Juventude vs Avai Prediction

Juventude
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Avai
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul·Lucas Casagrande, Brazil 29/07/2026
JuventudeJuventude
1-0
Finished
AvaiAvai

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.70
SignalGOODModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+9.2%
Juventude Rest
4 days
Avai Rest
7 days

Juventude vs Avai: result, form and history

Juventude beat Avai 1-0 in the Serie B on 28 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Juventude have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Avai tend to win more corners, 8.2 a game to 4.1 for Juventude.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.70
X
25%3.30
2
8%5.50
Double Chance
1X
92%1.13
X2
33%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.25
No
48%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 0.78 = 2.43
Over 1.5
71%1.46
Over 2.5
46%2.40
Over 3.5
24%4.60
Under 1.5
29%2.55
Under 2.5
54%1.53
Under 3.5
76%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.42
Over 9.5
50%1.71
Over 10.5
37%2.13
Under 8.5
40%2.59
Under 9.5
50%2.03
Under 10.5
63%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
66%1.30
Over 4.5
47%1.67
Under 3.5
34%3.00
Under 4.5
53%2.10

Match Events

47'AllysonFoul
61'Nathan Santos INAderlan out
61'Fabio Lima INAlan Kardec out
62'Rodrigo SamFoul
66'Ze Ricardo INPaulo Vitor out
66'Allyson INReynaldo out
68'MP INLuan Martins out
78'Alisson Safira INLucas Alves out
78'Patryck INDiogo Barbosa out
82'Daniel PenhaUnsportsmanlike conduct
83'Jean Lucas INWilliam out
83'Thayllon INGabriel Cipriano out
90+3'Lucas AlvesAssist: Rodrigo Sam
90+7'Wallison INIsaias out

Lineups

Juventude
3-4-2-1Coach: Barbieri Mauricio
Avai
4-2-3-1Coach: Allan Aal
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.46
Jandrei7.393Jandrei
Rodrigo SamC8.034R. Sam
Messias7.04Messias
Marcos Paulo7.547M. Paulo
Nathan6.922Nathan
Raí7.775Raí
Lucas Mineiro6.98L. Mineiro
Patryck7.030Patryck
Fábio Lima6.711F. Lima
Marcos Paulo6.310M. Paulo
Alisson Safira7.625A. Safira
Igor Bohn7.31I. Bohn
Wallison6.32Wallison
Allyson6.33Allyson
Jefferson Maciel6.338J. Maciel
Douglas Teixeira6.336D. Teixeira
Zé RicardoC6.377Z. Ricardo
Luiz Henrique6.98L. Henrique
Thayllon Roberth6.543T. Roberth
Daniel Penha6.514D. Penha
Jean Lucas5.910J. Lucas
Léo Gamalho6.99L. Gamalho

Juventude Substitutes

13Aderlan61'for Nathan Santos6.9
9Alan Kardec61'for Fabio Lima6.7
5Luan Martins Gonçalves68'for MP6.7
16Diogo Barbosa78'for Patryck6.9
72Lucas Alves78'replaced by Alisson Safira90+3'7.5
12Pedro Rocha
3Titi
97Gabriel Barbosa Pinheiro
2Raí Ramos
17Manuel Castro
26Iba Ly
7Pablo

Avai Substitutes

40Reynaldo66'for Allyson6.2
25Paulo Vitor66'for Ze Ricardo6.5
56William Fernando83'for Jean Lucas6.2
39Gabriel Cipriano83'for Thayllon6.5
20Isaías Pereira90+7'for Wallison
21Otávio
66Mateus Quaresma
4Gabriel Pereira Simples
5Romildo Del Piage
95Wenderson
11Sorriso
17Juan Sousa Rocha Leandro

Match Stats

JuventudeAvai
55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots5
10Fouls19
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
255Total Passes216
157Passes Accurate109
62%Pass Accuracy50%

Team Comparison

JuventudeJuventude
AvaiAvai
1707Elo Rating 1522
2.46Attack 0.45
1.74Defense 2.13
37%Hit Rate 31%
14.9Shots per Game 18.1
7.2Shots on Target 5.7
4.1Corners per Game 8.2
2.8Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+185 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

JuventudeJuventude
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AvaiAvai
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

JuventudeJuventude3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
AvaiAvai1Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie B22/03/2026
AvaiJuventude
20
Serie B25/09/2023
AvaiJuventude
02
Serie B03/06/2023
JuventudeAvai
32
Serie A03/09/2022
JuventudeAvai
11
Serie A15/05/2022
AvaiJuventude
12

Referee Profile

Lucas Casagrande71 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Casagrande4.58
Other referees5.07

4.58 cards a match, 0.49 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).

Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
8GoiasGoias361671338:41-355WWDWW
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
8GoiasGoias3638:4155
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

About the Juventude vs Avai forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Juventude and Avai in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Juventude are 2nd in the Serie B, while Avai sit 17th, 28 points behind. League goal record so far: Juventude 49-26, Avai 35-47. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.