Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios Prediction

Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellin·Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa, Colombia 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.84
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
Águilas Doradas Rest
2 days
Millonarios Rest
17 days

Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios: result, form and history

Águilas Doradas and Millonarios drew 1-1 in the Primera A on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa averages 6.94 cards a game, 0.86 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%3.67
X
28%3.19
2
32%2.02
Double Chance
1X
67%1.71
X2
60%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.84
No
46%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.01 = 2.30
Over 1.5
72%1.34
Over 2.5
46%2.08
Over 3.5
23%3.73
Under 1.5
28%3.00
Under 2.5
54%1.70
Under 3.5
77%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.3
Over 8.5
55%1.63
Over 9.5
40%2.00
Over 10.5
29%2.56
Under 8.5
45%2.16
Under 9.5
60%1.72
Under 10.5
71%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.9 = 5.1
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

7'J. Ontaneda
11'J. Mena
14'M. Garcia
25'R. Contreras INA. Estupinan out
40'J. Guerrero
50'A. Vasquez
50'I. Rojas
52'L. CastroAssist: S. Valencia
55'R. Urena
57'R. UrenaOG
60'S. Valencia
60'R. Marquez
64'A. Ricaurte INJ. E. Avalo Trejos out
64'J. Noguera INM. Ramirez out
66'M. Garcia IND. Ruiz out
66'A. Estupinan INLeonai Souza out
73'F. Chaverra IND. Silva out
73'S. Valencia IND. Banguero out
75'A. Mosquera
76'J. Melendez INS. Rodriguez out
77'A. Vasquez INR. Marquez out
90+2'E. Arizalas INF. A. Suarez Chalare out

Lineups

Águilas Doradas
4-2-3-1Coach: David Nino Casteblanco Juan
Millonarios
5-3-2Coach: Fabian Bustos
Jorge Soto1J. Soto
Jhon Meléndez13J. Meléndez
Andrés Mosquera4A. Mosquera
John Ontaneda3J. Ontaneda
Javier Mena32J. Mena
Frank Lozano19F. Lozano
Iván Rojas6I. Rojas
Junior Noguera10J. Noguera
Andrés Ricaurte8A. Ricaurte
Eduar Arízalas7E. Arízalas
Anthony Vásquez9A. Vásquez
Javier Burrai1J. Burrai
Jhonier Guerrero34J. Guerrero
Andrés Llinás26A. Llinás
Sergio Mosquera6S. Mosquera
Stiven Barreiro4S. Barreiro
Sebastián Valencia22S. Valencia
Mateo García19M. García
Rodrigo Ureña18R. Ureña
Francisco Chaverra13F. Chaverra
Leonardo Castro23L. Castro
Rodrigo Contreras27R. Contreras

Águilas Doradas Substitutes

12Juan Hurtado
30Nicolás Lara
28Sebastián Rodríguez76'for J. Melendez
20Alberto Higgins
24Juan Ávalo64'for A. Ricaurte
16Matías Ramírez64'for J. Noguera
15Fabián Suárez90+2'for E. Arizalas
21Ricardo Márquez
29Tomás Blandón

Millonarios Substitutes

12James Aguirre
20Danovis Banguero73'for S. Valencia
3Samuel Martín
43Cristian Uparela
14David Macalister Silva73'for F. Chaverra
55Leonai66'replaced by A. Estupinan
10Daniel Ruiz66'for M. Garcia
24Julian Angulo
11Andrey Estupiñán25'for R. Contreras66'for Leonai Souza

Match Stats

Águilas DoradasMillonarios
59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks3
6Yellow Cards4
9Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal1
4Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls15
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
404Total Passes270
310Passes Accurate173
77%Pass Accuracy64%

Team Comparison

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
MillonariosMillonarios
1578Elo Rating 1648
1.20Attack 1.31
2.50Defense 2.27
66%Hit Rate 19%
10.7Shots per Game 19.2
3.4Shots on Target 6.3
4.1Corners per Game 5.2
2.1Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
MillonariosMillonarios
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
MillonariosMillonarios5Wins · 50%
1.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A12/02/2026
MillonariosÁguilas Doradas
10
Primera A30/08/2025
Águilas DoradasMillonarios
12
Primera A16/03/2025
MillonariosÁguilas Doradas
10
Primera A26/08/2024
Águilas DoradasMillonarios
21
Primera A17/02/2024
MillonariosÁguilas Doradas
01
Primera A04/09/2023
Águilas DoradasMillonarios
20
Primera A19/03/2023
MillonariosÁguilas Doradas
22
Primera A15/08/2022
Águilas DoradasMillonarios
00
Primera A18/02/2022
MillonariosÁguilas Doradas
20
Primera A03/10/2021
MillonariosÁguilas Doradas
10

Recent Form

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
4W5D1L
19/08/2026
Águilas DoradasLlaneros
11
D
01/08/2026
Deportivo PastoÁguilas Doradas
12
W
26/07/2026
Águilas DoradasSanta Fe
21
W
26/05/2026
Real SoachaÁguilas Doradas
22
D
21/05/2026
Águilas DoradasDeportivo Pereira
11
D
18/05/2026
Ind. YumboÁguilas Doradas
14
W
10/05/2026
Águilas DoradasJaguares
00
D
03/05/2026
Independiente MedellinÁguilas Doradas
12
W
26/04/2026
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas
22
D
19/04/2026
Fortaleza FCÁguilas Doradas
20
L
MillonariosMillonarios
4W2D4L
05/08/2026
MillonariosDeportivo Pasto
20
W
02/08/2026
JuniorMillonarios
01
W
26/07/2026
MillonariosBucaramanga
01
L
19/07/2026
MillonariosColo Colo
01
L
11/07/2026
UniversitarioMillonarios
20
L
30/05/2026
Depor FCMillonarios
18
W
27/05/2026
MillonariosO'Higgins
12
L
23/05/2026
MillonariosChico
22
D
20/05/2026
Sao PauloMillonarios
11
D
16/05/2026
PatriotasMillonarios
23
W

Referee Profile

Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa33 matches

6.94Cards per match
6.22Yellow cards per match
0.72Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa6.94
Other referees6.08

6.94 cards a match, 0.86 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.08).

Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WDWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LLWWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWLWD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDLDW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe19104530:18+1234WWWDD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1896329:15+1433LWWLW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11LlanerosLlaneros1973921:24-324LDLDW
12CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1958625:25023LWLWD
14JuniorJunior1957726:27-122WDWWL
15ChicoChico1955915:29-1420WLLWL
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19431213:30-1715LLWWD
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
3Santa FeSanta Fe1930:1834
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1829:1533
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11LlanerosLlaneros1921:2424
12CucutaCucuta1819:2624
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1925:2523
14JuniorJunior1926:2722
15ChicoChico1915:2920
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1913:3015
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

About the Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Águilas Doradas and Millonarios in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Águilas Doradas (12th) and Millonarios (10th) are level on 26 points. League goal record so far: Águilas Doradas 20-25, Millonarios 31-23. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.