Avai vs Vila Nova Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 28
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.59
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.1%
Avai Rest
5 days
Vila Nova Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
136%2.50
X32%2.95
232%2.92
Double Chance
1X68%1.36
X264%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%2.02
No51%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 0.99 = 2.19
Over 1.569%1.48
Over 2.543%2.43
Over 3.519%4.95
Under 1.531%2.50
Under 2.557%1.51
Under 3.581%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.7 = 9.9
Over 8.563%1.44
Over 9.554%1.75
Over 10.541%2.24
Under 8.537%2.58
Under 9.546%1.98
Under 10.559%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.568%1.67
Over 4.549%1.83
Under 3.532%2.10
Under 4.551%1.83
Match Events
12'Willian Prado CamargoFoul
30'André LuísAssist: Janderson
38'Daniel PenhaAssist: Jean Lucas Figueiredo
54'Douglas da Silva TeixeiraFoul
63'Everton Galdino INEmerson out
63'Marquinhos Gabriel INRaphael Guimarães de Paula out
64'Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira INIsaias Pereira Da Silva out
65'Jean Lucas Figueiredo INGabriel Cipriano out
65'Rildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho INFilipe Gabriel Rios Rodrigues out
68'Gabriel Simples INWenderson out
82'Janderson INRyan lima out
87'Douglas Mendes INWillian Maranhão out
87'Willian Prado Camargo INTiago Pagnussat out
Lineups
AvaiVila Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Guto FerreiraAvg ratingAvg rating
94B. Ferreira
4S. Gabriel
3Allyson
40Reynaldo
36DG
25P. Vitor
77Z. Ricardo
14D. Penha
10J. Lucas
37Rildo1919C. Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira
1H. Leite
20N. Camargo
4D. Mendes
23J. Costa
13W. Formiga
5J. Vieira
15Dudu
17E. Galdino
10M. Gabriel
99Janderson
7A. LuísAvai Substitutes
5Del Piage
15Guilherme Vargas
8Luiz Henrique
22João Vitor Cardoso de Souza
1Igor Bohn
23Gabriel Cipriano65'for Jean Lucas Figueiredo
59Lopes Gabriel65'for Rildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho
20IsaÃas Pereira64'for Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira
95Wenderson68'for Gabriel Simples
26Vinicius Miguel Immig
70Gaspar
7Léo Chú
Vila Nova Substitutes
29Dalberson
33Bruno Xavier
9Puskas Gustavo
3Tiago Pagnussat87'for Willian Prado Camargo
21Higor Meritão
70Emerson Urso63'for Everton Galdino
11Ryan Lima82'for Janderson
31Dodô63'for Marquinhos Gabriel
8Willian Maranhão87'for Douglas Mendes
18Enzo
16Igor Cariús
Match Stats
AvaiVila Nova 44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box5
1Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots3
9Fouls14
5Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves0
431Total Passes551
357Passes Accurate462
14Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
AvaiVila Nova1522Elo Rating 1661
0.45Attack 1.72
2.13Defense 1.38
31%Hit Rate 17%
18.1Shots per Game 14.1
5.7Shots on Target 5.1
8.2Corners per Game 6.1
3.4Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Avai- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
Vila Nova- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Avai1Wins · 11%Draws445%
Vila Nova4Wins · 44%
4Wins · 44%2.4Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9
Previous meetings
17/05/2026Vila NovaAvai20
09/11/2025Vila NovaAvai22
19/07/2025AvaiVila Nova11
26/10/2024AvaiVila Nova30
14/07/2024Vila NovaAvai21
12/08/2023Vila NovaAvai11
04/05/2023AvaiVila Nova03
25/08/2021Vila NovaAvai10
07/06/2021AvaiVila Nova11
Recent Form
Avai4W1D5L
10/09/2026
Fortaleza ECAvaiAvai
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte PretaAvaiAvai
Sport RecifeAvai
CRB
JuventudeAvaiAvai
America Mineiro
São BernardoAvai
Fortaleza ECAvai10
L05/09/2026
NovorizontinoAvai
30/08/2026NovorizontinoAvai31
LAvaiAtletico Goianiense01
L23/08/2026Ponte PretaAvai02
W20/08/2026AvaiSport Recife21
W16/08/2026
Operario-PRAvai
12/08/2026Operario-PRAvai12
WAvaiCRB01
L29/07/2026JuventudeAvai10
L22/07/2026AvaiAmerica Mineiro21
W18/07/2026São BernardoAvai11
DVila Nova5W1D4L
11/09/2026Vila Nova
GoiasVila Nova
CearaVila NovaPonte PretaVila NovaSport RecifeCRBVila NovaVila NovaFortaleza EC
Vila NovaGoias20
W05/09/2026
Athletic ClubVila Nova
30/08/2026Athletic ClubVila Nova50
LVila NovaCeara20
W23/08/2026Operario-PRVila Nova
20/08/2026Operario-PRVila Nova00
DVila NovaPonte Preta60
W15/08/2026Atletico GoianienseVila Nova
08/08/2026Atletico GoianienseVila Nova02
WVila NovaSport Recife01
L28/07/2026CRBVila Nova20
L22/07/2026Vila NovaFortaleza EC21
W18/07/2026
CriciumaVila Nova
CriciumaVila Nova20
LReferee Profile
4.58Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.58 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).
Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66:32 | +34 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 49:26 | +23 | 68 | WDWDD |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53:38 | +15 | 66 | WDLDW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | +7 | 62 | LWLWW |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44:33 | +11 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 57:51 | +6 | 58 | WLWLD |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 39:41 | -2 | 58 | WWWDW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | +10 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 55 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 49:50 | -1 | 54 | WLWLL |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 52:42 | +10 | 52 | LWWLD |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | +6 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 34:32 | +2 | 47 | LLLLL |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 44:44 | 0 | 47 | LWLDD |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 46 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 43 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35:47 | -12 | 40 | WLLDW |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45:58 | -13 | 32 | LLLWD |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 27:55 | -28 | 29 | WWWWL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 21:79 | -58 | 15 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 66:32 | 70 |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 49:26 | 68 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 53:38 | 66 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 38:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 44:33 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 57:51 | 58 |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 39:41 | 58 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 45:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | 50:42 | 55 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 37 | 49:50 | 54 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 37 | 52:42 | 52 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 37 | 34:32 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 37 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 37 | 40:49 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 35:47 | 40 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 45:58 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 27:55 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 37 | 21:79 | 15 |
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About the Avai vs Vila Nova forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Avai and Vila Nova in the Serie B table
The table shows a wide gap: Vila Nova are 3rd in the Serie B, while Avai sit 17th, 26 points behind. League goal record so far: Avai 35-47, Vila Nova 53-38. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.