Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC: the result in context
Toronto FC beat Inter Miami 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Inter Miami have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee Ismail Elfath averages 4.58 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Inter Miami
Avg ratingAvg rating
97D. St.Clair
17I. Fray
2G. Lujan
37M. Falcon
3S. Reguilon
7R. de Paul
5Casemiro
8T. Segovia
C10L. Messi
9L. Suarez
19G. Berterame
1L. Gavran
19K. Franklin
13B. Kuscevic
12Z. Monlouis
C22R. Laryea
71M. Cimermancic
14A. Coello
11D. Etienne
10D. Mihailovic
20D. Salloi
9J. SargentInter Miami Substitutes
Toronto FC Substitutes
Match Stats
Inter MiamiToronto FC Team Comparison
Inter MiamiToronto FCAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Inter Miami- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Toronto FC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Inter Miami7Wins · 70%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
09/05/2026Toronto FCInter Miami27/09/2025Toronto FCInter Miami07/04/2025Inter MiamiToronto FC05/10/2024Toronto FCInter Miami18/07/2024Inter MiamiToronto FC21/09/2023Inter MiamiToronto FC19/03/2023Toronto FCInter Miami01/10/2022Toronto FCInter Miami21/08/2022Inter MiamiToronto FC21/10/2021Inter MiamiToronto FCRecent Form
Inter Miami
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami
Nashville SCInter MiamiInter Miami
LeonInter Miami
MonterreyInter Miami
Atletico San LuisInter Miami
Columbus Crew
CF MontrealInter MiamiInter Miami
Chicago FireInter MiamiPhiladelphia UnionInter Miami
Portland TimbersToronto FCToronto FC
CharlotteToronto FC
New England Revolution
New York City FCToronto FC
DC UnitedToronto FCNew England RevolutionToronto FCCF MontrealToronto FCChicago FireToronto FCCharlotteToronto FCToronto FCInter MiamiToronto FC
Atlético OttawaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.58 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).
Cards come from 107 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71:25 | +46 | 77 | WWDWD |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80:59 | +21 | 60 | DWDLW |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55:47 | +8 | 58 | LLWWW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64:54 | +10 | 55 | LWDWL |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66:51 | +15 | 54 | DWWLD |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66:52 | +14 | 50 | WLDLD |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59:52 | +7 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 8 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63:78 | -15 | 46 | WLDDW |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67:75 | -8 | 46 | LWDWW |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48:62 | -14 | 42 | WLLWL |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49:45 | +4 | 42 | WDWDD |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52:67 | -15 | 39 | LLWLW |
| 13 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 | LWLLL |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 | LLLLL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37:69 | -32 | 26 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 71:25 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 80:59 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 55:47 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 64:54 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | 66:51 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 66:52 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 59:52 | 47 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 63:78 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 67:75 | 46 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 48:62 | 42 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 49:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 52:67 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 43:60 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | 37:69 | 26 |
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About the Inter Miami vs Toronto FC forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Inter Miami and Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer table
The table shows a wide gap: Inter Miami are 2nd in the Major League Soccer, while Toronto FC sit 12th, 21 points behind. League goal record so far: Inter Miami 80-59, Toronto FC 52-67. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.