Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire Prediction

Nashville SC
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Chicago Fire
Geodis Park, Nashville·L. Hernandez 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Nashville SC Rest
7 days
Chicago Fire Rest
6 days

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire: result, form and history

Nashville SC beat Chicago Fire 3-0 in the Major League Soccer on 20 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Nashville SC had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Chicago Fire.

Nashville SC have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.76
X
25%4.00
2
22%4.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.22
X2
47%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.46
No
36%2.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.18 = 3.05
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
65%1.47
Over 3.5
43%2.20
Under 1.5
17%5.78
Under 2.5
35%2.63
Under 3.5
57%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.2 = 9.9
Over 8.5
61%1.62
Over 9.5
50%2.01
Over 10.5
39%2.63
Under 8.5
39%2.22
Under 9.5
50%1.74
Under 10.5
61%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.64
Over 4.5
33%2.30
Under 3.5
47%2.20
Under 4.5
67%1.58

Match Events

33'S. SurridgeAssist: R. Baker-Whiting
35'H. Mukhtar
57'J. Elliott
68'R. Lod INJ. Bamba out
68'M. Haile-Selassie INP. Dithejane out
69'E. Saad INS. Mohammed out
75'S. Oregel INA. Mekvabishvili out
78'C. EspinozaAssist: A. Najar
79'D. D'Avilla INM. Pineda out
79'J. Dean INJ. Gomez out
83'P. Yazbek INE. Tagseth out
83'A. Najar IND. Lovitz out
87'H. MukhtarAssist: C. Espinoza
90+1'H. Mukhtar INA. Muyl out
90+1'C. Espinoza INJ. Bauer out

Lineups

Nashville SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Callaghan
Chicago Fire
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Barcena
Avg rating7.29
Avg rating6.45
Brian Schwake6.799B. Schwake
Andy Najar7.731A. Najar
Jeisson Palacios7.74J. Palacios
Maxwell Woledzi7.23M. Woledzi
Reed Baker-Whiting8.027R. Baker-Whiting
Patrick Yazbek7.38P. Yazbek
Matthew Corcoran7.316M. Corcoran
Cristian Espinoza8.67C. Espinoza
Hany MukhtarC7.710H. Mukhtar
Elias Saad7.311E. Saad
Sam Surridge7.59S. Surridge
Chris Brady7.51C. Brady
Jonathan Dean6.224J. Dean
Jack ElliottC6.33J. Elliott
Noah Allen6.932N. Allen
Andrew Gutman5.615A. Gutman
Sergio Oregel7.235S. Oregel
Dje Tah D'Avilla6.542D. Tah D'Avilla
Philip Zinckernagel6.311P. Zinckernagel
Robin Lod6.617R. Lod
Maren Haile-Selassie6.37M. Haile-Selassie
Robert Lewandowski6.09R. Lewandowski

Nashville SC Substitutes

14Shakur Mohammed69'for E. Saad6.5
2Daniel Lovitz83'for A. Najar6.3
20Edvard Tagseth83'for P. Yazbek6.3
22Josh Bauer90+1'for C. Espinoza
19Alex Muyl90+1'for H. Mukhtar
1Joe Willis
5Jack Maher
37Ahmed Qasem
6Bryan Acosta

Chicago Fire Substitutes

12Puso Dithejane68'for M. Haile-Selassie6.6
19Jonathan Bamba68'for R. Lod6.3
23Anzor Mekvabishvili75'for S. Oregel6.3
22Mauricio Pineda79'for D. D'Avilla6.3
18Johan Gomez79'for J. Dean6.3
44Josh Cohen
5Samuel Rogers
2Leonardo Barroso
29David Poreba

Match Stats

Nashville SCChicago Fire
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots4
12Fouls9
4Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
514Total Passes414
457Passes Accurate351
89%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Nashville SCNashville SC
Chicago FireChicago Fire
1796Elo Rating 1674
1.93Attack 2.26
2.30Defense 1.02
61%Hit Rate 46%
12.8Shots per Game 15.7
5.1Shots on Target 5.1
5.7Corners per Game 6.4
0.8Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+121 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend22% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nashville SCNashville SC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Nashville SCNashville SC6Wins · 67%
Draws111%
Chicago FireChicago Fire2Wins · 22%
2.9Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer05/04/2026
Chicago FireNashville SC
10
Major League Soccer15/06/2025
Chicago FireNashville SC
02
Major League Soccer27/04/2025
Nashville SCChicago Fire
72
Major League Soccer21/10/2024
Chicago FireNashville SC
03
Major League Soccer19/09/2024
Nashville SCChicago Fire
10
Major League Soccer09/07/2023
Chicago FireNashville SC
10
Major League Soccer07/05/2023
Nashville SCChicago Fire
30
Major League Soccer26/09/2021
Chicago FireNashville SC
00
Major League Soccer18/07/2021
Nashville SCChicago Fire
51

Referee Profile

L. Hernandez97 matches

4.53Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

L. Hernandez4.53
Other referees4.30

4.53 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
Promotion

About the Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Nashville SC and Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Nashville SC are 1st in the Major League Soccer, 22 points ahead of Chicago Fire in 4th. League goal record so far: Nashville SC 71-25, Chicago Fire 64-54. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.