Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas Prediction

Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga·Jonnathan Ortiz 14/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-10.4%
Bucaramanga Rest
9 days
Águilas Doradas Rest
4 days

Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas: result, form and history

Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas drew 1-1 in the Primera A on 14 Oct 2026. Bucaramanga had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Águilas Doradas.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Jonnathan Ortiz averages 5.35 cards a game, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.97
X
27%3.35
2
29%3.70
Double Chance
1X
71%1.25
X2
56%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.66
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.09 = 2.77
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.80
Over 3.5
31%3.05
Under 1.5
24%3.65
Under 2.5
47%1.95
Under 3.5
69%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.5 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.70
Over 9.5
48%2.15
Over 10.5
35%2.88
Under 8.5
42%2.05
Under 9.5
52%1.65
Under 10.5
65%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 3.2 = 5.7
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
68%-
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
32%-

Match Events

35'Edwin Castro
45+2'Aldair GutiérrezFoul
59'Matías Ramírez INJunior Noguera out
64'Fabián SambuezaFoul
69'Fabián Sambueza INFredy Salazar out
71'Matías RamírezFoul
74'Andres MosqueraFoul
74'Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos INRicardo Marquez out
86'Frank Lozano INTomás Blandón out
86'Andres Ricaurte INEduar Arízalas out
86'Emerson Batalla INLeonardo Flores out
86'Luciano Pons INBrandon·Caicedo out
90'Aldair Gutiérrez INMartín Rea out
90+2'Edwin CastroFoul
90+7'Jorge SotoDissent
90+8'Penalty confirmedEduar Arízalas
90+8'Cristopher FiermarinFoul
90+10'Jorge Soto(Penalty)

Lineups

Bucaramanga
5-4-1Coach: P. Peirano
Águilas Doradas
4-2-3-1Coach: F. Robatto
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.48
C. Fiermarín5.925C. Fiermarín
A. Gutiérrez6.119A. Gutiérrez
N. Castrillón6.66N. Castrillón
C. Romaña7.023C. Romaña
J. Ortiz6.424J. Ortiz
O. Albornoz6.880O. Albornoz
F. Sambueza6.010F. Sambueza
F. Charrupí6.321F. Charrupí
F. Castro7.822F. Castro
E. Batalla6.717E. Batalla
L. Pons6.427L. Pons
J. Soto7.01J. Soto
D. Lozano6.826D. Lozano
A. Mosquera6.44A. Mosquera
J. Ontaneda6.73J. Ontaneda
J. Mena6.932J. Mena
F. Lozano6.619F. Lozano
I. Rojas6.16I. Rojas
J. Ávalo6.624J. Ávalo
A. Ricaurte6.28A. Ricaurte
M. Ramírez6.016M. Ramírez
A. Vásquez6.49A. Vásquez

Bucaramanga Substitutes

29S. Velasquez
28L. Flores86'for Emerson Batalla6.5
30V. Cantillo
9B. Caicedo86'for Luciano Pons6.5
7K. Londoño
5A. Murrilo
12D. Novoa
3M. Rea90'for Aldair Gutiérrez
11F. Salazar69'for Fabián Sambueza6.7

Águilas Doradas Substitutes

12Juan Hurtado
30N. Lara
10Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca59'for Matías Ramírez6.5
29T. Blandon86'for Frank Lozano6.6
25J. Roa
28S. Rodríguez
7Eduar Arízalas86'replaced by Andres Ricaurte
21R. Márquez74'for Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos6.3
2J. García

Match Stats

BucaramangaÁguilas Doradas
36%Ball Possession64%
3Corner Kicks6
5Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots4
15Fouls10
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
299Total Passes532
220Passes Accurate448
74%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

BucaramangaBucaramanga
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
1600Elo Rating 1544
1.34Attack 1.27
2.00Defense 1.98
31%Hit Rate 37%
9.3Shots per Game 11.7
3.1Shots on Target 3.3
2.3Corners per Game 5.5
3.0Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

BucaramangaBucaramanga
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BucaramangaBucaramanga4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A07/04/2026
Águilas DoradasBucaramanga
21
Primera A25/08/2025
BucaramangaÁguilas Doradas
40
Primera A08/03/2025
Águilas DoradasBucaramanga
01
Primera A21/10/2024
Águilas DoradasBucaramanga
13
Primera A27/03/2024
BucaramangaÁguilas Doradas
10
Primera A21/08/2023
BucaramangaÁguilas Doradas
11
Primera A25/02/2023
Águilas DoradasBucaramanga
10
Primera A07/10/2022
BucaramangaÁguilas Doradas
01
Primera A21/01/2022
Águilas DoradasBucaramanga
11
Primera A20/09/2021
Águilas DoradasBucaramanga
30

Referee Profile

Jonnathan Ortiz26 matches

5.35Cards per match
5.13Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jonnathan Ortiz5.35
Other referees6.11

5.35 cards a match, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.11).

Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DDDLD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DLWWD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417WDLWW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLDL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1584323:15+828DLWWD
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1656520:18+221DDDLD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1553716:26-1018WDLWW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1536620:23-315LWWLW
16ChicoChico1543812:25-1315LWLDL
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1523:1528
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1620:1821
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1516:2618
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1520:2315
16ChicoChico1512:2515
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas in the Primera A table

Águilas Doradas and Bucaramanga are close in the Primera A table, 12th and 13th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Bucaramanga 26-20, Águilas Doradas 20-25. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bucaramanga have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.