Bucaramanga vs Junior Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-10.1%
Value Analysis
53%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Bucaramanga Rest
8 days
Junior Rest
3 days
Bucaramanga vs Junior: the result in context
Bucaramanga beat Junior 3-1 in the Primera A on 5 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game. Junior tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 2.1 for Bucaramanga.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.05
X29%3.30
228%3.48
Double Chance
1X72%1.26
X257%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.80
No47%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.17 = 2.66
Over 1.573%1.32
Over 2.550%2.00
Over 3.528%3.45
Under 1.527%3.25
Under 2.550%1.80
Under 3.572%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.6 = 9.4
Over 8.558%1.78
Over 9.548%2.23
Over 10.535%3.00
Under 8.542%1.94
Under 9.552%1.57
Under 10.565%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3.1 = 5.8
Over 3.583%-
Over 4.569%-
Under 3.517%-
Under 4.531%-
Match Events
7'Pablo OrtízOG
22'José Daniel García Aragón
25'Luis Muriel(Penalty)
33'Fredy HinestrozaAssist: Luciano Pons
37'Emerson BatallaAssist: Fredy Hinestroza
43'Pablo OrtízFoul
45'Daniel Rivera INDaniel Socarras out
61'Fabián SambuezaDissent
64'Luis Muriel(Penalty missed)
64'Emerson BatallaDissent
66'Fabian Bernal INHarold Rivera out
66'Jesús Rivas INKevin Pérez out
66'Déiber Caicedo INBryan Castrillón out
74'Fredy Hinestroza INAldair Gutiérrez out
74'Fabián Sambueza INOmar Albornoz out
81'Guillermo Celis INGuillermo Paiva out
84'Luciano Pons INBrandon·Caicedo out
85'Emerson Batalla INLeonardo Flores out
85'Nilson Castrillón INAdrián Murillo out
Lineups
BucaramangaJunior
4-2-3-1Coach: S. VieraAvg ratingAvg rating
12D. Novoa
6N. Castrillón
24J. Ortiz
23C. Romaña
4J. García
8F. Hinestroza
21F. Charrupí
22F. Castro
17E. Batalla
10F. Sambueza
27L. Pons
30J. Martínez
98J. Peña
5D. Rivera
23P. Ortíz
26Y. Súarez
28G. Celis
80F. Ángel
25D. Caicedo
29T. Gutiérrez
22J. Rivas
10L. MurielBucaramanga Substitutes
80O. Albornoz74'for Fabián Sambueza
9B. Caicedo84'for Luciano Pons
30V. Cantillo
28L. Flores85'for Emerson Batalla
19A. Gutiérrez74'for Fredy Hinestroza
16L. Matheus
5A. Murrilo85'for Nilson Castrillón
3M. Rea
11F. Salazar
Junior Substitutes
14J. Ríos
7H. Rivera66'for Fabian Bernal
18K. Pérez66'for Jesús Rivas
16Carlos Pérez
9G. Paiva81'for Guillermo Celis
19F. Fydriszewski
88B. Castrillón66'for Déiber Caicedo
12J. Acosta
34Daniel Socarras45'for Daniel Rivera
Match Stats
BucaramangaJunior 42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots24
4Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal12
5Shots Inside Box19
7Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots4
8Fouls7
1Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves2
360Total Passes484
295Passes Accurate405
6Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
BucaramangaJunior1622Elo Rating 1568
1.86Attack 0.93
2.14Defense 1.46
50%Hit Rate 0%
11.0Shots per Game 14.3
3.6Shots on Target 3.6
2.1Corners per Game 5.4
3.7Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Bucaramanga- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Junior- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Bucaramanga2Wins · 20%Draws330%
Junior5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%1.5Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10
Previous meetings
25/03/2026JuniorBucaramanga20
19/08/2025JuniorBucaramanga21
01/03/2025BucaramangaJunior11
19/07/2024BucaramangaJunior10
26/05/2024JuniorBucaramanga10
12/05/2024BucaramangaJunior00
22/01/2024JuniorBucaramanga20
01/08/2023JuniorBucaramanga11
05/02/2023BucaramangaJunior10
10/10/2022BucaramangaJunior01
Recent Form
Bucaramanga5W5D0L
26/09/2026
Once CaldasBucaramangaBucaramanga
Internacional de BogotaBucaramanga
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo PereiraBucaramanga
Deportivo CaliBucaramanga
Deportes TolimaBucaramanga
Alianza ValleduparBucaramangaBucaramanga
CucutaBucaramanga
Llaneros
MillonariosBucaramanga
Once CaldasBucaramanga13
W20/09/2026BucaramangaInternacional de Bogota20
W18/09/2026BucaramangaIndependiente Medellin22
D13/09/2026Deportivo PereiraBucaramanga13
W31/08/2026Deportivo CaliBucaramanga11
D22/08/2026Deportes TolimaBucaramanga00
D09/08/2026Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga23
W04/08/2026BucaramangaCucuta11
D31/07/2026BucaramangaLlaneros11
D26/07/2026MillonariosBucaramanga01
WJunior2W3D5L
01/10/2026
Atletico NacionalJuniorAlianza ValleduparJuniorJunior
JaguaresJunior
Santa Fe
America de CaliJuniorJuniorOnce CaldasJuniorMillonarios
Atletico NacionalJunior31
L27/09/2026JuniorIndependiente Medellin
JuniorIndependiente Medellin20
W20/09/2026
Fortaleza FCJunior
13/09/2026Fortaleza FCJunior14
WAlianza ValleduparJunior10
L06/09/2026JuniorJaguares33
D30/08/2026JuniorSanta Fe11
D27/08/2026America de CaliJunior42
L24/08/2026JuniorOnce Caldas11
D02/08/2026JuniorMillonarios01
L30/07/2026
BarranquillaJunior
BarranquillaJunior5333
LReferee Profile
5.43Cards per match
4.98Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.43 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.54).
Cards come from 291 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | DWWLW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWLW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLDWD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDLDW |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | LWWDD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | DLLDD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WWLDW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWDLW |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | WDDDL |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DLLLW |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LDLLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDDLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28:12 | +16 | 29 | DWWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23:9 | +14 | 29 | WWLDW |
| 3 | America de Cali | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 28 | WLDWD |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22:13 | +9 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 25 | LWWDD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 23 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Cucuta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 21 | WDDLL |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 20 | DDLDW |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 | LWDLW |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18:21 | -3 | 17 | DLLDD |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 | WDDDL |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:26 | -11 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 15 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 13 | LLDDL |
| 17 | Junior | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 | WWLWL |
| 18 | Fortaleza FC | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Jaguares | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:28 | -12 | 10 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 9 | LWWLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 14 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 15 | 23:9 | 29 |
| 3 | America de Cali | 14 | 26:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Cucuta | 14 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 14 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 15 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 14 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 15 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 14 | 10:18 | 13 |
| 17 | Junior | 14 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 18 | Fortaleza FC | 14 | 15:21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 14 | 16:28 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 14 | 9:22 | 9 |
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This match
About the Bucaramanga vs Junior forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bucaramanga and Junior in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Junior are 2nd and Bucaramanga 13th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Bucaramanga 26-20, Junior 31-24. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Bucaramanga have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.