Junior vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction

Junior
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pereira
Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla·Carlos Andres Marquez Ortega 14/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Junior Rest
3 days
Deportivo Pereira Rest
4 days

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira: result, form and history

Junior and Deportivo Pereira drew 1-1 in the Primera A on 14 Oct 2026. Junior had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Deportivo Pereira.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them. Junior tend to win more corners, 5.0 a game to 2.8 for Deportivo Pereira.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.30
X
19%5.00
2
9%9.10
Double Chance
1X
90%1.06
X2
28%3.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.93
No
50%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.22 + 0.8 = 3.02
Over 1.5
81%1.19
Over 2.5
60%1.60
Over 3.5
37%2.50
Under 1.5
19%4.30
Under 2.5
40%2.21
Under 3.5
63%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.52
Over 9.5
48%1.87
Over 10.5
36%2.40
Under 8.5
40%2.33
Under 9.5
52%1.82
Under 10.5
64%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3.2 = 5.5
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
64%1.40
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
36%2.52

Match Events

5'Jermein PenaAssist: Kevin Pérez
25'Manuel Alejandro Diaz HernandezFoul
36'Jermein PenaFoul
44'Penalty confirmedKevin Pérez
44'Nicolás RengifoFoul
45'Luis Muriel(Penalty missed)
45'Sebastian Acosta INAnderson Plata out
45'Nicolás Rengifo INSebastián Urrea Arbeláez out
45'Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez INEderson Moreno out
47'Daniel SocarrasFoul
49'Red card cancelledEderson Moreno
49'Ederson MorenoFoul
58'Anderson PlataAssist: Ederson Moreno
62'Luis Muriel INFrancisco Fydriszewski out
62'Bryan Castrillón INTeófilo Gutiérrez out
69'Edwin Herrera INAndrés Shmalbach out
69'Guillermo Paiva INCristian Barrios out
69'Luis Jeiner Moreno INMiguel Ángel Aguirre out
79'Kevin Pérez INYimmi Chará out
90'Miguel Palacios INTobías Bovone out

Lineups

Junior
4-4-2Coach: S. Viera
Deportivo Pereira
4-4-2Coach: A. Márquez
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.53
J. Martínez6.830J. Martínez
Daniel Socarras7.034D. Socarras
J. Peña8.098J. Peña
D. Rivera7.35D. Rivera
E. Herrera7.03E. Herrera
B. Castrillón6.488B. Castrillón
Jesús Rivas6.922J. Rivas
F. Ángel6.680F. Ángel
K.  Pérez6.218K. Pérez
L. Muriel6.110L. Muriel
G. Paiva6.29G. Paiva
Yimy Gómez6.61Y. Gómez
J. Monroy6.020J. Monroy
S. Aguilar6.515S. Aguilar
N. Rengifo6.23N. Rengifo
F. Delgado7.025F. Delgado
J. Largacha6.311J. Largacha
W. Pacheco6.921W. Pacheco
L. Moreno6.737L. Moreno
M. Palacios6.324M. Palacios
S. Acosta6.610S. Acosta
M. Diaz5.929M. Diaz

Junior Substitutes

38Andrés Shmalbach69'replaced by Edwin Herrera
28G. Celis
77C. Barrios69'for Guillermo Paiva6.6
12J. Acosta
8Y. Chará79'for Kevin Pérez6.3
19F. Fydriszewski62'for Luis Muriel6.5
29T. Gutiérrez62'for Bryan Castrillón6.7
16Carlos Pérez
14J. Ríos

Deportivo Pereira Substitutes

12J. Betancourth
23T. Bovone90'for Miguel Palacios
26J. Montoya
27J. Morales
16Eber Moreno
14Ederson Moreno45'for Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez49'6.1
7Á. Plata45'for Sebastian Acosta58'8.2
19M. Aguirre69'for Luis Jeiner Moreno6.2
2S. Urrea45'for Nicolás Rengifo6.5

Match Stats

JuniorDeportivo Pereira
49%Ball Possession51%
9Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots1
8Fouls11
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
387Total Passes401
325Passes Accurate324
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

JuniorJunior
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
1581Elo Rating 1431
0.94Attack 0.91
2.05Defense 1.83
27%Hit Rate 27%
13.8Shots per Game 7.8
3.9Shots on Target 2.3
5.0Corners per Game 2.8
2.8Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+150 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

JuniorJunior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

JuniorJunior4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira3Wins · 30%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A03/02/2026
Deportivo PereiraJunior
23
Primera A19/10/2025
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
32
Primera A27/04/2025
Deportivo PereiraJunior
10
Primera A21/10/2024
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
31
Primera A23/05/2024
Deportivo PereiraJunior
00
Primera A20/05/2024
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
23
Primera A26/02/2024
Deportivo PereiraJunior
33
Primera A26/10/2023
Deportivo PereiraJunior
02
Primera A14/05/2023
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
00
Primera A01/12/2022
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
02

Referee Profile

Carlos Andres Marquez Ortega45 matches

6.31Cards per match
6.15Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos Andres Marquez Ortega6.31
Other referees5.91

6.31 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.91).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DDDLD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729LWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526WLWDL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLDD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322WDDDL
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318LDLLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417WDLWW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLDL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DWDDL
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1467122:13+925LLLDD
6Santa FeSanta Fe1474321:14+725LWWDD
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1656520:18+221DDDLD
9CucutaCucuta1563618:22-421DWDDL
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1547419:20-119WLWDL
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1553716:26-1018WDLWW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1552816:20-417WDDDL
15JuniorJunior1536620:23-315LWWLW
16ChicoChico1543812:25-1315LWLDL
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
19Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
20JaguaresJaguares1424816:28-1210LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1422:1325
6Santa FeSanta Fe1421:1425
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1620:1821
9CucutaCucuta1518:2221
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1519:2019
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1516:2618
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1516:2017
15JuniorJunior1520:2315
16ChicoChico1512:2515
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
19Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212
20JaguaresJaguares1416:2810

About the Junior vs Deportivo Pereira forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Junior and Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A table

The table shows a wide gap: Junior are 2nd in the Primera A, while Deportivo Pereira sit 20th, 25 points behind. League goal record so far: Junior 31-24, Deportivo Pereira 15-32. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.