Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire Prediction

Nashville SC
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Chicago Fire
Geodis Park, Nashville· L. Hernandez 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel51%RiskMediumGap-5.7%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.58
SignalHIGHModel67%RiskMediumGap+5.2%
Nashville SC Rest
7 days
Chicago Fire Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.76
X
25%4.00
2
22%4.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.22
X2
47%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.46
No
36%2.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.18 = 3.05
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
65%1.47
Over 3.5
43%2.20
Under 1.5
17%5.78
Under 2.5
35%2.63
Under 3.5
57%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.2 = 9.9
Over 8.5
61%1.62
Over 9.5
50%2.01
Over 10.5
39%2.63
Under 8.5
39%2.22
Under 9.5
50%1.74
Under 10.5
61%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.64
Over 4.5
33%2.30
Under 3.5
47%2.20
Under 4.5
67%1.58

Match Events

33'S. SurridgeAssist: R. Baker-Whiting
35'H. Mukhtar
57'J. Elliott
68'R. Lod INJ. Bamba out
68'M. Haile-Selassie INP. Dithejane out
69'E. Saad INS. Mohammed out
75'S. Oregel INA. Mekvabishvili out
78'C. EspinozaAssist: A. Najar
79'D. D'Avilla INM. Pineda out
79'J. Dean INJ. Gomez out
83'P. Yazbek INE. Tagseth out
83'A. Najar IND. Lovitz out
87'H. MukhtarAssist: C. Espinoza
90+1'H. Mukhtar INA. Muyl out
90+1'C. Espinoza INJ. Bauer out

Lineups

Nashville SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Callaghan
Chicago Fire
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Barcena
Brian Schwake99B. SchwakeBrian Schwake
Andy Najar31A. NajarAndy Najar
Jeisson Palacios4J. PalaciosJeisson Palacios
Maxwell Woledzi3M. WoledziMaxwell Woledzi
Reed Baker-Whiting27R. Baker-WhitingReed Baker-Whiting
Patrick Yazbek8P. YazbekPatrick Yazbek
Matthew Corcoran16M. CorcoranMatthew Corcoran
Cristian Espinoza7C. EspinozaCristian Espinoza
Hany Mukhtar10H. MukhtarHany Mukhtar
Elias Saad11E. SaadElias Saad
Sam Surridge9S. SurridgeSam Surridge
Chris Brady1C. BradyChris Brady
Jonathan Dean24J. DeanJonathan Dean
Jack Elliott3J. ElliottJack Elliott
Noah Allen32N. AllenNoah Allen
Andrew Gutman15A. GutmanAndrew Gutman
Sergio Oregel35S. OregelSergio Oregel
Dje Tah D'Avilla42D. Tah D'AvillaDje Tah D'Avilla
Philip Zinckernagel11P. ZinckernagelPhilip Zinckernagel
Robin Lod17R. LodRobin Lod
Maren Haile-Selassie7M. Haile-SelassieMaren Haile-Selassie
Robert Lewandowski9R. LewandowskiRobert Lewandowski

Nashville SC Substitutes

14Shakur MohammedM
2Daniel LovitzD
20Edvard TagsethM
22Josh BauerD
19Alex MuylM
1Joe WillisG
5Jack MaherD
37Ahmed QasemF
6Bryan AcostaM

Chicago Fire Substitutes

12Puso DithejaneF
19Jonathan BambaF
23Anzor MekvabishviliM
22Mauricio PinedaD
18Johan GomezF
44Josh CohenG
5Samuel RogersD
2Leonardo BarrosoD
29David PorebaM

Match Stats

Nashville SCChicago Fire
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots4
12Fouls9
4Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
514Total Passes414
457Passes Accurate351
89%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Nashville SCNashville SC
Chicago FireChicago Fire
1746Elo Rating 1648
1.85Attack 1.75
1.72Defense 0.84
31%Hit Rate 0%
14.9Shots per Game 14.8
4.3Shots on Target 5.8
5.3Corners per Game 6.3
2.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend19% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Nashville SCNashville SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Nashville SC 59%Draw 0%41% Chicago Fire
3.12Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
36%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

L. Hernandez · 16 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
24.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 56% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Nashville SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Nashville SC and Chicago Fire have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.12 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.