Novorizontino vs Cuiaba Prediction

Novorizontino
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Cuiaba
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte·B. Machado 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Novorizontino Rest
3 days
Cuiaba Rest
4 days

Novorizontino vs Cuiaba: result, form and history

Novorizontino and Cuiaba drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 13 Sep 2026. Novorizontino had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 3 for Cuiaba.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 3 matches. Referee B. Machado averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.69
X
31%3.42
2
13%5.38
Double Chance
1X
87%1.15
X2
44%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%2.15
No
44%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 0.86 = 2.52
Over 1.5
75%1.40
Over 2.5
53%2.27
Over 3.5
29%4.20
Under 1.5
25%2.75
Under 2.5
47%1.60
Under 3.5
71%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.7 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.32
Over 9.5
54%1.61
Over 10.5
41%2.01
Under 8.5
37%2.88
Under 9.5
46%2.16
Under 10.5
59%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%-
Over 4.5
31%1.78
Under 3.5
50%-
Under 4.5
69%1.95

Match Events

20'Vitor MendesAssist: Igor
36'Raul Lô GonçalvesDissent
37'Romulo Azevedo Simão(Penalty)
57'Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo INEliel Chrystian out
57'David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo INLuiz Otavio out
60'Diego Galo INMatheus Henrique Bianqui out
60'Leonardo Naldi de Matos INJuninho out
69'Jean Dias da Costa INRamon de Araujo Silva Moutinho out
75'Luis Henrique Fonseca Soares INWesley Dias Claudino out
75'Fabio Gomes INVinicius Peixoto out
79'Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes INRonald Barcellos Arantes out
88'Luiz OtavioFoul
90'Robson INCarlos Henrique de Moura Brito out
90'Romulo Azevedo Simão INLuiz Otavio Maria out
90+3'João BassoFoul

Lineups

Novorizontino
4-2-3-1Coach: Enderson Moreira
Cuiaba
3-4-2-1Coach: Eduardo Barros
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.37
Jordi6.593Jordi
Madson6.92Madson
Gabriel Bahia7.026G. Bahia
Patrick7.34Patrick
Maykon6.766Maykon
Luis Oyama6.66L. Oyama
Léo Naldi6.118L. Naldi
Reidiney6.441Reidiney
Romulo6.610Romulo
Diego Galo7.119D. Galo
Robson6.811Robson
João Carlos7.01J. Carlos
João Basso6.113J. Basso
Luisão6.491Luisão
Vitor Mendes6.94V. Mendes
Igor Inocêncio6.32I. Inocêncio
Raul6.130Raul
David Miguel6.420D. Miguel
Lorenzo6.536Lorenzo
Kauan5.941Kauan
Jean Dias6.677J. Dias
Fábio Gomes5.890F. Gomes

Novorizontino Substitutes

3Carlinhos
50Juninho60'for Leonardo Naldi de Matos6.3
31César
9Carlão90'for Robson
17Matheus Bianqui60'for Diego Galo6.0
7Ronald Barcellos79'for Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes6.5
5Sander
24J. Lora
15Tavinho90'for Romulo Azevedo Simão
27Diego Mathias
28Marlon
14Eduardo Brock

Cuiaba Substitutes

50Pedro Felipetto Colen Barcellos
22Pedro Carminatti Jacomin
12Busatto
26João Vitor
97Luiz Otávio57'for David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo88'6.2
14Eric
70Wesley Dias75'for Luis Henrique Fonseca Soares6.4
29Vinicius Peixoto75'for Fabio Gomes6.5
11Eliel57'for Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo6.0
27Rodrigo Farofa
53Weverson
7Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho69'replaced by Jean Dias da Costa

Match Stats

NovorizontinoCuiaba
62%Ball Possession38%
10Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards3
25Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box7
13Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots2
6Fouls19
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
497Total Passes296
395Passes Accurate186
18Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
CuiabaCuiaba
1745Elo Rating 1583
2.27Attack 0.27
2.18Defense 1.87
81%Hit Rate 0%
16.8Shots per Game 21.1
5.9Shots on Target 5.1
5.5Corners per Game 8.6
3.0Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+163 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CuiabaCuiaba
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

NovorizontinoNovorizontino2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
CuiabaCuiaba0Wins · 0%
1.3Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
Serie B09/10/2025
CuiabaNovorizontino
01
Serie B15/06/2025
NovorizontinoCuiaba
30

Referee Profile

B. Machado211 matches

6.06Cards per match
5.77Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

B. Machado6.06
Other referees5.14

6.06 cards a match, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 161 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Novorizontino vs Cuiaba forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Novorizontino and Cuiaba in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 1st and Cuiaba 13th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Novorizontino 66-32, Cuiaba 34-32. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.