Chico vs Cucuta Prediction

Chico
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Cucuta
Estadio La Independencia, Tunja·Jhon Ospina 12/10/2026
ChicoChico
0-1
Finished
CucutaCucuta

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Chico Rest
8 days
Cucuta Rest
7 days

Chico vs Cucuta: the result in context

Cucuta beat Chico 1-0 in the Primera A on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Jhon Ospina averages 6.24 cards a game, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.00
X
27%3.17
2
24%3.77
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
51%1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.90
No
49%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.11 = 2.50
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.15
Over 3.5
26%3.76
Under 1.5
29%2.90
Under 2.5
54%1.67
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.5 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.78
Over 9.5
48%2.25
Over 10.5
35%3.05
Under 8.5
44%1.93
Under 9.5
52%1.55
Under 10.5
65%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.9 = 5.4
Over 3.5
78%-
Over 4.5
62%-
Under 3.5
22%-
Under 4.5
38%-

Match Events

9'Cristián MosqueraFoul
30'Jhonier AlomiaFoul
43'Jefferson MenaFoul
61'Jaime Peralta
64'Jacobo Pimentel INYesus Cabrera out
64'Alejandro Maya INDelio Ramírez out
64'Victor Mejia
67'Sebastián Tamara INYair Abonia out
70'Dayan PérezAssist: Jaime Peralta
72'Gustavo Torres INDiego Calcaterra out
72'Dayan Pérez INMarlon Carabalí out
75'Sebastian Salazar INFelipe Cifuentes out
85'Leider Berdugo INJuan Ceballos out
85'Victor Mejia INSantiago Vásquez out
87'S. Mera INDaniel Polanco out

Lineups

Chico
4-4-2Coach: J. Gómez
Cucuta
4-1-4-1Coach: N. Chiesa
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.90
D. Agudelo6.61D. Agudelo
C. Mosquera6.824C. Mosquera
J. Alomía6.45J. Alomía
J. Mena6.54J. Mena
C. Blanco6.314C. Blanco
E. Sarria6.317E. Sarria
S. Salazar6.58S. Salazar
J. Díaz7.26J. Díaz
S. Mera6.016S. Mera
2222A. Maya
J. Pimentel6.221J. Pimentel
F. Abadía6.412F. Abadía
S. Támara7.233S. Támara
H. Lópes7.12H. Lópes
J. Quiñónes7.24J. Quiñónes
B. Montaño7.330B. Montaño
V. Mejía6.25V. Mejía
D. Gelvez8.220D. Gelvez
L. Berdugo6.510L. Berdugo
Neneco6.577Neneco
G. Torres6.311G. Torres
J. Peralta6.99J. Peralta

Chico Substitutes

10Y. Cabrera64'for Jacobo Pimentel6.4
29Luis Carabalí
7F. Cifuentes75'for Sebastian Salazar6.1
15S. Navarro
19J. Pimentel Betancourt
2D. Polanco87'for S. Mera6.9
11D. Ramírez64'replaced by Alejandro Maya6.7
20sebastian viveros
12B. Zapata

Cucuta Substitutes

3D. Calcaterra72'for Gustavo Torres7.1
21M. Carabalí72'for Dayan Pérez6.7
8J. Ceballos85'for Leider Berdugo6.8
27M. Duarte
1J. Ramírez
29L. Ríos
32J. Agudelo
15Santiago Vasquez85'for Victor Mejia6.8
26Y. Abonía67'for Sebastián Tamara7.4

Match Stats

ChicoCucuta
64%Ball Possession36%
11Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots7
1Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots0
14Fouls5
4Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves1
386Total Passes221
289Passes Accurate130
4Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

ChicoChico
CucutaCucuta
1451Elo Rating 1518
0.46Attack 1.61
1.60Defense 2.41
27%Hit Rate 86%
10.6Shots per Game 8.3
3.4Shots on Target 3.1
5.2Corners per Game 2.7
2.9Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ChicoChico
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CucutaCucuta
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ChicoChico1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
CucutaCucuta1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Primera A28/03/2026
CucutaChico
10
Primera B09/08/2022
CucutaChico
12

Referee Profile

Jhon Ospina180 matches

6.24Cards per match
5.80Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jhon Ospina6.24
Other referees5.63

6.24 cards a match, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.63).

Cards come from 171 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LWWLW
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DDDLD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031DWWDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729LWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526WLWDL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLDD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322WDDDL
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318LDLLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417WDLWW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLDL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DWDDL
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1467122:13+925LLLDD
6Santa FeSanta Fe1474321:14+725LWWDD
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1656520:18+221DDDLD
9CucutaCucuta1563618:22-421DWDDL
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1555518:18020DWWDW
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1547419:20-119WLWDL
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1553716:26-1018WDLWW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1552816:20-417WDDDL
15JuniorJunior1536620:23-315LWWLW
16ChicoChico1543812:25-1315LWLDL
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
19JaguaresJaguares1424816:28-1210LDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto142399:22-139LWWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1422:1325
6Santa FeSanta Fe1421:1425
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1620:1821
9CucutaCucuta1518:2221
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1518:1820
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1519:2019
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1516:2618
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1516:2017
15JuniorJunior1520:2315
16ChicoChico1512:2515
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
19JaguaresJaguares1416:2810
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto149:229

About the Chico vs Cucuta forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chico and Cucuta in the Primera A table

Chico and Cucuta are close in the Primera A table, 18th and 19th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Chico 15-32, Cucuta 22-35. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cucuta have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Chico and Cucuta have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.