Cuiaba vs Athletic Club Prediction

Cuiaba
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Athletic Club
Arena Pantanal, Cuiaba 09/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
89%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Cuiaba Rest
4 days
Athletic Club Rest
4 days

Cuiaba vs Athletic Club: the result in context

Cuiaba beat Athletic Club 3-0 in the Serie B on 9 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Cuiaba tend to win more corners, 8.6 a game to 5.7 for Athletic Club.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.88
X
27%3.08
2
7%4.60
Double Chance
1X
93%1.18
X2
34%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.27
No
49%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 0.71 = 2.29
Over 1.5
67%1.54
Over 2.5
42%2.63
Over 3.5
22%5.50
Under 1.5
33%2.38
Under 2.5
58%1.44
Under 3.5
78%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.9 = 9.4
Over 8.5
60%1.52
Over 9.5
50%1.85
Over 10.5
39%2.34
Under 8.5
40%2.42
Under 9.5
50%1.86
Under 10.5
61%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
56%-
Over 4.5
37%1.53
Under 3.5
44%-
Under 4.5
63%2.27

Match Events

37'Fabio GomesAssist: Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo
59'David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo INWesley Dias Claudino out
59'Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo INEliel Chrystian out
62'JhonatanOG
65'Yago Santos de Andrade INRedney out
65'Enzo Henrique dos Santos INOtavio Bruno Dos Santos out
65'Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes INGian Franco Cabezas Rodriguez out
69'Jean Dias da CostaAssist: Eliel Chrystian
70'Fabio Gomes INVinicius Peixoto out
70'Jean Dias da Costa INRamon de Araujo Silva Moutinho out
70'Maswel Ananias Silva INJhan Pool Torres Cañete out
73'Carlos Moisés de Lima INYarlen Faustino Augusto out
84'IgorFoul
86'Igor INRailan Ferreira out

Lineups

Cuiaba
3-4-2-1Coach: Eduardo Barros
Athletic Club
4-1-4-1Coach: Alex
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.14
João Carlos6.81J. Carlos
João Basso7.313J. Basso
Calebe7.35Calebe
Vitor Mendes7.14V. Mendes
Igor Inocêncio6.32I. Inocêncio
Raul7.230Raul
David Miguel7.020D. Miguel
Lorenzo6.736Lorenzo
Kauan7.241Kauan
Jean Dias8.277J. Dias
Fábio Gomes7.790F. Gomes
Luan Polli5.71L. Polli
Douglas Pelé6.22D. Pelé
Jhonatan5.33Jhonatan
Lucas Belezi6.74L. Belezi
Enzo5.623Enzo
João Miguel6.516J. Miguel
Max6.011Max
Yago Santos6.514Y. Santos
Kauan6.217Kauan
Kauan Lindes6.010K. Lindes
Carlinhos6.49Carlinhos

Cuiaba Substitutes

70Wesley Dias59'for David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo6.5
29Vinicius Peixoto70'for Fabio Gomes6.8
27Rodrigo Farofa
37Railan86'for Igor6.6
97Luiz Otávio
91Luisão
14Eric
11Eliel59'for Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo7.0
33Alan Empereur
53Weverson
7Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho70'replaced by Jean Dias da Costa
12Busatto

Athletic Club Substitutes

8G. Cabezas65'for Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes6.3
22Diogo Batista
5Felipe Negrucci
15Jota
21Philipe Sampaio
20Yarlen73'for Carlos Moisés de Lima6.1
12Tony
26Eduardo Filipe
19J. Torres70'for Maswel Ananias Silva6.6
18Assis65'for Yago Santos de Andrade5.8
7Bruninho65'for Enzo Henrique dos Santos6.4

Match Stats

CuiabaAthletic Club
45%Ball Possession55%
2Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
15Fouls8
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
468Total Passes573
407Passes Accurate500
8Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

CuiabaCuiaba
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1583Elo Rating 1570
0.27Attack 1.01
1.87Defense 1.89
0%Hit Rate 27%
21.1Shots per Game 15.0
5.1Shots on Target 3.4
8.6Corners per Game 5.7
0.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CuiabaCuiaba
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

CuiabaCuiaba2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
Athletic ClubAthletic Club0Wins · 0%
1.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B09/05/2026
Athletic ClubCuiaba
00
Serie B29/09/2025
CuiabaAthletic Club
21
Serie B01/06/2025
Athletic ClubCuiaba
02

Recent Form

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4W3D3L
05/09/2026
Athletic ClubVila Nova
50
W
29/08/2026
Nautico RecifeAthletic Club
21
L
25/08/2026
Athletic ClubNovorizontino
14
L
21/08/2026
Athletic ClubCRB
02
L
16/08/2026
America MineiroAthletic Club
13
W
09/08/2026
Athletic ClubCriciuma
20
W
29/07/2026
Ponte PretaAthletic Club
11
D
24/07/2026
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
21
W
18/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseAthletic Club
00
D
14/07/2026
CearaAthletic Club
00
D

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Cuiaba vs Athletic Club forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cuiaba and Athletic Club in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Cuiaba (13th) and Athletic Club (14th) are level on 47 points. League goal record so far: Cuiaba 34-32, Athletic Club 44-44. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.