffield Wednesday1
Bolton0
Stockport County14
Doncaster15
On penalties
Stoke City2
Oldham0
Swansea0
Birmingham1
West Ham3
Portsmouth1
Bradford2
Rochdale0
Watford1
Crawley Town0
Cheltenham1
Charlton3
Colchester0
Southampton2
Rotherham1
West Brom4
Mansfield Town0
Sheffield Utd3
Plymouth2
Exeter City0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Ipswich
Seeded
Coventry
Seeded
Hull City
Seeded
Nottingham Forest
Seeded
Leeds
Seeded
Brentford
Seeded
Newcastle
Seeded
Tottenham
Seeded
Everton
Seeded
Chelsea
Seeded
Fulham
Seeded
Cardiff1
Norwich2
Doncaster1
Middlesbrough3
Barnsley3
Crewe2
Blackpool1
Lincoln4
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Ipswich3
Leicester1
Southampton1
West Ham4
Stevenage0
Reading3
Blackburn1
Sheffield Utd2
Fleetwood Town4
Shrewsbury0
Plymouth2
Coventry4
Sheffield Wednesday0
Wolves2
Stoke City14
Hull City15
On penalties
Walsall05
Leyton Orient06
On penalties
Watford1
Peterborough5
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Birmingham1
Brentford6
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Newcastle3
West Brom2
Tottenham5
Charlton1
Preston0
Everton4
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Bournemouth4
Lincoln0
Crystal Palace3
Middlesbrough0
Leyton Orient1
Bradford3
Sunderland1
Hull City0
Millwall0
Newcastle1
Chelsea6
Leeds3
Peterborough37
Barnsley36
On penalties
West Ham2
Fulham3
Liverpool3
Tottenham1
Reading1
Brentford2
Ipswich2
Arsenal4
Everton1
Wolves0
Fleetwood Town1
Sheffield Utd0
Coventry1
Aston Villa3
Manchester United2
Brighton3
Manchester City5
Norwich0
Bournemouth4
Lincoln0
Crystal Palace3
Middlesbrough0
Leyton Orient1
Bradford3
Sunderland1
Hull City0
Millwall0
Newcastle1
Chelsea6
Leeds3
Peterborough37
Barnsley36
On penalties
West Ham2
Fulham3
Liverpool3
Tottenham1
Reading1
Brentford2
Ipswich2
Arsenal4
Everton1
Wolves0
Fleetwood Town1
Sheffield Utd0
Coventry1
Aston Villa3
Manchester United2
Brighton3
Manchester City5
Norwich0

Sunderland vs Hull City Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Sunderland and Hull City have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.99 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.