Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami Prediction

Chicago Fire
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Inter Miami
Soldier Field, Chicago· Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel49%RiskMediumGap+4.3%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel71%RiskMediumGap+3.1%
Chicago Fire Rest
4 days
Inter Miami Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.20
X
24%4.10
2
27%2.70
Double Chance
1X
73%1.44
X2
51%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.25
No
30%3.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 1.25 = 2.98
Over 1.5
90%1.06
Over 2.5
68%1.25
Over 3.5
45%1.63
Under 1.5
10%8.50
Under 2.5
32%3.83
Under 3.5
55%2.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.1 = 9
Over 8.5
52%1.94
Over 9.5
43%2.50
Over 10.5
33%3.42
Under 8.5
48%1.80
Under 9.5
57%1.47
Under 10.5
67%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.70
Over 4.5
44%2.46
Under 3.5
37%2.10
Under 4.5
56%1.50

Match Events

4'Telasco SegoviaNot retreating
10'Robert LewandowskiAssist: Andrew Gutman
24'Maximiliano FalconFoul
48'Carlos Henrique CasimiroAssist: Lionel Messi
50'Jonathan DeanFoul
56'Robin Lod INPuso Dithejane out
59'Djé D'AvillaFoul
67'Jonathan Dean INLeonardo José Caetano Barroso out
67'Maren Haile-Selassie INSergio Oregel out
71'Germán BerterameFoul
78'Fricio Caicedo INFacundo Mura out
78'Telasco Segovia INAlexander Shaw out
90+4'Anton Saletros INMauricio Pineda out

Lineups

Chicago Fire
4-4-2Coach: G. Berhalter
Inter Miami
4-3-3Coach: Kily González
C. Brady1C. BradyC. Brady
J. Dean24J. DeanJ. Dean
J. Elliott3J. ElliottJ. Elliott
N. Allen32N. AllenN. Allen
A. Gutman15A. GutmanA. Gutman
P. Zinckernagel11P. ZinckernagelP. Zinckernagel
A. Salétros6A. SalétrosA. Salétros
T. D'Avilla42T. D'AvillaT. D'Avilla
M. Haile-Selassie7M. Haile-SelassieM. Haile-Selassie
R. Lewandowski9R. LewandowskiR. Lewandowski
R. Lod17R. LodR. Lod
D. St. Clair97D. St. ClairD. St. Clair
I. Fray17I. FrayI. Fray
Casemiro5CasemiroCasemiro
M. Falcón37M. FalcónM. Falcón
F. Caicedo15F. CaicedoF. Caicedo
R. De Paul7R. De PaulR. De Paul
Y. Bright42Y. BrightY. Bright
T. Segovia8T. SegoviaT. Segovia
G. Berterame19G. BerterameG. Berterame
L. Messi10L. MessiL. Messi
L. Suárez9L. SuárezL. Suárez

Chicago Fire Substitutes

37R. TurdeanM
12P. DithejaneF
44J. CohenG
2Leonardo BarrosoD
18J. GómezF
35S. OregelM
22M. PinedaD
29D. PorębaM
5S. RogersD

Inter Miami Substitutes

22D. AyalaM
54L. DelinoisF
4F. MuraD
56Daniel PinterF
59P. PlambeckM
34R. Ríos NovoG
88A. ShawM
76Ezequiel Abadia-RedaD
70D. SumallaD

Match Stats

Chicago FireInter Miami
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots20
3Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box10
4Blocked Shots8
16Fouls14
0Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves2
407Total Passes515
346Passes Accurate448
85%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Chicago FireChicago Fire
Inter MiamiInter Miami
1648Elo Rating 1730
1.75Attack 2.51
0.84Defense 1.87
0%Hit Rate 41%
14.8Shots per Game 15.8
5.8Shots on Target 6.2
6.3Corners per Game 5.4
2.0Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
Inter MiamiInter Miami
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Chicago Fire 23%Draw 19%58% Inter Miami
4.43Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
81%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA · 20 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
22.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 21% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Inter Miami have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Chicago Fire and Inter Miami have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.43 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.