America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 14
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-6.1%
America de Cali Rest
7 days
Independiente Medellin Rest
6 days
America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin: the result in context
Independiente Medellin beat America de Cali 2-1 in the Primera A on 12 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: America de Cali had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Independiente Medellin.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa averages 6.94 cards a game, 0.82 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
153%1.78
X26%3.48
221%4.46
Double Chance
1X79%1.19
X247%1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.83
No48%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.08 = 2.75
Over 1.574%1.29
Over 2.550%1.94
Over 3.529%3.25
Under 1.526%3.30
Under 2.550%1.80
Under 3.571%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.560%1.76
Over 9.548%2.18
Over 10.536%2.92
Under 8.540%1.96
Under 9.552%1.58
Under 10.564%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3.1 = 5.5
Over 3.580%-
Over 4.564%-
Under 3.520%-
Under 4.536%-
Match Events
7'Luis QuiñonesAssist: Yeison Guzmán
11'Goal confirmedJhon Palacios
24'Luis EscorciaAssist: Daniel Cataño
37'Mateo Castillo INYani Quintero out
42'Dany RoseroDissent
45'Jhon Palacios INMarlon Torres out
45+2'Dany Rosero
52'Rafael CarrascalDissent
52'Penalty cancelledYeison Guzmán
64'Halam Stiven Loboa DiazFoul
66'Yony González INJohn Montano out
70'Daniel Cataño INKeiner David Klinger Vasquez out
70'Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz INBaldomero Perlaza out
72'Tomás Ángel INJan Lucumi out
80'John MontanoFoul
81'Yeison Guzmán INDaniel Valencia out
84'Carlos Alberto Lucumi GonzalezAssist: Frank Fabra
85'Luis Escorcia INKevin Andres Mantilla Camargo out
85'Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez INEnzo Miguel·Larrosa Martinez out
87'Baldomero PerlazaFoul
Lineups
America de CaliIndependiente Medellin
4-4-2Coach: L. PereaAvg ratingAvg rating
1Jean
13M. Castillo
24C. Tovar
3D. Rosero
14M. Mina
15R. Carrascal
5J. Escobar
23L. Quiñones
10Y. Guzmán
88T. Palacios
21T. Ángel
25E. Chaux
26E. Mena
39L. Escorcia
5J. Varela
18F. Fabra
30H. Palacios
16H. Loboa
6D. Moreno
11Y. González
10D. Cataño
32C. LucumiAmerica de Cali Substitutes
17J. Lucumí72'for Tomás Ángel
36Jhordy Camacho
30O. Bertel
29C. Amu
12J. Montoya
18Y. Quintero37'for Mateo Castillo
2M. Torres45'for Jhon Palacios
77E. Tortolero
9J. Valencia81'for Yeison Guzmán
Independiente Medellin Substitutes
19A. Simarra
24N. Erazo
1S. Ichazo
34K. Klinger70'for Daniel Cataño
90E. Larrosa85'for Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez
4K. Mantilla85'for Luis Escorcia
20J. Montaño66'for Yony González80'
31D. Moreno
14B. Perlaza70'for Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz87'
Match Stats
America de CaliIndependiente Medellin 51%Ball Possession49%
2Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal8
6Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
9Fouls10
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
408Total Passes374
345Passes Accurate324
10Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
America de CaliIndependiente Medellin1683Elo Rating 1589
1.97Attack 1.13
2.22Defense 1.13
58%Hit Rate 19%
14.2Shots per Game 12.6
4.4Shots on Target 3.9
6.1Corners per Game 4.3
2.2Cards per Game 3.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
America de Cali- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
Independiente Medellin- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
America de Cali4Wins · 40%Draws330%
Independiente Medellin3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
31/03/2026Independiente MedellinAmerica de Cali21
02/12/2025Independiente MedellinAmerica de Cali11
28/11/2025America de CaliIndependiente Medellin21
14/11/2025Independiente MedellinAmerica de Cali30
20/06/2025America de CaliIndependiente Medellin11
01/06/2025Independiente MedellinAmerica de Cali11
25/05/2025America de CaliIndependiente Medellin20
16/10/2024America de CaliIndependiente Medellin10
02/04/2024Independiente MedellinAmerica de Cali14
07/12/2023Independiente MedellinAmerica de Cali21
Recent Form
America de Cali6W3D1L
05/10/2026
LlanerosAmerica de Cali
24/09/2026LlanerosAmerica de Cali12
WAmerica de Cali
Águilas Doradas10
W21/09/2026
Deportes TolimaAmerica de Cali11
D15/09/2026America de Cali
Deportivo Pasto01
L10/09/2026America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
03/09/2026America de CaliDeportivo Pereira41
WAmerica de Cali
Alianza Valledupar30
W29/08/2026
JaguaresAmerica de Cali22
D27/08/2026America de Cali
Junior42
W23/08/2026
Santa FeAmerica de Cali00
D10/08/2026America de Cali
Atletico Nacional10
WIndependiente Medellin4W2D4L
06/10/2026Independiente MedellinSanta FeIndependiente Medellin
MillonariosIndependiente MedellinJaguares
BucaramangaIndependiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Cucuta
Independiente MedellinSanta Fe01
L30/09/2026Independiente MedellinMillonarios22
D27/09/2026JuniorIndependiente Medellin
23/09/2026JuniorIndependiente Medellin20
LIndependiente MedellinJaguares21
W18/09/2026BucaramangaIndependiente Medellin22
D13/09/2026
ChicoIndependiente Medellin
ChicoIndependiente Medellin21
L10/09/2026Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin14
W04/09/2026Deportivo PereiraIndependiente Medellin
Deportivo PereiraIndependiente Medellin03
W30/08/2026Independiente MedellinLlaneros
23/08/2026Independiente MedellinLlaneros21
WIndependiente MedellinCucuta01
LReferee Profile
6.94Cards per match
6.19Yellow cards per match
0.74Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.94 cards a match, 0.82 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.12).
Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | LWWDD |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22:13 | +9 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 25 | LWWDD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 | DWDDL |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 18:22 | 21 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 19:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
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This match
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About the America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
America de Cali and Independiente Medellin in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, America de Cali are 4th and Independiente Medellin 11th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: America de Cali 25-15, Independiente Medellin 26-24. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.