Vila Nova vs Goias Prediction

Vila Nova
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Goias
A. Daronco 11/09/2026
Vila NovaVila Nova
2-0
Finished
GoiasGoias

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Vila Nova Rest
5 days
Goias Rest
5 days

Vila Nova vs Goias: result, form and history

Vila Nova beat Goias 2-0 in the Serie B on 10 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Vila Nova had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Goias.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.2 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee A. Daronco averages 4.49 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.00
X
29%3.00
2
20%4.00
Double Chance
1X
80%1.22
X2
49%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.20
No
49%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.78 = 2.15
Over 1.5
65%1.52
Over 2.5
38%2.63
Over 3.5
20%5.00
Under 1.5
35%2.40
Under 2.5
62%1.45
Under 3.5
80%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.47
Over 9.5
51%1.74
Over 10.5
40%2.27
Under 8.5
39%2.50
Under 9.5
49%2.00
Under 10.5
60%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

11'Lucas RibeiroFoul
14'João Pedro VieiraFoul
21'Luis Fellipe Campos DoriaFoul
36'HaynerArgument
45'Douglas MendesFoul
45'Ryan lima INEverton Galdino out
45+4'Eduardo Dos SantosFoul
46'Bruno XavierDissent
64'Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida INCarlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro out
64'Wellington Rato INLucas Lima out
67'HaynerAssist: João Pedro Vieira
68'André Luís
71'João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço INAdilson dos Anjos Oliveira out
72'Ramon Menezes INMarcos Vinicius out
76'André LuísAssist: João Pedro Vieira
78'Lucas Rodrigues INJean Carlos out
78'Marquinhos Gabriel INRaphael Guimarães de Paula out
78'Eduardo Dos Santos INWillian Maranhão out
83'João Pedro Vieira INHigor Meritão out
85'André Luís INEmerson out

Lineups

Vila Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Guto Ferreira
Goias
4-2-3-1Coach: Mozart
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.32
Helton Leite7.31H. Leite
Hayner7.222Hayner
Jonathan Costa6.423J. Costa
Douglas Mendes6.44D. Mendes
Willian Formiga6.813W. Formiga
João Vieira8.65J. Vieira
Dudu6.515Dudu
Ryan Lima6.711R. Lima
Marquinhos Gabriel6.210M. Gabriel
Janderson6.399Janderson
André Luís8.17A. Luís
Tadeu7.223Tadeu
Luis Fellipe6.525L. Fellipe
Ramon Menezes6.64R. Menezes
Lucas Ribeiro6.314L. Ribeiro
Djalma Silva5.754D. Silva
Luquinhas6.435Luquinhas
Filipe Machado6.95F. Machado
Wellington Rato6.727W. Rato
Lourenço6.297Lourenço
Kadu5.840Kadu
Felipe Clemente6.011F. Clemente

Vila Nova Substitutes

18Enzo
16Igor Cariús
14Rodrigo Esmeraldo Caixeta Júnior
8Willian Maranhão78'for Eduardo Dos Santos6.6
29Dalberson
17Everton Galdino45'for Ryan lima7.2
31Dodô78'for Marquinhos Gabriel6.5
70Emerson Urso85'for André Luís7.0
21Higor Meritão83'for João Pedro Vieira6.6
9Puskas Gustavo
33Bruno Xavier46'

Goias Substitutes

63Marcos Vinícius72'for Ramon Menezes6.1
1Thiago Rodrigues
28Gegê
17Pedro Junqueira
66Danilo Cunha
19Murilo Camara
88Brayann
55Guilherme Baldória
10Lucas Lima64'for Wellington Rato6.3
18Cadu64'for Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida6.2
21Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira78'for Lucas Rodrigues6.5
8Juninho71'for João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço5.9

Match Stats

Vila NovaGoias
35%Ball Possession65%
2Corner Kicks7
6Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box5
12Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots3
18Fouls14
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves6
256Total Passes488
185Passes Accurate410
12Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Vila NovaVila Nova
GoiasGoias
1661Elo Rating 1653
1.72Attack 1.61
1.38Defense 2.59
17%Hit Rate 81%
14.1Shots per Game 16.8
5.1Shots on Target 5.6
6.1Corners per Game 6.3
2.6Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend10% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GoiasGoias
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Vila NovaVila Nova5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
GoiasGoias2Wins · 20%
1.2Avg Goals
10%Both teams scored1 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie B09/05/2026
GoiasVila Nova
10
Goiano - 101/02/2026
GoiasVila Nova
10
Serie B16/08/2025
Vila NovaGoias
20
Serie B18/04/2025
GoiasVila Nova
22
Goiano - 116/03/2025
Vila NovaGoias
00
Goiano - 109/03/2025
GoiasVila Nova
01
Goiano - 102/02/2025
Vila NovaGoias
10
Serie B13/10/2024
GoiasVila Nova
01
Serie B23/06/2024
Vila NovaGoias
10
Goiano - 104/02/2024
GoiasVila Nova
00

Recent Form

Vila NovaVila Nova
4W1D5L
05/09/2026
Athletic ClubVila Nova
50
L
30/08/2026
Vila NovaCeara
20
W
23/08/2026
Operario-PRVila Nova
00
D
20/08/2026
Vila NovaPonte Preta
60
W
15/08/2026
Atletico GoianienseVila Nova
02
W
08/08/2026
Vila NovaSport Recife
01
L
28/07/2026
CRBVila Nova
20
L
22/07/2026
Vila NovaFortaleza EC
21
W
18/07/2026
CriciumaVila Nova
20
L
11/07/2026
JuventudeVila Nova
10
L

Referee Profile

A. Daronco308 matches

4.49Cards per match
4.25Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Daronco4.49
Other referees5.20

4.49 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 240 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Vila Nova vs Goias forecast

As a derby, this Serie B meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vila Nova and Goias in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Vila Nova are 3rd and Goias 7th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 53-38, Goias 39-41. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.